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AP Exclusive: New intelligence on Iran nuke work
yahoo.com ^ | GEORGE JAHN

Posted on 09/11/2012 12:40:32 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

VIENNA (AP) — The U.N. atomic agency has received new and significant intelligence over the past month that Iran has moved further toward the ability to build a nuclear weapon, diplomats tell The Associated Press.

They say the intelligence shows that Iran has advanced its work on calculating the destructive power of an atomic warhead through a series of computer models that it ran sometime within the past three years.

The diplomats say the information comes from Israel, the United States and at least two other Western countries and concludes that the work was done sometime within the past three years. The time-frame is significant because if the International Atomic Energy Agency decides that the intelligence is credible, it would strengthen its concerns that Iran has continued weapons work into the recent past — and may be continuing to do so.

Because computer modeling work is normally accompanied by physical tests of the components that go into a nuclear weapons, it would also buttress IAEA fears outlined in detail in November that Tehran is advancing its weapons research on multiple fronts.

"You want to have a theoretical understanding of the working of a nuclear weapon that is then related to the experiments you do on the various components," said David Albright, whose Washington-based Institute for Science and International Security is a frequent go-to source on Iran for Congress and other U.S. government branches. "The two go hand-in-hand."

Such computer mock-ups typically assess how high explosives compress fissile warhead material, setting off the chain reaction that results in a nuclear explosion. The yield is normally calculated in kilotons.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: iran; nucleariran; nukes

1 posted on 09/11/2012 12:40:44 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: SJackson; SunkenCiv; NormsRevenge; Marine_Uncle; TigersEye; blam

H/T to Hot Air.


2 posted on 09/11/2012 12:44:10 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ((The Global Warming Hoax was a Criminal Act....where is Al Gore?))
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

This is totally unexpected.


3 posted on 09/11/2012 12:45:11 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The U.N. atomic agency has received new and significant intelligence over the past month ... and is still months behind Israel's intelligence!

4 posted on 09/11/2012 12:45:11 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Cap the mahdi’s well in Qom.


5 posted on 09/11/2012 12:46:02 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I wonder how you say “light them up” in Hebrew.
6 posted on 09/11/2012 12:47:37 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (If Obama's Reelected Imagine The Mess He'll Inherit!)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I'm SHOCKED!


7 posted on 09/11/2012 12:48:40 PM PDT by WakeUpAndVote
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

So Panetta lied when he say’s we have more than a year to continue diplomatic efforts? This article sounds like the Iranians are ready to field test a Nuke.


8 posted on 09/11/2012 12:58:41 PM PDT by swamprebel (a Constitution once changed from Freedom, can never be restored.)
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To: Gay State Conservative
just a guess, but... הכה את התחת שלהם!
9 posted on 09/11/2012 1:02:26 PM PDT by RitchieAprile
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The UN says Iran’s bomb development program is OK because they are limiting development to the “Jewton” bomb. The “Jewton” is somewhat like a neutron bomb in that it is designed to only kill Jews and leave buildings standing.


10 posted on 09/11/2012 1:05:59 PM PDT by glorgau
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

It is amazing to me that more countries do not have nuclear capabilities. This was a technology that the USA developed almost 70 years ago. I have a book on my shelf, The Making of the Atomic Bomb by Richard Rhodes that pretty much lays out how to a nuclear explosion is achieved.

The hard part is not making a crude working bomb, but getting enough refined fissile material.

The longer we/Israel gives the Iranians the more uranium ore they can refine into U235.


11 posted on 09/11/2012 1:14:35 PM PDT by CollegeRepublican
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

But I thought the CIA said the Iranians weren’t even close to building a nuke.


12 posted on 09/11/2012 1:30:05 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The Day is approaching.

Ezekiel 38 - KJV - read aloud - word-for-word

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2zuYCM0g2kc&feature=player_embedded

But before that, will there be a Baracktober Surprise?


13 posted on 09/11/2012 1:35:14 PM PDT by F15Eagle (1 John 5:4-5, 4:15, 5:13; John 3:17-18, 6:69, 11:25, 14:6, 20:31; Rom10:8-11; 1 Tim 2:5; Titus 3:4-5)
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To: CollegeRepublican
I'm thinking, what would stop the Iranians from fabricating a small device capable of taking out a few square blocks of a city. Something they could carry in their lil muzzie backpack.

It's highly unlikely they could launch anything against the U.S. unless maybe right off the coast in international waters from a oil tanker or cargo ship with little time to intercept.

Second only to Israel, Iran hates the U.S. and wouldn't hesitate to do something really really stupid.

14 posted on 09/11/2012 1:45:59 PM PDT by servantboy777
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

EMP Time approacheth.. I wonder whose computers they used? IBM?


15 posted on 09/11/2012 1:51:48 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
In respect to the news agency, others. This is not new news. We had reports of what they where doing regarding experimentation in the special tank for well over a year now, become public.
You actually produced news posts on the experimentation some time back. But that's ok. Main point is we know they have been working on atomic weapon development for some time. And at the rate that has been advertised from different quarters over the past years time frame, it sure looks like they could actually produce enough fissile grade U235 in about a year from now based on the various reports of just how much UF6 they have so far generated and stored, and are now putting ex percent through small centrifuge systems of a simple cascade arrangement.
Some of us where somewhat mislead two, three years back when we where huffing and puffing at how close they where to obtaining a sufficient amount of 90% or so U235.
But surely they are working in the direction of producing small atomic devices. For those that remember, quite a few at this site spent endless hours pinging and posting to one another on what was so clear. Now we find through best public sources and some leaks, they just where not at the point where it was advertised they where.
Within the next year or so. The picture changes. I don't doubt the Israeli's have legit arguments on this issue as it now stands. I have little else to add to rebuttals. I would just repeat what I just wrote.
And I am very open minded on these issues.
16 posted on 09/11/2012 6:24:54 PM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned.)
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