Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rasmussen Reports (O46 R45); Bounce fades to nil
rasmussen reports ^ | 9/12/12 | rasmussen

Posted on 09/12/2012 6:19:53 AM PDT by Ravi

see above

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012dncconvention; 2012polls; bounce; obama; romney; romney2012
Not on website yet. All the hand wringers need to chill out now please. Yes he had a bounce and it has dissipated but still the election is too close for comfort. Romney can be more aggressive which I think he is doing. Game on.
1 posted on 09/12/2012 6:19:59 AM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Ravi

I hope this is true.


2 posted on 09/12/2012 6:22:32 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Obamugabe is a failure.


3 posted on 09/12/2012 6:29:42 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Actually, that means that Romney will probably be up a point or two by weeks end. As I recall, the Sunday sample moved Obama’s average up to 50%. When that number rolls off the sample, Obama’s numbers will go down again.


4 posted on 09/12/2012 6:31:15 AM PDT by mrs9x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KC_Conspirator
I hope this is true.

It was true yesterday. Apparently RCP gets the daily Raz update at least a few minutes before the official release at 6:30 AM ET.

It's worth noting that we have had a 2 point correction two days running on a poll that is averaged over 3 days. Fair chance that a Romney lead will show up tomorrow.

5 posted on 09/12/2012 6:32:22 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Ravi; All

I know Rasmussen is supposed, I say “supposed” to be the most accurate of pollsters, but for this low life scum sucking illegitimate POTUS to have even a little ahead of Romney in percentage points...THAT JUST DON’T MAKE SENSE.

Are we that far gone? I don’t think so. There are better than 60% of Americans listed as conservative and more even among the so called moderates who can’t wait to vote on Nov. 6 to vote Obama OUT.

There is something wrong with Rasmussen’s polling.


6 posted on 09/12/2012 6:32:50 AM PDT by el_texicano (Palinista to the core! Ryan will kick butt.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


7 posted on 09/12/2012 6:37:00 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi
Quick. Someone pull out some doom and gloom Republican pundit to say that “Romney has an uphill climb” or that “Romney has to pull an inside straight” to win. Or get some depressing conservative pundit to analyze the numbers and say how “devastating” they are to Romney because the race now turns on likeability and that is Obama’s strong suit. Republicans are their own worst enemies.
8 posted on 09/12/2012 6:37:55 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi
Obama is down about 8 points today. Wait until tomorrow.
9 posted on 09/12/2012 6:38:31 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: el_texicano

There are better than 60% of Americans listed as conservative

Then why did we end up with a crappy candidate. The worst in the history of the Republican Party. I wonder about 60 percent when we end up with a liberal running on the Republican ticket.


10 posted on 09/12/2012 6:40:29 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Paul Ryan/Rick Santorum 2012....That would be the best scenario ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Ravi
Where are the handwringers? The bedwetters? The know-nothings?

PING THE FREETARDS!

11 posted on 09/12/2012 6:41:10 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NE1, IA = 272EV)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: el_texicano

We know that Gallup has been compromised (Axelrod and Holder’s DOJ) and logic dictates that the Chicago mob is not going to go to the trouble to lean on Gallup and not bother with Rasmussen. It must be the case that even with these polls weighted as heavily as possible for dems the thing is only a point different.


12 posted on 09/12/2012 6:41:34 AM PDT by varmintman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

down to a one point lead over Romney now. Bounce is fading, fading fast!!!


13 posted on 09/12/2012 6:42:24 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: InterceptPoint

There’s also a 2 point correction per day for the last 3 days in ‘bammers approval index and his SA numbers.

Funny that the strongly disapprove numbers stayed steady whilst the strongly approve numbers went way up for a while.

I guess those who have already seen through this charlatan aren’t changing their opinion, while those who approve went to strong approval for a while.


14 posted on 09/12/2012 6:43:14 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working fors)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: InterceptPoint

Yes, they are still counting the weekend. Out of all the polls (even the fake ones) during and post dem convention, this one is the most concerning since Rasmussen is professional and has the best accuracy record.


15 posted on 09/12/2012 6:43:28 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

down to a one point lead over Romney now. Bounce is fading, fading fast!!!


16 posted on 09/12/2012 6:43:52 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: StAnDeliver

With leaners,Romney is up by one in Rasmussen. Real Clear Politics has a post up by Pat Caddell claiming Romney’s campaign is the worst in his lifetime. I guess Pat should know....oh, wait. He ran Jimmy Carter’s campaign, the actual worst campaign in Caddell’s lifetime.


17 posted on 09/12/2012 6:44:25 AM PDT by liberlog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: el_texicano

Please remember most people don’t follow the issues we care about at all. They are only now starting pay attention..their 1st concern is the wife, kids,job, bills etc. The adds, debate NS events will frame the problem for most Americans. Have faith, RR will win this in a walk.


18 posted on 09/12/2012 6:48:51 AM PDT by The Klingon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: liberlog
Real Clear Politics has a post up by Pat Caddell claiming Romney’s campaign is the worst in his lifetime.

I respect Caddell's opinion, even if that one is overblown. However, I do think Romney is vulnerable, and he must get more aggressive to win - he's being far too nice and way too vague. A sharp, focused campaign (think Contract For America) would help him open up the lead he should be enjoying right now.

19 posted on 09/12/2012 6:49:03 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Speak Up, Mitt!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: liberlog

How the hell does Obama win on job creation? Romney needs to get off his @$$ and lead on this issue again.


20 posted on 09/12/2012 6:53:56 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: KC_Conspirator

I really wish there were some swing state polls from Rass or Mason-Dixon coming out; all there is is crap from PPP and a bunch of outfits I’ve never heard of before.


21 posted on 09/12/2012 6:56:54 AM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: TonyInOhio

Agreed. It can be much better, but it is far from terrible. From a campaign manager perspective they probably are looking at it differently. For example, there is no core theme that they are resonating on Obama. Think back to the flip/flop mantra Bush used in 2004. Everyone could have recited it. With this campaign, there is no core message resonating on the opponent. The convention had that missing. They hit him on failures, but there was no overarching take-away.

To me Cadell is over the top here. It is like ESPN when they see one game and vastly over-react in their analysis.


22 posted on 09/12/2012 6:57:11 AM PDT by ilgipper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: KC_Conspirator

He needs to expose the fraud that the current unemployment rate is.

The real rate, if the number of job seekers were calculated in a fair manner would be 12%+.


23 posted on 09/12/2012 7:01:11 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working fors)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: el_texicano

I think these are accurate.

Remember unemployment is high. Obama has thrown a basket of stuff at the unemployed to counter.

But unemployment is high.

This is a critical election. Romney needs, to do something about unemployment from his first day in office. Strongly.

Otherwise we pass the point of return.

We’re not past the point of return yet though.

(yet)


24 posted on 09/12/2012 7:03:04 AM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (America doesn't need any new laws. America needs freedom!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: liberlog

Is there so much smoke that something is really going wrong in Ohio? Lose Ohio and lose the election, imo.

@JimPethokoukis: As I said during the RNC, a top GOP operative who knows Ohio well says the state is lost


25 posted on 09/12/2012 7:05:44 AM PDT by mypalsnail
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: TonyInOhio

Pat Caddell is probably the most honest/accurate pundit out there. He NEVER shies away from criticizing Democrats, so we should listen when calls Romney’s campaign the worst in history. I just don’t understand what happened to the Romney who was so fired up after the Ryan pick? He seemed energized, went on the attack more, and had momentum. The the GOP convention came, it mostly was passive crap, and things went to heck after.


26 posted on 09/12/2012 7:06:07 AM PDT by mypalsnail
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: InterceptPoint
official release at 6:30 AM ET.

Oops. Make that 9:30 ET.

27 posted on 09/12/2012 7:06:25 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: ilgipper
I do think the Romney campaign seems a little unfocused, scattershooting. On the other hand, the Obama administration presents such a rich opportunity for multiple criticisms. If Romney is saving his best stuff for last, I think that will prove to be a wise decision. For now, isn't Obama pretty much beating himself?
28 posted on 09/12/2012 7:07:28 AM PDT by liberlog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: liberlog

What would Romney be saving? We were told for months they were holing their fire for that blistering “shock and awe” ad campaign that would blow Obama out of the water. Well, those ads came and they were typical passive Romney weak sauce. I just don’t think the guy has anything that can really hurt The Messiah. None of this makes any sense.


29 posted on 09/12/2012 7:16:08 AM PDT by mypalsnail
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Strategerist
I really wish there were some swing state polls from Rass or Mason-Dixon coming out; all there is is crap from PPP and a bunch of outfits I’ve never heard of before.

I answered a survey from NBC-Marist yesterday for a Virginia poll. Look for that one to come out soon. Given their history, it'll be hugely slanted toward the 0-boy. Virginia, however, is righting itself and moving toward Romney.

30 posted on 09/12/2012 7:18:33 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: mypalsnail

With Egypt and Libya, this election is his for the taking...but he needs to attack Obama mercilessly for his disastrous foreign policy, while still fresh in peoples’ minds.


31 posted on 09/12/2012 7:20:29 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: ScottinVA

I actually don’t think the University polls are nearly as bad as people make them out to be. I’d prefer them over PPP, or-random-new-organization-of-the-week.

Just out of curiousity, were you polled on a landline?

I don’t even have one (just a cellphone) I know that’s been an issue for pollers for years now.


32 posted on 09/12/2012 7:20:38 AM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

with leaners included its R48 and o 47


33 posted on 09/12/2012 7:21:08 AM PDT by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now and in the future)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi
I have no confidence for a bounce fade. If this many people can support such an open God hating, America hating, sodomite Marxist, there is no hope for this country.

We in are the last minutes of the last days. And I don't mean just for America.

34 posted on 09/12/2012 7:21:37 AM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator
With Egypt and Libya, this election is his for the taking...but he needs to attack Obama mercilessly for his disastrous foreign policy, while still fresh in peoples’ minds.

The foreign policy debate will be the last one, 1 week before the election, I think. First one is domestic, second is that idiotic town hall nonsense which will end up all domestic, I assume.

35 posted on 09/12/2012 7:22:11 AM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: Strategerist

They need to come up with ads, like yesterday, attacking Obama’s disastrous foreign policy. And Mitt needs to clearly state his foreign policy goals. It cannot wait.


36 posted on 09/12/2012 7:23:46 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: Strategerist
Just out of curiousity, were you polled on a landline?

I was polled on my cell, took the call from an actual live poll worker on the way home.

37 posted on 09/12/2012 7:29:18 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator

The problem is that people basically just want foreign policy to go away.

And polling finds wide support among both Republicans and Democrats for cutting the defense budget.


38 posted on 09/12/2012 7:34:23 AM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: mountainlion

massive, although given the establishment media- probably temporary, sigh of relief.


39 posted on 09/12/2012 7:35:20 AM PDT by rushmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Strategerist

Sure, I would love to eliminate the waste in the defense budget, which is considerable, I don’t believe that necessarily means cutting our defense capabilities.


40 posted on 09/12/2012 7:35:47 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator
Then why did we end up with a crappy candidate.(?)

No good ones ran.

41 posted on 09/12/2012 7:36:17 AM PDT by Last Dakotan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

“Then why did we end up with a crappy candidate.”

My simple theory is: People want the vanilla white guy with good hair, a wife and normal family who talks to them in a comforting manner.

In other words, pretty much the opposite of Obama.


42 posted on 09/12/2012 7:37:47 AM PDT by GOPsterinMA (The Glove don't fit, but it's better than a burqa.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

I would speculate this nomination was promised to Romney four years ago and the establishment GOP told some of our conservative governors, etc. to stay out of the race. They complied and our conservatives in the primary, although good people, were a B team and easier for Romney to dispatch.


43 posted on 09/12/2012 7:38:31 AM PDT by rushmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: mypalsnail

Welcome to FR.


44 posted on 09/12/2012 7:39:11 AM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (America doesn't need any new laws. America needs freedom!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeDude
Photobucket
45 posted on 09/12/2012 7:39:36 AM PDT by profit_guy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeDude

One point lead for Romney with leaners.


46 posted on 09/12/2012 7:39:46 AM PDT by rushmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: rushmom

I think that zero will be blown out of the water tomorrow.


47 posted on 09/12/2012 7:41:24 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: liberlog

Clearly he doesn’t remember John McCain.


48 posted on 09/12/2012 7:41:48 AM PDT by rushmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: profit_guy

interesting.....I would have thought that the “certain Romney” number would be a point or two higher. Perhaps a few conservatives are holding back? Seems about a 1% bump could be had there for those few conservatives lagging...but obviously that micro-targeting has to be pretty specific.

Then there are the “leaners” which I take to be the beloved independents. CW says those should “break to the challenger” but obama’s “leaners” is slightly larger. So....I think the task at hand is to make sure that those who will break to Romney show up and vote, and vote Romney...and that those who would break to obama simply don’t have a reason to vote and therefore don’t bother.

Of course I am also hoping that the “certain Romney” broken glass voters at 40% is actually larger than the “certain obama” voters. Problem is the data doesn’t show that...as of now.

Romney has a good chance.

But he has a little ways to go.

I’m hoping that if WE know that, so do the “campaign professionals”.


49 posted on 09/12/2012 7:52:04 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson