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Romney campaign pins victory hopes on cash advantage, late ad blitz (October carpet bombing)
The Hill ^ | 9/11/12 | Cameron Joseph

Posted on 09/11/2012 7:30:08 AM PDT by Evil Slayer

Mitt Romney’s campaign is pinning its hopes that its big cash advantage will help the GOP nominee against President Obama, who is leading in the polls.

“The goal has always been ‘let’s get into October and be within striking distance,’ ” a GOP strategist close to the Romney campaign told The Hill on Monday. “We’re going to have a financial advantage these last two months in the air wars, from the campaign as well as the third-party independent groups.”

Romney had a $60 million cash-on-hand edge over Obama as of the end of July. While Obama edged Romney in August fundraising, bringing in $114 million to the GOP nominee’s $111.6 million, the president’s campaign has been spending at a faster clip in recent months, meaning Romney’s cash edge likely remains significant.

On top of that, GOP-aligned outside groups like American Crossroads have a huge financial advantage over their Democratic counterparts, and will use that in the closing weeks of the campaign.

The GOP nominee faces a slight deficit in national polls following a post-convention bump for Obama, as well as the daunting prospect of needing to win approximately two-thirds of the swing states to pull off a victory. His campaign sought to put those facts in the best positive light on Monday.

“Don’t get too worked up about the latest polling,” Romney pollster Neil Newhouse wrote in a memo distributed to the press and supporters. “While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race.”

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: romney; romney2012

1 posted on 09/11/2012 7:30:13 AM PDT by Evil Slayer
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To: Evil Slayer

All well and good but Romney better figure that Obama pumped out hundreds of billions of $$ to cronies with the f expectation that they will ‘donate’ substantial sums back to the campaign if it is in extremis. Then there is the overseas credit card donations from Gaza, etc. that will come streaming in.


2 posted on 09/11/2012 7:37:24 AM PDT by Paine in the Neck (Socialism consumes everything)
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To: Evil Slayer

Romney must think he has Texas in the bag because all I ever see on the stations here is Obama ads.


3 posted on 09/11/2012 7:38:39 AM PDT by texaschick
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To: Evil Slayer

This is probably correct electoral tactics: most people aren’t paying attention to the election now (just because the pros, those of us here at FR and the blogs we like, and the opposition in the feverswamps of the online left are doesn’t mean people in general are).

An ad blitz in October and the debates should tilt this our way (well, bar a Reichstag fire type event, but that could backfire in the present environment).


4 posted on 09/11/2012 7:39:07 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: Evil Slayer

OK, but where’s the tough talk NOW?

Mr. Obama is not a nice man.

Mr. Romney is being too nice.

Fight, dammit!


5 posted on 09/11/2012 7:39:11 AM PDT by RexBeach (Mr. Obama Can't Count.)
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To: Evil Slayer
Romney had a $60 million cash-on-hand edge over Obama as of the end of July. While Obama edged Romney in August fundraising, bringing in $114 million to the GOP nominee’s $111.6 million, the president’s campaign has been spending at a faster clip in recent months, meaning Romney’s cash edge likely remains significant.

I read somewhere but haven't been able to confirm that Romney's fundraising number only went through August 31 and he released his total's on September 3. Obama on the other hand waited until after the democrat convention and the first week of September when he reported his August numbers on September 10, essentially adding an extra week to his August total. In other words if Obama had only used the same time frame as Romney he would have had about $85 million to Romney's 111 Million.

6 posted on 09/11/2012 7:39:18 AM PDT by apillar
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To: Evil Slayer

They need to spend a lot of that money on a get out the vote ground game. After awhile, people tune out ads.


7 posted on 09/11/2012 7:40:49 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: Paine in the Neck
With TV viewership way down, and possibly non-existent with the 20 and 30 somethings (who have a very high unemployment rate and who are hit hardest by the Obama generated economic hardships) Romney is going to go on TV!

Sure, right ~ I've been predicting this since LAST SUMMER.

You'd get more campaign mileage by putting a few dozen agents out there playing LOTRO (Lord of the Rings Online).

8 posted on 09/11/2012 7:41:06 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Evil Slayer

Regardless of ads the media is following a plan:

2008 - don’t talk about who/ what he is

2012 - Don’t talk about his results or lack of real specifics on why it will
Be better in his second term

They have as much invested in preserving him as they did in creating him.

Let’s hope and pray that there are enough of us left to see the obvious and save the country our predecessors fought to create.


9 posted on 09/11/2012 7:42:54 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: apillar

It’s been reported that the DNC convention went over $15 million in the red as well.


10 posted on 09/11/2012 7:43:09 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war....)
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To: apillar
A minor technical difference of use only to people who imagine elections are won by checking up on nominating petitions.

The deal is Romney is planning on a broadcast TV blitz of canned negative ads.

Where are the mass rallies? Where's the get out the vote effort?

Doesn't anybody over there in Romney-land care if they win?

11 posted on 09/11/2012 7:43:33 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Evil Slayer

Is it just me or does it look like Romney is playing “not to lose”?

This race should not even be close. He needs to be more aggressive. I just don’t see it. Plus way too many people are telling me they have no clue as to what Romney’s plans are.


12 posted on 09/11/2012 7:43:58 AM PDT by eekitsagreek
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To: apillar

Say what?

Romney did not even have possession of his main funds until after the GOP convention.


13 posted on 09/11/2012 7:43:58 AM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (America doesn't need any new laws. America needs freedom!)
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To: Evil Slayer

I believe I heard a report that Romney is running ads on iTunes? Or some social media.

As for waiting until October to run ads.....they need to remember that a lot of places have early voting; here in Tennessee it starts Oct. 17. Not to mention those who do absentee voting.


14 posted on 09/11/2012 7:49:23 AM PDT by Spirit of Liberty (If you build it, Obama wants credit!)
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To: Evil Slayer
(October carpet bombing)

Oh. In other words, then: the so-called Romneyian "Death Star" of a powerful, aggressive, ball-out-and-hellfire killer advertising blitzkrieg against The Won -- which, we were repeatedly informed by Team Mittens apologists, was only waiting for the end of the Republican convention to finally[!!!] get truly and tardily underway -- now won't actually be happening until NEXT MONTH, then.

Oh. Okay.

15 posted on 09/11/2012 7:49:34 AM PDT by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle ("If you're not fiscally AND socially conservative, you're not conservative!" - Jim Robinson, 9-1-10)
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To: RexBeach
Mitt, this finger's for YOU!! If you're man enough, why don't you do something about it. Otherwise, I'm going to keep giving it to you.


16 posted on 09/11/2012 7:49:59 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war....)
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To: Evil Slayer

An ad blitz with scrappy ads is useless.

They really need to step it up. Lousy campaign so far.

Remain in striking distance? How about just put Obama away for good?


17 posted on 09/11/2012 7:56:10 AM PDT by Retired Greyhound (.)
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To: texaschick

Same with Maryland...Obama commercial even two seconds. Weird but maybe they are trying for the popular vote...that is the only explanation I can think of. Obviously he must have a ton of money we don’t know about to be playing so many commericals in deep blue states.


18 posted on 09/11/2012 7:58:46 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Paul Ryan/Rick Santorum 2012....That would be the best scenario ever.)
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To: Evil Slayer

Some states will start the dreaded, manipulated early voting.

They have to start going after those early voters before it’s too late!


19 posted on 09/11/2012 8:00:34 AM PDT by melancholy (Professor Alinsky, Enslavement Specialist, Ph.D. in L0w and H0lder)
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To: apillar

Doesn’t matter. Incombent Presidents don’t need as much money as the challenger. Obama has every news station and can get on tv whenever he wants. No need for as many commericals as the Republican challenger.


20 posted on 09/11/2012 8:01:16 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Paul Ryan/Rick Santorum 2012....That would be the best scenario ever.)
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To: muawiyah
Hmmm. Where are you? Romney and Ryan have had two "mass rallies" in the Cincy area in the last month---good turnout---and big mass rallies in FL.

As for "get out the vote?" What are you doing to get out the vote?

I can tell you what Montgomery Co GOP/Romney are doing: we made 85,000 phone calls in August. That was a national record. Every Republican, leaner, or indie then gets targeted first with an info drop, then with a door knock. We have seminars going on everywhere about precinct organization and that is completely in place. We have already signed up all the poll watchers and poll flushers.

The campaign is at least on track with Bush's 2004 campaign and light years ahead of McCain's. So what do YOU plan to do?

21 posted on 09/11/2012 8:02:45 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: texaschick
Romney must think he has Texas in the bag because all I ever see on the stations here is Obama ads.


22 posted on 09/11/2012 8:04:22 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (2010 All Over Again. Make it happen. Get Busy!)
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To: Evil Slayer

They’re pinning their hopes on “sit back, smile, don’t offend anyone, and just wait for Obama to collapse”. Very very risky strategy.


23 posted on 09/11/2012 8:29:18 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Buckeye McFrog

They think the bad economy hurts Obama, when it actually helps him. Unemployment people want their government goodies, and they think the Republicans will take them away from them.


24 posted on 09/11/2012 8:31:38 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: dfwgator

That should be “Unemployed People want their government goodies...”


25 posted on 09/11/2012 8:32:22 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

We are perilously close to that tipping point of “Heads they win, tails we lose”.....If the economy is good, then the Democrats get the credit, if it’s bad, then the Democrats will just promise more relief.

That’s why the GOP needs to focus on more than just the economy.


26 posted on 09/11/2012 8:35:53 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: Evil Slayer
Slight edit to the headline in order to make it more accurate:

Romney campaign pins victory hopes on cash advantage, TOO late ad blitz

Milquetoast Mitt McCain is dragging America towards another 2008 election result by pussyfooting around, with of course the full compliance of the GOP establishment who would much rather see the Rats take back the House than risk a few more of those eeevil Tea Party types winning. Mitt's complacency will hurt conservative candidates all up and down the ballot -- another similarity to 2008.

Mitt's ads will either be non-existent or marshmallow-soft. As many others have noted, the polls shouldn't be close RIGHT NOW, despite Bonzo's alleged bounce from the DNC Freak Show Extravaganza of Lies and Hate.

27 posted on 09/11/2012 8:42:57 AM PDT by PermaRag (If Trayvon had a father, he'd look just like Obama)
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To: LS

Montgomery county where?


28 posted on 09/11/2012 9:17:26 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

OH. One of the most critical counties in the entire US for elections. We lost 04 by a few thousand votes, allowing Bush to win. If this county doesn’t lose by much, the Republican will win OH.


29 posted on 09/11/2012 9:23:20 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Evil Slayer

Good idea beat up Obama take his money and send him back to chi-Town broke and busted.


30 posted on 09/11/2012 9:30:51 AM PDT by Vaduz
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To: LS
Montgomery county in this area is over in Maryland ~ it's one of the most Farleftwingtard spots in the United States. The Republicans used to win with Connie Morela, but she didn't even speak Republican ~ so finally the Democrats ran this leftwing broker against her and won easily.

I was rather wondering why Republicans would be wasting time and money on Monkey county (as it's known here).

31 posted on 09/11/2012 9:50:33 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: dfwgator

Marxists believe that everything is determined by economic forces.


32 posted on 09/11/2012 9:53:26 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Evil Slayer

The ONLY numbers we are seeing is ‘Donations in” & “Cash on hand”.

I want to see the numbers for “ACCOUNTS PAYABLE”——especially for Obama.

He has been carpet bombing the airwaves for many, many months, especially here in Nevada.

I think he OWES millions of dollars in unpaid bills, which isn’t shown by “Cash on hand”. Obama has refused to pay city & county governments for the extra security costs incurred when he is in the area. Many such locales have billed him for such & have been stiffed—being told ‘it is an honor & patriotic for your city to bear this cost’. In Washoe county, whee Reno is located, Obama has been here 3 times & the cost was in excess of $350,000 so far. NONE of this expense was budgeted by the city/county.

Obama has announced he will be back to Reno 1 or 2 more times, putting the county/city further into the hole. Firemen & fire stations are not working & we live where fires are often large & very destructive. We have already had a number of them in 2012.

Romney, however, has paid many such bills presented to him.


33 posted on 09/11/2012 9:56:15 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: Cringing Negativism Network

I think the funds that are reported are those which are donated directly to Romney.

The funds he got possession of after the convention were donated to the RNC. Romney didn’t get access to those funds until after he was officially nominated.

That statement also brings into the question as to whether that same rule applies to Obama. Does he get access to DNC funds before or after his official nomination?
While I have heard numerous discussions about this in reference to Romney, I haven’t heard a single reference to the release to funds to Obama.

Anyone out there able to explain for me?


34 posted on 09/11/2012 10:02:36 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: Vaduz

He is already planning on purchasing a $35 million estate in Hawaii.

Penny Pritzer has donated 1/2 of the money to buy it for Obama. She is another one who needs to be indicted for bank fraud.


35 posted on 09/11/2012 10:06:20 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: Evil Slayer

October carpet bombing? Where’s the one for September?


36 posted on 09/11/2012 10:34:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: ridesthemiles

A lot of team Obama people will see many hours of court time after the elections maybe around June.


37 posted on 09/11/2012 10:43:35 AM PDT by Vaduz
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