Skip to comments.Gallup: 0 49%, R 44% (RV)
Posted on 09/09/2012 10:14:05 AM PDT by Arthurio
Gallup: 0 49%, R 44% (RV)
Based on a 7 day tracking poll of registered voters.
In Gallup's 3 day tracking pull of Adults, Obama's job approval is 50% to 44%. This down 4% from just yesterday. This shows that the bounce is already tapering off. Not evident in the 7 day tracking poll, but quite evident in the 3 day job approval poll.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
John Ponhotetz stated on twitter that based on 3 day track, this is a even race...
This is registered voters, not likely. So it is not accurate. Still, given the low approval numbers and the tight margin, “the chair” is in big trouble.
Sounds like a Gallup poll.
Didn't thugs from the 0 campaign threaten Gallup. !
I am wondering when (or if) Gallup is going to switch to LV.
I read last night that they don’t switch until October...
Maybe because the daily avg is beginning to reflect the response to Obama's speech and the platform vote disaster.
and jobs data.... Probably see this even again by mid or late this week.
Gallup is bogus. They were leaned on by the Chicago thugs, and are now afraid to publish the true stats.
I hate to say but Clinton must have really boosted Obama.. I am thinking that the base came home for few days.. Now that it is actually Obama running for President, reality must be sitting in again.
We should also factor in that the lamestream media trumpeted DNC as a smashing success 24/7 for an entire week and went ogasmic over Clinton. Weak minds bought into this propaganda, unfortunately. So, this is not so much a convention bounce and as a media-induced misreporting-of-the-convention bounce. Reality will begin to set in tomorrow.
Registered voter polls can be dismissed out of hand.
The dead cat bounce does not last very long.
PPP is going to release a poll later showing Obama up 9 in OH. It is complete BS. That is a twice the margin he won with in 2008.
The MSM media has spent the entire weekend declaring the race over, trumpeting their own BS polls. They are trying to crush optimism and motivation. Oh well, this will hurt the economy even more leading into November. Small businesses will be even less likely to spend and hire if they think Obama is going to win.
Funny how the polls go up, once Owebama sic’s the DOJ on Gallup because he didn’t like the poll numbers.
PPP oversamples Dems by 10+ points. If Obama is doing SO well in Ohio how come he is always there, sending Biden and others to campaign there..a 9 point lead he wouldnt even need to bother campaigning there so dont believe anything from PPP
Looking forward to the despair that will set in when the real condition of the race becomes obvious.
If America only knew.....
The best Obama exposure site on the net:
(by our own FReeper, Beckwith)
The Obama File
The United States Library of Congress has selected
TheObamaFile.com for inclusion in its historic collection
of Internet materials
Just a few of the pages:
This says “adults” not necessarily “registered voters.” Am I wrong?
This says “adults” not necessarily “registered voters.” Am I wrong?
And, after it finishes its initial bounce, IT NEVER BOUNCES AGAIN.
I really can’t believe how people are not taking these polls seriously and believing 0bama is going to lose. This is not the case We are in SERIOUS trouble here.
Romney did not surge like this after his convention, he only ticked up a bit. At this pace 0bama will be up double digits by mid week. Even Rasmussen shows this. His approval rating is surging and he is about to go the 50% mark the no one said he would.
What people are failing to realize is the Democrat convention was NOT the disaster everyone thought it was. It was a tremendous success. Why? Because it brought the Democrat majority in this country back into the fold. The are rally big behind the President now. His speech sucked for anyone who was a conservative, but it pumped a demoralized Democrat base that is now all in and it brought independents back into the fold.
I know pessimism sucks, but it’s obvious 0bama is going to win this. This is going to be 2008 all over again. The huge rallies, the 0-bam-a, 0-bam-a chants, massive fundraising and 0bama signs at every turn. Meanwhile our side will site bogus internal polls that don’t exist showing Romney winning key states are talking about the Bradley effect or saying polls over sample Democrats. Yes the sample more Democrats because registered democrats out number Republicans by a huge margin. Fact is Romney does not have even have a quarter of the enthusiasm.
Bottom line is with 0bama, a lot of people just like that rotten son of a bitch and there is nothing we can do. Romney will lose in a 2008 like landslide.
A bit bi-polar, are we? You were predicting a Romney victory just a few days ago.
PPP did a recent poll in N. Carolina. They said it was tie. The breakdown of D/R was +13D. How many people are this stupid?
PPP did a poll about a week ago in Ct. They had Murphy +4.
Murphy is the Dem. The breakdown was +21 D. Could anyone really believe a word these clowns says.
The Rasmussen swing state poll only had Obama up by 1
The GIGO Poll.
PPP is ridiculous I dont even bother checking out those polls, what does concern me is Rasmussen, they have Obama leading Romney by 5 points today and approval of the economy at 50 percent, how can people be THIS stupid..the economy sucks, the job market is dismal and people still think Obama is doing a good job?
Rasmussen has been pretty reliable in the past which is the reason why Im concerned..as far as Gallop goes, they are scared to death of the DOJ and Obama’s regime so they are pretty useless now..PPP oversamples Dems by a ridiculous margin, but Rasmussen, that is the poll that is of concern to me
“You were predicting a Romney victory just a few days ago.”
Yup, but then I was only expecting a very small0bama bounce. Instead we are now seeing an 0bama surge. I put too much faith in the people making that prediction. Now I realize we are still the same nation of 0-zombies we were in 2008.
Obama-nation. Every talking radio star, along with Fox News, pundits in paper/blogs/radio carrying the fight for him. Now, he is praising Clinton and saying he will keep parts of Obamacare.
This is hardly a surge. Looks to be about a 4 point bump. Romney got a bump of about 3 points out of his convention.
If you want a surge, then look to 8 years ago. Bush had a massive bump out of his convention. He was leading Kerry by 8 on this same date 8 years ago. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/election_2012_vs_election_2004_eight_years_ago_today.html
It did not last, and he ended up winning by only 2.5 points. An incumbent needs a much bigger lead/bounce/cushion than 4 points because undecideds and are going to go to the challenger, for the most part.
Also, this day four years ago McCain had a 4 point lead over Obama.
If it was 2008 all over again than Obama would have been able to fill an outdoor stadium without any problem
The voting poll has remained even with what it was before with more days added in from the start of the convention. I suspect within a week or so we will back to where we started - all tied up.
It is unfortunate the “bounce” from our own convention was essentially just to break even with the stall in momentum going into the convention caused by the Todd Akin controversy.
Go ahead and poo-poo but unless some type of fire is lit under Romney's butt, it IS going to be a 2008 repeat and this country will be lost.
“I remember 2008 the same exact discussions on FR”
Uh, McCain was LEADING in the polls on this exact date in 2008. Convention bounces can be (and usually are) fleeting.
Also I don’t the job news from Friday has been figured into any of these polls
Look for the polls to begin to go against Obama this week, no post convention bounce.
I don't think McCain was going to win even if the financial meltdown had not occurred. He simply didn't want to. I'm told repeatedly that Romney wants to, and intends, to win. We'll see. Now is the time for him to get ruthless and swiftboat Obama.
We were in GOP headquarters in Mont. Co., OH and we were getting a very strong indication that our "base" would turn out.
This is why going back to previous elections is useless: we thought if the "base" turned out---as per Rove's model in 2004---McCain would win. Early reports were that "red" areas were turning out strongly. I felt pretty good by the time the polls closed. Then we looked at the first actual return from a precinct that should have been 100% red. It was 25% Obama, and we knew that he'd win the whole thing.
But based on 04, nobody could possibly have guessed that a whole bunch of Rs would vote D.
Likewise this time around, I would not put too much stock in the polls. First, their internals do not jibe with their purported findings. Second, from all we can tell, Romney is winning the precious independents heavily. But most important, NO ONE knows what the turnout model in THIS election will be---not Gallup, not Rasmussen. Most are basing it on 2008. I'm certain that's wrong. I think 2010 is closer, maybe 2011 closer still in the WI recall. But no one is adjusting for those changes.
But . . . do you know ANY Republicans who will be voting for Obama this time around?
All I'm saying is that we don't dismiss them when they aren't going our way. I hope Zero's #s will settle back from the convention bounce and the upcoming add blitz helps.
Thanks for your knowledgeable input it does help.
I do agree. Third Party guys could be a problem. But Ronald Reagan lost6% to Anderson and still won big.
Great post LS.
Dude!! You need to take a break from the MSM, politics and posting. Just go relax on the beach and come back when your panic has subsided.
A lot of conservatives everywhere apparently believe whatever PPP says. Let us not forget how hard they fought for Akin, mysteriously the only time they’ve ever oversampled Republicans. (This isn’t to drag up the Akin issue again, but to point out that PPP has an agenda.)