Give me a break.
There has been a clear expectation here that Obama will be hurt by the Mid-East crisis. In the long run he probably will be but in the short run, like the next 60 days or so, maybe not.
Don't kid yourself. This is a big deal and it can affect the outcome of the election. Movement in the polls we trust over the next few days will give us a good indication of what that affect will be.
I can’t imagine a single person that was even leaning Romney would suddenly rally to Obama as a result of the middle east blowing up. That make absolutely no sense at all.
The variability in these polls is too much to allow any substantive consideration of 1 or 2 point swings. The variability is so much that it is often outside the MOE. I personally don’t believe voters change their minds from day to day as much as these highly volatile polls suggest. It’s much more likely that the variability in how the polls are conducted (the sampling mix, who is called, what days polling occurred during, how the questions were asked, etc.) accounts for a significant amount of the variability.
One statistic I personally have not seen reported is the number of people called vs. the number of people who agreed to participate.
Realistically, the lead is probably going to see-saw back and forth until the debates. Romney will surge on the weekdays, 0bama will surge on the weekends. Seems to have been the trend all year.
Right now, most the country does not like Romney. They like 0bama, but they also know he has done, and continues to do, a piss poor job. So people really aren’t sure what to do. Once the debates take place and they see 0bama can not defend anything he has done and has nothing but empty and unfulfilled promises to run on, they will switch to Romney.
I must be in an alternate universe.
Our embassies under siege around the world. The State Department issued apologies for citizens using their first amendment rights. Reports abound that we were ADVISED 48 hours in advance that it would happen but did nothing. We have 4 dead citizens including an ambassador and 2 special ops. Netanyahu was snubbed to the extent that he went public about his disdain for Filth.
And you’re here telling us you’re oh-so concerned this will all work to Filth’s favor.
Right. Thanks for the concern...but I think you accidentally sent a post intended for some other site.
Geeze.
Hank