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Rasmussen Daily Swing State Tracking Poll Swing State Daily Tracking: Romney 46% Obama 45%
Rasmussen Reports ^

Posted on 09/08/2012 6:53:36 PM PDT by profit_guy

Friday, September 07, 2012

This article offers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney now attracts 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.

Due to the Democratic leanings of these states, a Romney lead in the 11 swing states would almost certainly result in victory for the GOP. However, Obama is likely to enjoy a bounce from his convention this week, and the results could shift significantly.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates
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1 posted on 09/08/2012 6:53:39 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy
Photobucket
2 posted on 09/08/2012 6:54:10 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

But Gallup had it the other way round. Geeze, can’t any group get it right? Oh, wait, the DOJ talked with Gallup.


3 posted on 09/08/2012 6:56:44 PM PDT by SkyDancer ("OF COURSE I TALK TO MYSELF - Sometimes I need an expert opinion")
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To: SkyDancer

Yeah. I think Rasmussen might want to expect a little visit from Axelrod and Barry’s DOJ.


4 posted on 09/08/2012 6:59:30 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The DNC convention is proof that Americans still love a good freak show.)
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To: profit_guy; All
ATTENTION FREEPERS...ATTENTION FREEPERS....YOU CAN NOW COME IN OFF THE LEDGE AFTER A DAY OF BAD POLLING DATA FROM EARLY SEPTEMBER....
5 posted on 09/08/2012 7:00:06 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: profit_guy

Oh, thanks for posting. I was kind of down, seeing Drudge’s stats today.


6 posted on 09/08/2012 7:01:02 PM PDT by bboop (Without justice, what else is the State but a great band of robbers? St. Augustine)
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To: profit_guy
Swing State Tracking Poll Data Photobucket
7 posted on 09/08/2012 7:01:44 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

Thanks for posting. Too many freaking out today about the Obama bounce. It is normal. This shows the more critical numbers. The states we have to win are still giving Romney an edge, despite the DNC. They show a small bounce so far. They still show Obama stuck in the mid 40s which is terrible for a incumbent.

The convention speech is something Obama is best known for. This is as good as it gets for him. He gets a week of unchallenged lies, an hour of national prime time tv, and an adoring media. He is still mired well below 50% in the states that count.

I still think Romney’s campaign needs to start taking the gloves off and start tying obamas record with the economic results. They keep pointing out the economy sucks, but not telling us why. There is a direct causual relationship with big government policies, but the voters need to be told. The other side is saying, we made progress and need more time. this is a lie, we are going the wrong direction, and it is directly due to awful policy on spending, tax increases, and government command and control. ,


8 posted on 09/08/2012 7:04:52 PM PDT by ilgipper
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To: profit_guy

I am not saying Romney is going to win Connecticut for one second! But here is some worthy info from Rasmussen:

In 2008 Obama won CT by 22.4 points

Popular vote 997,772 629,428
Percentage 60.6% 38.2%

Rasmussen currently shows Obama leading in CT by 8 points.

Connecticut: Obama 51%, Romney 43%


9 posted on 09/08/2012 7:06:09 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

the disappointing thing with this chart is its probably the first one i’ve seen where Independents, listed as other, favor obama...then again the spread between the two candidates amongst women is significantly smaller than the criminal liberal media makes everyone believe- though it parallels recent stories/polls...


10 posted on 09/08/2012 7:08:24 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Wonder if the DOJ will harass exit pollers too?


11 posted on 09/08/2012 7:08:24 PM PDT by SkyDancer ("OF COURSE I TALK TO MYSELF - Sometimes I need an expert opinion")
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To: SkyDancer

I can see a lot of them getting sued by Holder and his Black Pampers II.


12 posted on 09/08/2012 7:10:35 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The DNC convention is proof that Americans still love a good freak show.)
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To: profit_guy

bookmarked/data


13 posted on 09/08/2012 7:11:40 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: God luvs America

Already go my house chosen in Costa Rica


14 posted on 09/08/2012 7:11:46 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: profit_guy
~ Scenes We'd Like To See ~

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15 posted on 09/08/2012 7:12:15 PM PDT by SkyDancer ("OF COURSE I TALK TO MYSELF - Sometimes I need an expert opinion")
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To: profit_guy

obama says illegals and us are all the same...
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2011/04/21/obama_we_are_all_connected_whether_you_crossed_the_rio_grande_or_not.html


16 posted on 09/08/2012 7:12:32 PM PDT by biggredd1
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To: profit_guy

Rasmussen better be careful, or He’ll get a threatening call from Axelgrease.


17 posted on 09/08/2012 7:13:06 PM PDT by radioone ( Main Stream Media. The Government built that.)
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To: profit_guy

No poll is relevant immediately after the DNC. Most of the bounce for 0bama is because of Clinton. 0bama’s speech was much less than special, and Romney isn’t running against Clinton. Everyone needs to roll with the punches over the next few weeks and watch the polls after an equilibrium is reached and yesterday’s dismal jobs report is baked in. Talk to me on October 1 about polls. If Romney trails on that date then you can get out on the ledge.


18 posted on 09/08/2012 7:13:23 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: profit_guy

ditto for New Jersey, which ayatollah obama won by 15 points in ‘08 and recent polls have him up by 7...

like everyone else my stomach turns when i see these national polls yet all the important polls (voter enthusiasm, expected GOP voters versus expected rats voters, groups where obama pulled in big numbers; Catholics, Jews, white males, independents) are trending away from obama...

this is Romney’s election to loose...crap- that turning feeling is returning to my stomach...


19 posted on 09/08/2012 7:13:41 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: radioone
Rasmussen better be careful, or He’ll get a threatening call from Axelgrease

That's pretty scary what they did to Gallop. Makes one wonder what a second Obama term would be like. Whatever it's like I suspect a second will NOT be his last.

20 posted on 09/08/2012 7:15:20 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: ilgipper

If you study past elections, every incumbent president that got reelected was leading his opponent by a much greater margin than Obama is now. The guy is not popular and he’s on the defensive no matter how MSNBC and friends try to spin it.

I live in PA, a Democrat state for the last 20 years. While I saw loads of Obama bumper stickers and lawn signs in 2008, I don’t see any now. If anything, I see more anti-Obama stickers. My analysis is that the Democrats are not popular in this state after Fast Eddie got done with it.

Even WI, another Democrat stronghold, could flip. I think the DNC dug their own grave there with the union debacle.


21 posted on 09/08/2012 7:15:47 PM PDT by Strk321
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To: profit_guy

Romney gets 1% of the black vote in that poll.


22 posted on 09/08/2012 7:17:15 PM PDT by UnwashedPeasant
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To: God luvs America

Romney should be much higher in the polls than he is because of who is in the WH.

It’s his to lose. You’re right about that.


23 posted on 09/08/2012 7:17:15 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: God luvs America

Nationally, only 26% of Independents think the country is on the “Right Track”.


24 posted on 09/08/2012 7:17:38 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

Obama is running ads in California. I’m not sure why, but it’s interesting.


25 posted on 09/08/2012 7:18:16 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: 1035rep; profit_guy
Obama is running ads in California. I’m not sure why, but it’s interesting.

BO is running ads in CA because CA is IN PLAY.

26 posted on 09/08/2012 7:21:00 PM PDT by thecodont
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To: thecodont

Holy blank! If California and its 55 electoral votes are not in the bag for Obama, he’s in very big trouble.


27 posted on 09/08/2012 7:24:44 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: SkyDancer

THAT is what dreams are made of....


28 posted on 09/08/2012 7:24:52 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: thecodont

Holy blank! If California and its 55 electoral votes are not in the bag for Obama, he’s in very big trouble.


29 posted on 09/08/2012 7:24:52 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: profit_guy

I predict every singlr polling group will agree to keep the two neck and neck regardless of what they actually know.


30 posted on 09/08/2012 7:26:08 PM PDT by Eye of Unk (OPSEC)
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To: profit_guy

Ok, clue me in: does Ras simply consolidate x number of voters from each state into one big pool? Or-—not being able to access the internals cause I’m not a member-—are there individual state breakouts?


31 posted on 09/08/2012 7:27:02 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: BlueStateRightist
Don't you mean get back on the ledge? I think a lot of us have spent a lot of time already on the ledge.
32 posted on 09/08/2012 7:28:14 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: thecodont

Conservative majority, Americans for Prosperity and the RNC are running anti-Obama ads.

I’m glad I have TIVO so I can skip the pro Kenyan ads!


33 posted on 09/08/2012 7:30:10 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: tsowellfan

Yeah. The fact that they are so close is discouraging.

Obama is clearly less qualified than Romney in every way and has a totally miserable track record. His foreign policy is aweful and he has expanded the attacks of the Bush Administration on Americans personal freedoms.

He should be much lower in the polls than he is.

Romney should have his PACs going after Obama on EVERYTHING while he and Ryan concentrate on Obama’s performance.

Obama SHOULD loose points in a debate as well as Biden.


34 posted on 09/08/2012 7:30:58 PM PDT by ZULU (See: http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=D9vQt6IXXaM&hd)
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Comment #35 Removed by Moderator

To: Strk321; All

Another thing of note, Obama is set to lose the advertising race, the first incumbent president to do so.

That’s a big deal to lose in fundraising to Romney when Obama set records in 2008.


36 posted on 09/08/2012 7:31:22 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: SkyDancer

The Bumble Bee bunch


37 posted on 09/08/2012 7:32:10 PM PDT by funfan
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Comment #38 Removed by Moderator

To: ZULU

Obama has largely owned the airwaves, but that will change now. If that has no impact within 3 weeks, then I would start to be concerned since we would have to rely upon the debates.


39 posted on 09/08/2012 7:32:39 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: ZULU

Here’s some more data

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html


40 posted on 09/08/2012 7:32:57 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: 1035rep

Obama won NC in 2008 by 15,000 votes. NC still has 30,000 dead people on the rolls.
The Chicago way is the real world that gave us JFK.


41 posted on 09/08/2012 7:33:37 PM PDT by Phosgood (Send in the Clowns...but Wait, they're here!! >..<)
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To: profit_guy

I am so confused about something. I have seen polls which show that Romney is up 12 with Independents, up at least 10 with white voters, shrinking the gap with women(even though Obama is still leading) and that more people identify themselves are Republican yet Romney is only up ONE point in swing states..how the heck does that make any sense?


42 posted on 09/08/2012 7:33:53 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: 1035rep

Those awful Clinton ads where they ask for $10.00? I had to turn off my TV and opt for aDVD of the Fog because they were endless.


43 posted on 09/08/2012 7:35:04 PM PDT by funfan
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To: rwfromkansas

You are so right. It is much easier to get people to vote for you in addition to voting for you with their wallet.


44 posted on 09/08/2012 7:37:02 PM PDT by 103198
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To: profit_guy
If a swing in support like that happens in all 50 states Osama Obama will be lucky to get 150 Electoral votes.CT is one of the most strident Rat states in the nation.
45 posted on 09/08/2012 7:43:55 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Voter ID Equals "No Representation Without Respiration")
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To: God luvs America
ATTENTION FREEPERS...ATTENTION FREEPERS....YOU CAN NOW COME IN OFF THE LEDGE AFTER A DAY OF BAD POLLING DATA FROM EARLY SEPTEMBER....

LOL. I am guilty. Very stressed.

This is actually better than it looks as Ras includes MI and PA which are not really swing states (usually D state) and so if Romney is up with these states included he's probably up more overall in the states that count and are needed (i.e. VA, NC, FL).
46 posted on 09/08/2012 7:45:07 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: tsowellfan

The problem with Real Clear Politics polling is they give equal weight to all the pollster.

Rasmussen is more accurate and according to Rasmussen, its still a horserace.

See:

“Gallup (Saturday) 7-Day Tracking 3050 RV 2.0 49 45 Obama +4
CNN/Opinion Research 8/31 - 9/3 735 LV 3.5 48 48 Tie
Democracy Corps (D) 8/23 - 8/27 1000 LV 3.1 49 47 Obama +2
CBS News 8/22 - 8/26 1051 RV 3.0 46 45 Obama +1
ABC News/Wash Post 8/22 - 8/25 857 RV 4.0 46 47 Romney +1”

If I’m not mistaken, ALL of the above are in the bag for Obama and liberal news organs. THAT makes their polling suspect and Gallup PARTICULARLY so since Obama pressured them.


47 posted on 09/08/2012 7:45:10 PM PDT by ZULU (See: http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=D9vQt6IXXaM&hd)
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To: 1035rep

I have been seeing many Clinton for Obama ads on TV lately(Im in SoCal) Obama should have this state in the bag, but I must say its very strange to see so many Obama ads in a state that hasn’t gone Republican in a very long time. Its overrun with SEIU thugs and illegal aliens yet Obama still has to run ads here? Maybe they have some internal numbers that are not looking too good otherwise why waste money on a state you have won


48 posted on 09/08/2012 7:45:52 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: rwfromkansas

True.

Again, the GOP really is out of its league in a down and dirty fight with the Dems. They just haven’t got it. If they screw this up, they are DEAD as a political party, or at least I certainly HOPE so.

Romney needs to use those PACs the same way he used them to screw all the conservatives running against him in the primary.

On the other hand, its still a neck and neck race REGARDLESS of that bogus article by Reuters on Drudge.


49 posted on 09/08/2012 7:48:32 PM PDT by ZULU (See: http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=D9vQt6IXXaM&hd)
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To: WashingtonSource

Hell I’ve been on the ledge so long now, I have a garden growing up there.


50 posted on 09/08/2012 7:48:53 PM PDT by marygam (#Hurry November 2012, we might not make it#)
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