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Mitt Romney electoral vote lead holds strong through both conventions
Examiner ^ | 9-8-2012 | Dean Chambers

Posted on 09/09/2012 3:45:54 PM PDT by smoothsailing

September 8, 2012

Mitt Romney electoral vote lead holds strong through both conventions

Dean Chambers

......

The state polls and race for electoral votes shows to be unchanged from the last GOP2112 analysis of the electoral vote race published here August 25, 2012. Not a single state has moved into a different category since then, and Romney maintains the electoral vote lead of 317 to 179 over Obama with 42 electoral votes from Pennsylvania, Minnesota, New Mexico and Oregon remaining in toss-up status. The map above shows which ways the states are leaning in this presidential race.

Here is information and analysis on some of the key swing states: ....

(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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Well, I like it better than the Gallup poll! :)
1 posted on 09/09/2012 3:45:59 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Its complete bullsh*t that a mere two or three states, essentially, can keep the inept marxist kenyan in this race.


2 posted on 09/09/2012 3:48:04 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: smoothsailing
That goof at the NYT, Nate Silver, already has the invitations printed for Obama’s second inaugural.
3 posted on 09/09/2012 3:48:33 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: smoothsailing

Oregon, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania are tossups? I don’t think so.


4 posted on 09/09/2012 3:49:18 PM PDT by GnL
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To: smoothsailing

What alternate universe is this from??? This is UTTER crap. Romney is getting killed in the EV. Can we PLEASE stop living in fantasy land and just looking for what we want to hear and at least make SOME attempt to resurrect Conservatism??

This map is crap.


5 posted on 09/09/2012 3:52:28 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: smoothsailing

Is this from the Onion? Romney is trailing in WI, MI, OH and FL. Also PA, OR, and MN are not toss ups. They are deep blue 0bama states.


6 posted on 09/09/2012 3:53:27 PM PDT by GR_Jr. ("On Nov.6 I guess I will swallow that bitter pill called Mitt Romney...only to stop 0bama")
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To: smoothsailing

I’m surprised they put Oregon, NM and PA in the tossup side. I always thought they were going for Obama.

In fact, I had all but given up on OR and NM.

Also, why is Michigan leaning Romney? Ins’t this the UAW and the GM state? I’d expect them to lean Obama because of the GM and Chrysler bailouts.


7 posted on 09/09/2012 3:53:59 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: GnL

Yah, seems off, but NM poll today has Romney within 5 in likely voters. So, “tossup” maybe? Certainly “leaning” Obama is as far as I’d go.


8 posted on 09/09/2012 3:54:24 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: smoothsailing

Not sure about this map’s call but it is the correct approach in that our Presidential election is by states rather than a winner take all popular vote nationally. There will be less than a dozen swing states in which this election will be determined, imo.


9 posted on 09/09/2012 3:57:50 PM PDT by deport
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To: smoothsailing
Almost total confusion...Gallup poll, Rasmussen Reports Daily Tracking Poll, Who’s on first, What’s on second, I Don’t Know’s on third...?!

I, too, hope this one is correct.

10 posted on 09/09/2012 3:58:23 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: GnL

Re:
“Oregon, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania are tossups? I don’t think so.”

Indeed. This Examiner graphic must have come straight from The Onion


11 posted on 09/09/2012 3:58:44 PM PDT by RDangerfield (Talal, FOX & Friends, madrass)
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To: LS

NM has one of the highest rates of welfare dependency in the US. It should be squarely in the Obama column.


12 posted on 09/09/2012 4:00:13 PM PDT by oblomov
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To: smoothsailing

.

If America only knew.....

(And if somebody doesn’t REALLY expose the Marxist/Muslim sob to the American people, we will lose again.)

The best Obama exposure site on the net:
(by our own FReeper, Beckwith)

The Obama File
http://theobamafile.com/

The United States Library of Congress has selected
TheObamaFile.com for inclusion in its historic collection
of Internet materials
http://theobamafile.com/LibraryOfCongress.html

Just a few pages from the massive file:

http://theobamafile.com/index_next_politics.html

http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_personal.html

http://www.theobamafile.com/BarackObama.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_family/FamilyPage.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaEducation.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaPsychology.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaReligion.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaWife.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_associates/ObamaAssociates.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaIconography.htm

.

.

___________________

2012 is an important year to remember 9/11 because our younger generations are the most in danger of forgetting what really happened.

Or worse, our younger generations are susceptible to getting a politically correct view of 9/11. Many on the Left have tried to turn 9/11 into a “day of national service” or a celebration of tolerance, instead of remembering that radical jihad attacked this nation because of our western values.

Watch this moving tribute to the heroes of 9/11
composed by a man who lived through it:
(music by Enya)

http://www.frugalsites.net/911/attack/

It is the most viewed video of all,
and is now in the Smithsonian.

.

.


13 posted on 09/09/2012 4:00:13 PM PDT by patriot08 (TEXAS GAL- born and bred and proud of it!)
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To: smoothsailing

Question: How can the aggregate of voters below 50 be in favor of Obama and Romney be ahead, much less by this much? There can’t be that many more 50 and above voters. Anyone know the % of population below 50 and 50 and above?


14 posted on 09/09/2012 4:01:27 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“That goof at the NYT, Nate Silver, already has the invitations printed for Obama’s second inaugural.”

It’s all part of the plan...

http://pjmedia.com/eddriscoll/2012/09/09/operation-demoralize-is-working-just-as-planned/

...at least you and I aren’t falling for it. :)


15 posted on 09/09/2012 4:01:44 PM PDT by smoothsailing (President Obama is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people - Clint Eastwood)
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To: RDangerfield

Next week they will have Washington DC as a toss-up lean Romney.


16 posted on 09/09/2012 4:02:23 PM PDT by Uncle Slayton
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To: smoothsailing

Don’t you love middle America? I’ll always love America. I graduate from law school next spring at 65. Maybe there’s something I can do to help, I hope.


17 posted on 09/09/2012 4:02:56 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: RIghtwardHo

Did you read the analysis? It sounds spot on to me.


18 posted on 09/09/2012 4:04:50 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: RIghtwardHo

OK, I felt good for about a minute until I read your post. I don’t want to live in a fool’s paradise. Can you post a verifiably more accurate map or a link to one?


19 posted on 09/09/2012 4:05:45 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: GR_Jr.

Pennsylvania is not a deep blue state, you’re just wrong about that.

Think of it as “Pittsburgh and Philadelphia with Alabama in between”. :)


20 posted on 09/09/2012 4:10:21 PM PDT by smoothsailing (President Obama is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people - Clint Eastwood)
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To: patriot08

I always like it when I see that you’ve posted that!

I’ve got the obamafile in my favorite bookmarks now, Thanks to You! :)


21 posted on 09/09/2012 4:13:18 PM PDT by smoothsailing (President Obama is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people - Clint Eastwood)
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To: smoothsailing

Good.


22 posted on 09/09/2012 4:13:39 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: smoothsailing

Thanks


23 posted on 09/09/2012 4:14:18 PM PDT by patriot08 (TEXAS GAL- born and bred and proud of it!)
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To: GR_Jr.
Romney is trailing in WI, MI, OH and FL

No he is not. He behind in MI and ahead in WI, OH and FL

24 posted on 09/09/2012 4:15:09 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: PapaNew; KansasGirl; RIghtwardHo

He’s been posting that same crap over and over since he got here.

BTW, he has said he does not look at his replies so don’t expect an answer.


25 posted on 09/09/2012 4:15:16 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: smoothsailing

It sure looks great from a “what-if” standpoint, but what data is driving the idea that PA, MN, NM, and Oregon are “tossups” and how are WI and MI “leaning GOP?” It`s fun to play with that RCP map.. I do it too, but what is giving credibility to this?


26 posted on 09/09/2012 4:17:24 PM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: smoothsailing
The analysis makes assumptions about the undecided vote - that most of it will break for Romney in the end. If that occurs, this electoral result is very plausible, despite what polls are telling us today (with the undecided still sitting out there).

I tend to agree that most of the undecideds out there will eventually become Romney votes and that Obama's percentage of actual vote total will be <45%. Probably 55-44% or 56-43% (with the remaining 1% going to third party candidates).

27 posted on 09/09/2012 4:18:02 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: PapaNew
Don’t you love middle America?

With all my heart, it's where I'm from and where I live.

28 posted on 09/09/2012 4:18:26 PM PDT by smoothsailing (President Obama is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people - Clint Eastwood)
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To: smoothsailing

We got to remember that people will LIE to the poll agencies folks so as NOT to be viewed as racist. What takes place in the voting booth is all that matters. PLUS who are going to be the folks showing up and it is those who are FED-UP with the horrible mismagement of this nation or who are dealing with what I call “buyers remorse” over voting for Obama. Otherwise many of those who have voted for Obama will simply STAY HOME.

The PACS for Romney are doing their job.


29 posted on 09/09/2012 4:18:40 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: RIghtwardHo

I couldn’t agree more. I also have no patience for koolaid drinkers who have no concept of reality, liberal or conservative either one.


30 posted on 09/09/2012 4:19:15 PM PDT by MachIV
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To: MNJohnnie

Thank-you for making my Sunday night!

I have noticed that there is a lot of naysaying going on this and on a number of threads. Hope there is NO trolls trying to invade FR.


31 posted on 09/09/2012 4:21:33 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: smoothsailing
Rasmussen version of the electoral college map:
Obama: 247 - Toss-up: 95 - Romney: 196
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard

Real Clear Politics version:
Obama: 221 - Toss-up: 126 - Romney: 191
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

A ton more analysis here:
Obamao 316.9 - Romney 221.1
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

32 posted on 09/09/2012 4:26:22 PM PDT by UnwashedPeasant
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To: MNJohnnie

This is a lie.


33 posted on 09/09/2012 4:27:23 PM PDT by mquinn (Obama's supporters: a deliberate drowning of consciousness by means of rhythmic noise)
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To: MNJohnnie

This reminds me of 1980 all over again if you ask me. Agian let’s not get into a panic okay.


34 posted on 09/09/2012 4:32:01 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: ScottinVA

The writer does an analysis of 7 key swing states to explain his projection. At this point, I’d say his guess is as good as anybody’s and I sure like his positive attitude!


35 posted on 09/09/2012 4:32:37 PM PDT by smoothsailing (President Obama is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people - Clint Eastwood)
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To: GR_Jr.; RIghtwardHo; All

This map is crap.

Is this from the Onion?
///
yes, this map is crap.
because, it is not even as close as this says.
Obama is down in EVERY demographic.
in some, like Catholics (including “liberal Catholics),
Obama is down 27% from last time.
...a 27 point swing?
even college students are leaving Obama in droves.
-
and, gas prices, etc, will only accelerate it.
and any “October surprises”, will help Romney.
Fast and Furious. the falsifying of unemployment numbers,
etc.
...even some in the liberal media, are abandoning Obama!


36 posted on 09/09/2012 4:33:19 PM PDT by Elendur (It is incumbent on every generation to pay its own debts as it goes. - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: SamAdams76

You got it, the undecideds, do not be surprised that they will tip more in favor of Romney. They see what is REALLY is going on out there.


37 posted on 09/09/2012 4:34:19 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: RIghtwardHo
Romney is getting killed in the EV.

Is that just your opinion or can you post something tangible, like a link please.

38 posted on 09/09/2012 4:34:32 PM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: Elendur

AMEN to that.

As they say, the rats or mice are fleeing a sinking ship.


39 posted on 09/09/2012 4:36:38 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: skeeter

Well, that’s the nature of the electoral college.

On the plus side, we’ve got most of the south locked up before the race even begins. So it works both ways, I suppose.


40 posted on 09/09/2012 4:37:41 PM PDT by Dan Nunn (Support the NRA!)
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To: All

I’d love for these numbers to be the actual case at this point, but I don’t buy it. Romney is in pretty good shape despite the current DNC bounce for Obama, but nothing I’ve seen from Rassmussen or any other reliable polling agency that suggests he’s anywhere near this level.

It’s going to be a scrap all the way to election day, folks. I pray for a Romney/Ryan landslide, but I believe we have to be prepared for a 2004-ish nailbiter.


41 posted on 09/09/2012 4:38:18 PM PDT by DemforBush
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To: GnL

Oregon

SurveyUSA poll of registered voters gives Obama a 47 to 43 percent lead

Note that this is registered voters not likely so it’s even closer.

Obama is down 12 from the 2008 election.


42 posted on 09/09/2012 4:38:44 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: mquinn

Obama or Romney is going to be the next President. When you spend all your time trashing Romney, you do one thing, help Obama

That may not be your intention, it is the result of your actions.

That you spend all your time actively campaigning for an pro gay marriage,pro taxpayer funded abortion on demand up to birth candidate like Obama, while bitching about Romney not being politically pure enough for you, demonstrates that you are absolutely without a single shred of intellectual credibility.

Sorry your candidate of choice did not win the GOP nomination. Quit crying about it. Your petulant attempts to trash the GOP because they did not do what YOU thought they should is childish and politically self-defeating


43 posted on 09/09/2012 4:39:07 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Elendur

and the poll that lied the most,
was the one that said it was 94 to zip,
for African-Americans.
-
that was simply a “Bagdad Bob” operation,
to try to keep blacks one LIBERAL plantation.
-
after Obama turned for gay rights, etc.,
he has certainly lost at least SOME black votes.
so, that poll, was clearly a fraud.


44 posted on 09/09/2012 4:39:13 PM PDT by Elendur (It is incumbent on every generation to pay its own debts as it goes. - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: smoothsailing

You are definitely right about the geography of PA and its voting tendencies (I used to live in rural PA).

However, on the aggregate, PA is a blue state in national elections. They haven’t given their electoral votes to a Republican since Bush 41 in the 80s.


45 posted on 09/09/2012 4:39:55 PM PDT by Dan Nunn (Support the NRA!)
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To: UnwashedPeasant

The Psychic Network is never at a loss for members! :)


46 posted on 09/09/2012 4:40:17 PM PDT by smoothsailing (President Obama is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people - Clint Eastwood)
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To: Uncle Slayton

Not only D.C., but next week it wouldn’t surprise me to see this analyst have Illinois, New York and California in the “Toss Up/Leans Romney” category.


47 posted on 09/09/2012 4:41:03 PM PDT by richmwill
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To: MNJohnnie

This is what gets me really angry with some of the posts on this and a number of other threads. They do not realize that when you bash Romney/Ryan, you simply help Obama/Bidden get elected again.

The bashing has to end, time to get out there and support Romney/Ryan!


48 posted on 09/09/2012 4:43:24 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: richmwill

Obama is running no stop ads in California. Is he worried or just has a lot of cash to blow? I’m not saying he will lose CA. but he sure feels the need to shore things up here.


49 posted on 09/09/2012 4:45:35 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: PapaNew
Question: How can the aggregate of voters below 50 be in favor of Obama and Romney be ahead, much less by this much? There can’t be that many more 50 and above voters. Anyone know the % of population below 50 and 50 and above?

Here's a link to the NY Times exit poll of 2008 by various categories. You can have tons of fun playing these numbers against 2012 projections.

2008 was a fluke of monsterous proportions. There is no way in Hell Obama wins in 2012.

Election Results 2008 - NY Times

50 posted on 09/09/2012 4:46:12 PM PDT by meadsjn
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