Skip to comments.Rasmussen Reports (O46 R45); Bounce fades to nil
Posted on 09/12/2012 6:19:53 AM PDT by Ravi
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I hope this is true.
Obamugabe is a failure.
Actually, that means that Romney will probably be up a point or two by weeks end. As I recall, the Sunday sample moved Obama’s average up to 50%. When that number rolls off the sample, Obama’s numbers will go down again.
It was true yesterday. Apparently RCP gets the daily Raz update at least a few minutes before the official release at 6:30 AM ET.
It's worth noting that we have had a 2 point correction two days running on a poll that is averaged over 3 days. Fair chance that a Romney lead will show up tomorrow.
I know Rasmussen is supposed, I say “supposed” to be the most accurate of pollsters, but for this low life scum sucking illegitimate POTUS to have even a little ahead of Romney in percentage points...THAT JUST DON’T MAKE SENSE.
Are we that far gone? I don’t think so. There are better than 60% of Americans listed as conservative and more even among the so called moderates who can’t wait to vote on Nov. 6 to vote Obama OUT.
There is something wrong with Rasmussen’s polling.
There are better than 60% of Americans listed as conservative
Then why did we end up with a crappy candidate. The worst in the history of the Republican Party. I wonder about 60 percent when we end up with a liberal running on the Republican ticket.
PING THE FREETARDS!
We know that Gallup has been compromised (Axelrod and Holder’s DOJ) and logic dictates that the Chicago mob is not going to go to the trouble to lean on Gallup and not bother with Rasmussen. It must be the case that even with these polls weighted as heavily as possible for dems the thing is only a point different.
down to a one point lead over Romney now. Bounce is fading, fading fast!!!
There’s also a 2 point correction per day for the last 3 days in ‘bammers approval index and his SA numbers.
Funny that the strongly disapprove numbers stayed steady whilst the strongly approve numbers went way up for a while.
I guess those who have already seen through this charlatan aren’t changing their opinion, while those who approve went to strong approval for a while.
Yes, they are still counting the weekend. Out of all the polls (even the fake ones) during and post dem convention, this one is the most concerning since Rasmussen is professional and has the best accuracy record.
down to a one point lead over Romney now. Bounce is fading, fading fast!!!
With leaners,Romney is up by one in Rasmussen. Real Clear Politics has a post up by Pat Caddell claiming Romney’s campaign is the worst in his lifetime. I guess Pat should know....oh, wait. He ran Jimmy Carter’s campaign, the actual worst campaign in Caddell’s lifetime.
Please remember most people don’t follow the issues we care about at all. They are only now starting pay attention..their 1st concern is the wife, kids,job, bills etc. The adds, debate NS events will frame the problem for most Americans. Have faith, RR will win this in a walk.
I respect Caddell's opinion, even if that one is overblown. However, I do think Romney is vulnerable, and he must get more aggressive to win - he's being far too nice and way too vague. A sharp, focused campaign (think Contract For America) would help him open up the lead he should be enjoying right now.
How the hell does Obama win on job creation? Romney needs to get off his @$$ and lead on this issue again.
I really wish there were some swing state polls from Rass or Mason-Dixon coming out; all there is is crap from PPP and a bunch of outfits I’ve never heard of before.
Agreed. It can be much better, but it is far from terrible. From a campaign manager perspective they probably are looking at it differently. For example, there is no core theme that they are resonating on Obama. Think back to the flip/flop mantra Bush used in 2004. Everyone could have recited it. With this campaign, there is no core message resonating on the opponent. The convention had that missing. They hit him on failures, but there was no overarching take-away.
To me Cadell is over the top here. It is like ESPN when they see one game and vastly over-react in their analysis.
He needs to expose the fraud that the current unemployment rate is.
The real rate, if the number of job seekers were calculated in a fair manner would be 12%+.
I think these are accurate.
Remember unemployment is high. Obama has thrown a basket of stuff at the unemployed to counter.
But unemployment is high.
This is a critical election. Romney needs, to do something about unemployment from his first day in office. Strongly.
Otherwise we pass the point of return.
We’re not past the point of return yet though.
Is there so much smoke that something is really going wrong in Ohio? Lose Ohio and lose the election, imo.
@JimPethokoukis: As I said during the RNC, a top GOP operative who knows Ohio well says the state is lost
Pat Caddell is probably the most honest/accurate pundit out there. He NEVER shies away from criticizing Democrats, so we should listen when calls Romney’s campaign the worst in history. I just don’t understand what happened to the Romney who was so fired up after the Ryan pick? He seemed energized, went on the attack more, and had momentum. The the GOP convention came, it mostly was passive crap, and things went to heck after.
Oops. Make that 9:30 ET.
What would Romney be saving? We were told for months they were holing their fire for that blistering “shock and awe” ad campaign that would blow Obama out of the water. Well, those ads came and they were typical passive Romney weak sauce. I just don’t think the guy has anything that can really hurt The Messiah. None of this makes any sense.
I answered a survey from NBC-Marist yesterday for a Virginia poll. Look for that one to come out soon. Given their history, it'll be hugely slanted toward the 0-boy. Virginia, however, is righting itself and moving toward Romney.
With Egypt and Libya, this election is his for the taking...but he needs to attack Obama mercilessly for his disastrous foreign policy, while still fresh in peoples’ minds.
I actually don’t think the University polls are nearly as bad as people make them out to be. I’d prefer them over PPP, or-random-new-organization-of-the-week.
Just out of curiousity, were you polled on a landline?
I don’t even have one (just a cellphone) I know that’s been an issue for pollers for years now.
with leaners included its R48 and o 47
We in are the last minutes of the last days. And I don't mean just for America.
The foreign policy debate will be the last one, 1 week before the election, I think. First one is domestic, second is that idiotic town hall nonsense which will end up all domestic, I assume.
They need to come up with ads, like yesterday, attacking Obama’s disastrous foreign policy. And Mitt needs to clearly state his foreign policy goals. It cannot wait.
I was polled on my cell, took the call from an actual live poll worker on the way home.
The problem is that people basically just want foreign policy to go away.
And polling finds wide support among both Republicans and Democrats for cutting the defense budget.
massive, although given the establishment media- probably temporary, sigh of relief.
Sure, I would love to eliminate the waste in the defense budget, which is considerable, I don’t believe that necessarily means cutting our defense capabilities.
No good ones ran.
“Then why did we end up with a crappy candidate.”
My simple theory is: People want the vanilla white guy with good hair, a wife and normal family who talks to them in a comforting manner.
In other words, pretty much the opposite of Obama.
I would speculate this nomination was promised to Romney four years ago and the establishment GOP told some of our conservative governors, etc. to stay out of the race. They complied and our conservatives in the primary, although good people, were a B team and easier for Romney to dispatch.
Welcome to FR.
One point lead for Romney with leaners.
I think that zero will be blown out of the water tomorrow.
Clearly he doesn’t remember John McCain.
interesting.....I would have thought that the “certain Romney” number would be a point or two higher. Perhaps a few conservatives are holding back? Seems about a 1% bump could be had there for those few conservatives lagging...but obviously that micro-targeting has to be pretty specific.
Then there are the “leaners” which I take to be the beloved independents. CW says those should “break to the challenger” but obama’s “leaners” is slightly larger. So....I think the task at hand is to make sure that those who will break to Romney show up and vote, and vote Romney...and that those who would break to obama simply don’t have a reason to vote and therefore don’t bother.
Of course I am also hoping that the “certain Romney” broken glass voters at 40% is actually larger than the “certain obama” voters. Problem is the data doesn’t show that...as of now.
Romney has a good chance.
But he has a little ways to go.
I’m hoping that if WE know that, so do the “campaign professionals”.