Skip to comments.Is North Carolina Still in Play for Obama?
Posted on 09/13/2012 4:24:25 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Romney pollster Neil Newhouse crowed in a Monday memo that the Obama campaign is laying the groundwork for a stealth withdrawal. He cited the campaigns television buy in the state to understand how they view their chances there. The Obama campaigns North Carolina television buy has dropped 35 percent compared to June, and they have run more than twice as much advertising over the past two weeks in Rochester, Minnesota (hitting a small slice of Iowa), than they have in any North Carolina market.
Placing his nominating convention in Charlotte was considered key to the presidents chances of winning the state in November. But the final-night venue change -- from 74,000-seat Bank of America Stadium to the Time Warner Cable Arena, with less than a quarter of that capacity -- put a damper on the campaigns organizing plans.
Obamas team issued 65,000 acceptance-speech credentials to supporters and had another 19,000 supporters on a waiting list. Campaign officials admit to disappointment over the relocation of the presidents acceptance speech last Thursday -- no surprise given that they had repeatedly talked up how far the convention would go in mobilizing North Carolina voters.
Privately, Democratic operatives and even aides on the Obama team have been bearish about their chances of winning the Tar Heel State a second time (after eking out a 14,000-vote win in 2008), even though they believe the demographics are moving in their favor. (One senior staffer told RCP at the convention that if the president loses North Carolina in 2012, the party will win it in 2016.)
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Yeah, kinda. But it’s going to be tough. It will be close but I would bet on Romney winning this state.
I’m dumbfounded that any part of North America is still in play..????????????????????????????????????
NC will be bright red.
Obama is Leaving the State
Two polls, Survey USA and Elon University, show Obama falling behind and losing ground. Interestingly, the convention in Charlotte may have backfired, given its sex-obsessed agenda (abortion, gay marraige, and taxpayer-funding of birth control) as well as the astonishing flap over mentioning God in the platform. It got more coverage in North Carolina than elsewhere.
Nope, not even...
Observe the results of the Marriage amendment vote (60+ in favor of man and woman) and the disgraceful Dim Governor who isn’t even running.
Barry is probably more popular in Cairo and in Libya, ya think? One can assume they love Presidents who suck up to terrorists.
Same phenomenon is showing in VA polling. In one survey Romney had seen significant movement after the DNC while Obama’s numbers stayed flat. It looks like a lot of independent voters who might otherwise of been open to O were really alienated by the abortion fest in NC
That fact that this question is even asked is very telling.... And very promising for the ‘good(er) guys’
NOW that to me speaks volumes instead of polls!! Look at the size of the crowds, that’s indication as to WHO has the BIG MO!! And I believe R&R have it no matter how much the mediaWHORES along with the pollsters bitch and whine!
Yep, I just love a POTUS and SOS who are more interested in ripping their own country apart for global purposes using the UN as a springboard which seems to be a particular favorite of Hill and Bill. I don’t know what is true; but they sure don’t favor America. They should be tried tried for treason.
We have the genius of Todd Akin to thank for that, whose remarks shortly prior flipped the libs into public hyperventilation over issues that are lower on the priority list for the general population, no thanks to/from Karl Rove.
Absolute NO southern state is in PLAY for Obama, not NC, not FL, not MO, none of them.. The only possible exception would be VA and that’s only if the DC area contingent can overwhelm the rest of the state..
OBAMA is Dead Man Walking in the south.
North Carolina is one state where it is quite obvious that Obama's small margin of victory in '08 was obtained by fraud.
Short answer, no.
I’m also about an inch from calling VA for willard. Want to see what the next Ras poll says, but I think the momentum is going willard. The Amb. to Libya being murdered will not help hussein in the People’s Republic of NOVA one bit. Keep in mind lots of them are civil servants, foreign service.
Full disclosure. I intend to vote against willard and for a conservative second party candidate.
Did you hear? (/snix)
"Swing state" delegates were invited to a wife-swapping party featuring a communal hot tub. The swinging party was attended by Mr and Mrs Obama, Mr and Mrs Joe Biden, Mr and Mrs David Axelrod, Mr and Mrs Rham Emanuel, Mr and Mrs Robert Gibbs. Ex-Penn State President Dr Graham Spanier---the human sexuality scholar --- was on hand to assist in wife-swapping and other group sex techniques.
Sandra Fluck, nationally known fornicator, and contraceptive hoarder, showed delegates how to use contraceptives to prevent being punished with a baby.
Planned Parenthood's "Sex Is Okay" programs for teens and pre-teens was attended by the Obama daughters.
I tend to agree. I think the election map will bear a stunning resemblance to the map of CSA versus northern states circa 1862.
This election in my view is going to come down to the midwest, not the south.
In terms of the Rust Belt.... Obama is dead in IN, WI, OH an IA. MN and IL are safe, MI and PA I believe could be winnable if Romney fights for them. IMHO
So why are the 'Rat drones so cocky about carrying NC in 2016 on "demographic change"? What, there wasn't enough "demographic change" since Terry Sanford came into office, to keep the State voting 'Rat?
Or is their an undertow among all voters of wising-up to the 'Rat agenda?
NC voters seem to have puked all over Barry's gayfest/abortfest/Muzziefest this time.
I moved away from “Fartin’ Martin” O’Malley and the Maryland S.S.R. across the river into “NOVA”, where my state delegate had to resign because he cheated on his wife and his ‘rat successor won the special election by a 75-20-5 margin, and the state senator is a Barney Frank wannabe (homosexual, socialist, ethnic Jew). The ‘Rats even have a city council member in Alexandria named, get this, Redella Pepper (she goes by “Del”, should have gone by “Red”).
I wish I could be as optimistic as you on Virginia. Sadly, our governor (who is a college classmate of mine) places a higher law enforcement priority on enforcing the HOV-3 lanes on the local freeways than he does on making sure military have absentee ballots or fighting voter fraud. I have thought about voting for Virgil Goode, but the presence of Paul Ryan on the ticket convinced me to vote for Willard.
Interestingly, Romney can be elected president even if he loses the Old Dominion. Assuming he wins all the states McCain/Palin won in 2008 plus North Carolina and Indiana, Romney wins 273-265 if he carries Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire and either (i) Michigan or (ii) both Wisconsin and Iowa. If he loses New Hampshire, we have a 269-269 tie and the election is thrown into the House of Representatives. This possibility makes congressional open seat elections in Montana and North Dakota and the newly created seat in Nevada crucially important, since the vote in the house is by state delegation, not by individual representatives, and a candidate needs to control 26 state delegations to win.
One of the things that killed her popularity was her staunch support for Obamacare (and, frankly, all things Obama). This doesn't bode well for the creator of Obamacare when he comes stumping for votes.
Well I don’t necessarily think willard wins the election. I do think he wins the south.
Ironic to be sure.
If willard loses VA and FL its because he lost the election in a rout anyway.
I think PA is in the “cede to hussein” column.
Due to the similar thin margins you can add Indiana and Nebraska CD 2.
Obama has no chance to win any of them this time.
As to “demographic shifts” vis-a-vis 2016 it was claimed by democrats some years ago that “Texas will be a swing state by 2008”.
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