Skip to comments.The Problem With Obama's Polls
Posted on 09/13/2012 3:25:43 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
WASHINGTON -- Nuts. The Democratic National Convention is over. Watching Bill Clinton, Jean-François Kerry, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, and all the other preposterosities -- not least being the widely under-depreciated Sandra Fluck -- I fell under a spell. I thought the convention would go on forever. There would be no need for horror movies, action movies, X-Treme sports, cockfights, or soap operas. I could enjoy them all in the comfort of my own home. All provided by the Democratic National Committee, safely watched over by the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Police Department and probably select units of the North Carolina National Guard. Yet the convention ended, and now comes the surprise. President Obama actually received a bump in the polls, a modest but a bump.
CNN was up 6 points. Gallup was up 5 points. ABC News/Washington Post was up 1, and so it went until I came across something called SurveyUSA/Civitas. That poll had Mitt Romney up by 10 points, but I do not know who they were polling or why? Possibly they were pulling our leg.
Remember, these polls came after the Democrats in convention assembled voted against mentioning God in their sacred document. Oh, sure, on the third voice vote the mayor of Los Angeles, standing rather unwillingly at the podium, gave the vote to God, but we all heard the vote. God lost. And there was the bloody business about Jerusalem. The Democrats want Israel's capital elsewhere. Where I wonder. Finally, there was the Democrats' contrived controversy about a procedure that has been uncontroversial among Americans since the 1960s, birth control! Do the Democrats really believe that Romney is going to deny them their birth control devices, even colored condoms? Those devices are the Republicans' one foolproof way to ensure suppression of the Democratic vote...even more effective than...
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
How to explain it I cannot say with certainty. Some evidence suggests that the pollsters poll a higher percentage of Democrats than Republicans. Moreover, a recent poll from the Pew Research Center is suggestive. The electorate is growing impatient with pollsters calling them for their views on everything from deodorants to odors. According to Pew, “the response rate of a typical telephone [political] survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.” My suspicion is that political polling has not been reliable for years. Increasingly those who sit down with the pollster are politically committed respondents.
More demonRATs, more unmarried women, more welfare grafters, more kalifornia, NY and IL voters will give the same results.
Until the last 10 days, these polls are trying to shape the results not report them, in the last 10 days, every pollster that wants to stay in business, starts to try to be more reflective and less partisan, unless they are hired specifically to report a slanted result.
Some firms are in business for the specific reason of shaping results and therefore will not become more accurate.
Herr Obey sends Ricky over to show them how to do it. No problem.
Dear Leader is even leading Mitt in Texas and Oklahoma!
Oh Noes, Weez all Dooooooomed!!!!
Dear Leader is even leading in Texas......HAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHSTOP, PLEASE YOU’RE KILLING ME, HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAH.