Skip to comments.U.S. Housing Market Is The Most Awesome Opportunity In American History
Posted on 09/09/2012 2:17:46 PM PDT by blam
U.S. Housing Market Is The Most Awesome Opportunity In American History
Housing-Market / US Housing
Sep 09, 2012 - 11:14 AM
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: The situation we're facing today can be boiled down to a few very simple points... And the result is an awesome investment opportunity.
It is possibly the greatest investing opportunity in American history...
I'm talking about the housing market.
Real estate investor Jason Hartman interviewed me this week on his radio show (available soon at www.JasonHartman.com). And I made my case.
My points were simple:
1. Housing prices have fallen more than they ever have in our lifetimes by far. Today, houses are selling for well below replacement cost.
2. Meanwhile... housing prices are up for five-straight months. It sure seems like they've bottomed.
3. Mortgage rates are at record-lows around 3.5% today. With low home prices and low interest rates, houses are more affordable than ever. But the story gets better...
You have a huge "tailwind" for rising prices, courtesy of the government.
First, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will not raise rates for years.
You see, he will only raise interest rates when inflation gets too high or when the economy is booming (specifically, when the unemployment rate falls too far). We are not in danger of either of those things happening right now and we won't be in danger for a couple years.
So interest rates will stay low for longer than anyone can imagine... And these record-low interest rates should be like lighter fluid on a fire. It's taken a while to get started... But with higher home prices over the last five months, the fire is now lit.
Second, I can't think of an asset that has more government incentives than the home you live in.
Let me show you what I mean...
You can deduct the interest on your mortgage off your taxes. You get to keep up to $500,000 in capital gains on your home without having to pay any capital gains taxes. And on roughly 90% of home loans, the government has literally made those loans possible (through government-sponsored entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac).
In short, the government wants you to own a home... This is simply adding more fuel to the fire.
And for most regular folks, your home is a much better use of your savings than stashing your money in stocks...
Buy what you understand. When you own a home, you know what you've got the earth under your feet isn't going out of business. But you could easily buy shares of a company that goes out of business. So today, I suggest putting your savings into your primary residence.
In sum, I believe that starting today, single-family home prices will soar higher than anyone can imagine in the next couple years.
The gains in housing prices will surprise everyone and you certainly haven't missed it yet. This trend is just beginning. And it will last for years to come.
I believe we have the most awesome opportunity in American history in single-family homes right now. Do your best to take advantage of it...
Buy RIGHT NOW.
The Obama Administration.
There is going to be a sales tax on houses in the future.
2. Young people starting out are burdened with college debt more than any other generation, and are a smaller demographic than boomers.
3. What drives home ownership is stable jobs and family formation. Has anyone seen an uptick in job stability?
There is only one factor holding up real estate right now that I can see. Rich Chinese are looking for a place to park their money outside of China to avoid their own recession, and American real estate looks like a bargain compared to China right now.
3.8% tax going to zerocare starting January 1st. That’s $3800 of your money per 100K going to his ‘free healthcare’.
If I were young, I would certainly be expecting to rent for the rest of my life. The world is too unstable to tie yourself to a $400,000 structure that could easily be a white elephant worth half what you paid for it.
Today? I happen to agree -- but I also think that the cost of a Happy Meal will soar! (I also think that is only the case in select locations. Detroit houses will remain overpriced at $1.)
Pure bs this guy is selling
Colleges are reporting record freshman class sizes. That is due to the poor economy. Owning a rent house in a college town is like having your own personal ATM machine.
Reasons to hold off or have hesitation:
* The federal government holds a lot of houses that it is selling in bulk lots to institutional buyers. This will further lower prices, and those institutional buyers can rent or sell properties lower than anyone who buys on the open market. Unless you are buying a home to live in yourself, investment deals will be undercut by crony capitalism.
* There are liberals, mostly in California, talking about using eminent domain to seize properties and their mortgages. You should not buy a house if it could be taken away by the state for its cash flow.
* If Obama wins a second term, unemployment will increase further. Fewer buyers, fewer opportunities.
* Fannie and Freddie own a lot of properties and mortgages. In a second term, Obama may just give houses to his constituents. Or turn millions of government owned homes into de facto section 8 housing, all in the name of fairness.
* Until the courts clarify the MERS title mess, it is risky to buy a property from anyone whose property has touched MERS. Unless you are building new or buying from someone who held it for a decade, the chain of title is murky and risky.
Yes, the opportunity has “never been greater”, for THE NEXT HOUSING BUBBLE IN THE U.S.
The college that I work at is reporting a 12% decline this semester. And it is a real bargain.
People my age comprise an enormous portion of the US population and will be croaking for the next...oh, about 20 years.
Here’s a better link... and I see you are right. Thanks. http://financialducksinarow.com/4100/the-tax-on-sale-of-your-home-email-myth/
While it is a terrible concept, very few will ever pay it.
I live in a Section 8 rental house.
Why? It was through a long and twisted set of circumstances. I am white, married once to one wife, and have 4 kids, one of whom is severely autistic and developmentally delayed. We stopped at 4 because that's all we wanted. I am bringing them up in a Christian tradition, as much as possible in these dark days.
My wife and I also DESPERATELY want a house of our own.
The landlord who owns the Section 8 house we live in is female, black, AND a lawyer. She's also a liar and is probably crooked as the day is long. She promised us several things when we first moved in and she's never come through on any of them. It's my own damned fault for not getting them in writing.
We want our own house for many reasons. One, our current home isn't large enough. Two, we want something we can modify to suit us. And, quite frankly...even with the subsidized rent, we're still paying more each month for this house than a monthly mortgage payment would be on many bigger homes. Not only that...I want to GET OUT of the Section 8 program. I no longer want to be part of the problem.
I have a stable job, working the same place the last 11 years. We've been looking recently, and we're finding places we'd like.
Now...unless I'm reading it wrong, the FReepers in this thread are saying that home ownership is a BAD thing?
Please...either correct me or set me straight.
I am not joking.
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