“I never factored in MI or PA for Mitt. PA is always a tease for the GOP that never comes through in the end. I think R&R will pull in WI which will really change the map for the GOP.”
Still needs to hold Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia and Florida for Wisconsin to put him over.
Wisconsin gives him about an order of magnitude better chances of winning (before it was CO + NV/IA/NH), which made it 6 battlegrounds that he had to win.
I just don’t see it. If Romney were pulling away in VA, OH, FL and NC I could see people talking about Wisconsin, but he’s not. If you have too many tossups, even if you do well, some of them won’t break for you and you’ll still lose.
I hope I’m making sense.
I understand where you are coming from. I just think the election is too fluid as of right now to pin down just what direction it’s going to take. I do believe Obama got a real bounce from the convention....I also suspect that that bounce will fade as they often do over the next week. We are seeing signs of that bounce fading this evening according to 2 polls that I seen that showed Romney back within 2 points.