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New Mexico Poll (045, R40, J7)
ABQ Journal ^

Posted on 09/09/2012 12:30:49 PM PDT by Arthurio

The presidential race in New Mexico may be more competitive than national pundits and polls have suggested.

According to a Journal Poll, President Barack Obama appears to have a small lead over Republican Mitt Romney in New Mexico, but Obama has not topped 50 percent, and 8 percent of voters were undecided in a close race with nine weeks remaining.

Obama drew support from 45 percent of the New Mexico voters surveyed between Sept. 3 and Sept. 6, while Romney stayed within striking distance at 40 percent.

Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate for president, who also will be on the Nov. 6 ballot, had 7 percent support. Johnson subtracted almost equal numbers of votes from Obama and Romney, according to the poll, meaning his third-party candidacy was not more damaging to one than the other.

(Excerpt) Read more at abqjournal.com ...


TOPICS: US: New Mexico
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; nm2012

1 posted on 09/09/2012 12:30:50 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Johnson is the only strict-constructionist on the ballot...but we must all pretend that Romney is a conservative so that the winner has an R after his name.


2 posted on 09/09/2012 12:33:14 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: gorush

Garry Johnson is not even getting Wayne Allen Root’s vote.


3 posted on 09/09/2012 12:37:09 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: LS; SoFloFreeper; AuH2ORepublican

ping


4 posted on 09/09/2012 12:38:36 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: gorush

Johnson has not chance to win the state or the presidency - who do you prefer, Obama or Romney?


5 posted on 09/09/2012 12:38:42 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: gorush

Johnson has not chance to win the state or the presidency - who do you prefer, Obama or Romney?


6 posted on 09/09/2012 12:38:50 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: Arthurio

Were Johnson not in the race, I’m sure his vote would split 50/50 between Romney and Obama. Or they just wouldn’t vote for President at all. So Johnson isn’t really a spoiler here.


7 posted on 09/09/2012 12:39:11 PM PDT by risen_feenix
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To: Mentos

gd double post


8 posted on 09/09/2012 12:39:55 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: gorush



9 posted on 09/09/2012 12:40:22 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Mentos

Neither one will reverse our inevitable collapse into third world status. We lost that war decades ago.


10 posted on 09/09/2012 12:40:50 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: risen_feenix

Hard to say. A close election could come down to a few votes.


11 posted on 09/09/2012 12:48:46 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: gorush
Johnson is the only strict-constructionist on the ballot...but we must all pretend that Romney is a conservative so that the winner has an R after his name.

We have a 2 party system. You may not like that we have a 2 party system, but it is what it is. The one and only time in US history a major political party completely collapsed, a new party replaced it as the 2nd leg of our 2 party system. Johnson has zero chance to win. The next president will be Obama or Romney. Which one do you prefer? Any vote you cast that is not Romney/Ryan helps maintain the status quo with Obama/Biden in office. If you are a supporter of Libertarians, perhaps you are on the wrong forum?

12 posted on 09/09/2012 12:49:27 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: tomkat
"Johnson is the only strict-constructionist on the ballot...but we must all pretend that Romney is a conservative so that the winner has an R after his name."

How is that statement quixotic?

13 posted on 09/09/2012 12:50:03 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: Longbow1969

I don’t disagree with any of what you’ve said. I guess you assume from my statement that I will vote for Johnson even though that was never stated. Don’t you hate it when people put words into your mouth?


14 posted on 09/09/2012 12:51:52 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: gorush

Unfortunately I can’t disagree. I’d like to slow it down as much as posible for my kid’s sake.


15 posted on 09/09/2012 12:53:11 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: gorush

It seemed to me your post was advocating for a vote for Johnson. If I misinterpreted that, I certainly do apologize.


16 posted on 09/09/2012 12:56:58 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Arthurio

There are a lot of potheads in NM, I’m not sure they would be voting for Romney even if Johnson weren’t on the ticket.

I think the odds that Johnson is drawing equally from both candidates is actually pretty high.


17 posted on 09/09/2012 1:01:02 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: Arthurio
.... In a close election this is the type of math that will almost guarantee a second term for the Prez. He could easily win the election with numbers in the low 40 percentile of votes or even lower if the fates are favoring him.

The largest chunk of the remainder of votes would of course be garnered by Mr. Romney .... with the rest split amongst the candidates that drew votes from those voting on principle and single issues.

Sadly ..... Without a planned strategy by the GOP and Conservatives and Libertarians to work as a team and rally behind the one single candidate that can defeat the incumbent ..... it will more than likely end up with the unsavory prospect of a second term for the one that seeks to undo the greatness of this country.

This, of course, does not have to be the fateful outcome of this election ..... well, that is,...... if we could actually do something that is extremely difficult for the Libertarians, GOP and Conservatives to do ....... that thing being .... working together as a team to achieve the single objective of defeating the President.

18 posted on 09/09/2012 1:03:30 PM PDT by R_Kangel ( "A Nation of Sheep ..... Will Beget ..... a Nation Ruled by Wolves.")
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To: Arthurio

This state is very winnable.

First, the undecideds will break for Romney.
Second, about half of Johnson’s vote will also break for Romney.

The prospect of a neo-Marxist being re-elected President will sober up a lot of people who would prefer Johnson over Romney, but recognize Johnson doesn’t a chance of winning.

Third, potentially ALL the votes doing to Romney AND Johnson will go to the GOP candidate in the Senate race. Johnson, by helping get libertarians to the poll may cost us a few votes in the Presidential race, but will definitely help us in the downticket races.


19 posted on 09/09/2012 1:04:19 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Truthsearcher

Republicans should have a fighting chance with the stoner vote. Two days ago, in Colorado, Paul Ryan put down a marker on the issue of the federal government deferring to the states in the matter of medical marijuana. In New Hampshire, the Republican-controlled state legislature passed a medical marijuana bill only to see it vetoed by the Democratic governor. In this year’s election, the Republican candidate for Governor says he will sign such a bill if elected.


20 posted on 09/09/2012 1:08:48 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Arthurio

I haven’t seen much enthusiasm for Obama like New Mexicans had last time around. In fact, I haven’t seen any. This race will go down in history as one where each side voted against the other side, not for their side.


21 posted on 09/09/2012 1:09:01 PM PDT by pallis
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To: gorush
For this cycle, to get rid of this marxist scum, Johnson can only help reinstall the traitor in our White House.

That happens, we can all put fubar after USA.

I don't like it either, but that's the reality of it . . the rest is, for this moment . . windmills.

/.02

22 posted on 09/09/2012 1:26:55 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: gorush
In other words >  if you pit to change engines on the last lap of the race, I'll beat you every time, even if I have to push it across the line.
23 posted on 09/09/2012 1:34:25 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: pallis

Great Statement!

I’m in Seattle of all places and I gotta tell you it’s tough to find a Obama 2012 bumper sticker. That for me is telling, also Obama is running ad’s here as well, which is strange.


24 posted on 09/09/2012 1:42:28 PM PDT by cmsgop ( The left always accuses the right for the sins of the left. from FReeper Just Lori, RIP)
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To: Perdogg

Wow. MUCH closer than I thought. Bad news is how low Romney’s number is, but ZEro isn’t much better at a state he should own.


25 posted on 09/09/2012 3:37:50 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: gorush
So beat it. Jeez. Some people really hate this country. FIND ANOTHER.

Gary Johnson is a boob whose only claim to fame is he's pro-drugs. Big deal. So's half of Hollywood.

26 posted on 09/09/2012 3:39:18 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Imagine my predicament. Anything I say will probably be misinterpreted once again. Nevermind.


27 posted on 09/09/2012 3:45:44 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: gorush
Sorry. I just flew off the handle. Apologies. As a historian, though, I know from evidence how incredibly rapidly entire societies can turn. England went Victorian overnight. Germany went from a free republic to a totalitarian dictatorship in less than 15 years. "Always in motion is the future," says Yoda.

No matter what path we are on---good or bad---history tells us it seldom keeps going in the same direction for long.

28 posted on 09/09/2012 3:50:58 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

We lost this war decades ago my FRiend. Our balloon payment is coming due and there’s not a chance in hell that we can lessen the effects no matter which of these two liberals is elected.


29 posted on 09/09/2012 3:57:50 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: Arthurio

The Libertarian Party members are angling to be made trustees in Obama’s prison camps.


30 posted on 09/09/2012 9:16:56 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (CREDO QUIA ABSURDUM)
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To: LegendHasIt; Rogle; leapfrog0202; Santa Fe_Conservative; DesertDreamer; OneWingedShark; ...

NM list PING!

I may not PING for all New Mexico articles. To see New Mexico articles by topic click here: New Mexico Topics

To see NM articles by keyword, click here: New Mexico Keywords

To see the NM Message Page, click here: New Mexico Messages

(The NM list is available on my FR homepage for anyone to use. Let me know if you wish to be added or removed from the list.)

31 posted on 09/10/2012 8:51:42 AM PDT by CedarDave (Palin/Ryan -- both should have been at the top of the ticket and not play second fiddle to GOPe)
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To: gorush

Yep.

The car is going over the cliff, no matter if Thelma is driving it at 100 mph, or Louise is driving it at 85.


32 posted on 09/10/2012 9:00:39 AM PDT by LegendHasIt
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To: LS
LS you are supposedly a patriot and all, but you don't know the difference between being pro liberty and pro drugs? You just sound foolish with that statement, seriously.

You the well learned, need to take some more time and study this issue. The multi-billion dollar war on certain substances is an utter failure. You know that. There are other ways to deal with the issue which would much more effective, and still maintain law and order.

If there were a Gary Johnson on a ticket that had a reasonable chance of winning (against a Democrat OR Republican), I would vote for them.

33 posted on 09/14/2012 6:06:40 AM PDT by Clinging Bitterly (We need to limit political office holders to two terms. One in office, and one in prison.)
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