1) Israel attacks Iran.[delivering a crippling initial blow with its detonation of an EMP device]
2) Egypt, under control of muslim brotherhood, cancels peace treaty with Israel, sides with Iran and attacks Israel resulting in two large, well armed countries at war with Israel.[US cuts off all aid to Egypt, including parts for its American weapon systems]
3) Hezbollah, which fought Israels army to a standstill in 2006, attacks Israel from Lebanon.[Israel engages Hezbollah to a standstill. It's fighting for its life]
4) Iran and Egypt manage to sink ships in Straight of Hormuz, cutting off oil supply to the west.[Egypt and Iran are unable to block the Straight of Hormuz, oil flow continues]
Mayans December 2012 calendar anyone? [Mayan calendar doomsday is proven a myth]
Egypt can close the Suez Canal....it is very narrow at points.
Iran can mine the St of Hormuz, that is what we are there for MIW wargames....they can do it and we need to exercise how to clear them as quick as possible.