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Rasmussen shows Romney Ahead in Swing States
Rasmussen Reports | 9/16/2012 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/16/2012 7:25:13 PM PDT by Hero

Rasmussen Reader subscribers can read the full Swing State tracking update daily at 10:00 a.m. Eastern. This article offers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; vanity
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1 posted on 09/16/2012 7:25:17 PM PDT by Hero
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To: Hero

All these contradictory polls are giving me whiplash.


2 posted on 09/16/2012 7:29:02 PM PDT by stormhill
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To: Hero

All these contradictory polls are giving me whiplash.


3 posted on 09/16/2012 7:29:07 PM PDT by stormhill
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To: Hero; LS; Arthurio; MNJohnnie; DarthVader; randita; TonyInOhio; SoFloFreeper

ping


4 posted on 09/16/2012 7:29:50 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: LS

ping


5 posted on 09/16/2012 7:30:02 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 election.)
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To: stormhill

That’s because some of them are intended to suppress your vote, eg. CBS/NYT and NBC/Marest, TIMECNN/ORC


6 posted on 09/16/2012 7:30:53 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: stormhill

we should learn the hard lesson fromn ‘08...Rasmussen was on the front of the whipping line as he constantly called the race 6% for obama and he took a lot of crap on the pages here at Freep...

i would not worry about other polls- polling is Rasmussen’s bread and butter...


7 posted on 09/16/2012 7:33:41 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: stormhill

Rasmussen is one of the few reliable ones, IMO. Most of the others are trying to fool you. The media has really circled the wagons in the last few weeks, and it’s getting much harder for the truth to get through.


8 posted on 09/16/2012 7:34:20 PM PDT by whitey righty
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To: Hero

What’s that old saying, “If you don’t like the polls, wait 15 minutes.”


9 posted on 09/16/2012 7:34:57 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The United States of America apologizing to knuckledragging, cavedwelling Neandethals. Whodda thunk!)
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To: Hero

But the media sez obama has the lead


10 posted on 09/16/2012 7:37:54 PM PDT by vpintheak (Occupy your Brain!)
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To: Hero

can you post an excerpt showing the swing state summaries please


11 posted on 09/16/2012 7:38:11 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Hero

My question is at what point does the MSM throw Obama under the bus or do they ride him over the credibility cliff. We will know soon.


12 posted on 09/16/2012 7:39:57 PM PDT by teletech (Say NO to RINOS!)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

If someone shows me a poll and expects me to wet my pants over a RV poll with D +13 oversampling, I am sorry I am not going to do it.

I asked an ABR if he/she believed that the Dem would out poll the GOP by 10 percent, that people refused to answer.

I am adult and can take bad news, but I am not going to suffer fools.


13 posted on 09/16/2012 7:40:09 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: stormhill

Here I will help you. Here is the rating of pollsters by accuracy in 2008. Instead of getting whiplash, trying to follow everyone simply tune out anyone outside the top 5.

1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)


14 posted on 09/16/2012 7:40:12 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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but how can this be? because HE IS the Kwisatz Haderach!!!

sarc


15 posted on 09/16/2012 7:42:11 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: Perdogg

“That’s because some of them are intended to suppress your vote, eg. CBS/NYT and NBC/Marest, TIMECNN/ORC”

Exactly!

But, It isn’t going to work on my family. We will crawl to the voting booth to get rid of “dear leader”!


16 posted on 09/16/2012 7:43:36 PM PDT by kcvl
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To: stormhill
SOP for this phase in the general election.

In 1988 Dukakis was up by 17 in mid September and Carter was ahead of Reagan up to the last week.

The MSM meme is to trumpet these skewered polls to engender a malaise in republican voters. This election cycle is the one where this tactic will least work. I live an Massachusetts and know the chances of Romney getting this states electoral votes are slim but they will have to encircle the voting precinct with flowing lava to deter me this year.

17 posted on 09/16/2012 7:43:36 PM PDT by AU72
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To: Hero

I cant trust any poll, even Rasmussen. The contradicting and oversampling is to much for me to use as a good judge of how this election is going.

I will use the 2010 election as a judge which is what leads me to believe R/R could win this election by a margin as low as 291-247 and as high as 346-192.


18 posted on 09/16/2012 7:44:20 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: Kolath

Lol.

In the movie his sister was really creepy when she said that.


19 posted on 09/16/2012 7:45:27 PM PDT by Truth is a Weapon (Truth, it hurts so good.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Funny to see Daily Kos at 7th for accuracy, since it turned out his pollster simply made up numbers out of thin air. What does that say about the ones who did worse than that?


20 posted on 09/16/2012 7:46:52 PM PDT by Tea Party Terrorist (Your tattoo looks stupid.)
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To: Hero

At the end of August Rasmussen did a survey of people that consider themselves Republican ?Democrat and Ind. 37.6% consider themselves Rep. 33.3 consider themselves Democrats and 29.2% other!

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends


21 posted on 09/16/2012 7:48:08 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: Tea Party Terrorist

KOS has conceded the WI and NE senates races to the GOP.


22 posted on 09/16/2012 7:48:45 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: AU72
I live in Massachusetts and nothing is going to keep me from the polls either. I will be in Hawaii until mid-October but I'll swim across the Pacific and hitchhike across the continent if that is what it will take to be at my polling place on November 6.

I also would not be surprised if Massachusetts went for Romney.

23 posted on 09/16/2012 7:50:33 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: tallyhoe

Cant wait to see updated september ratios


24 posted on 09/16/2012 7:54:10 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: SamAdams76

I also would not be surprised if Massachusetts went for Romney.

I don’t think Massachusetts will go red yet, if any big surprise state flips I think it will start in New Jersey first.


25 posted on 09/16/2012 7:56:12 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: barmag25

” I also would not be surprised if Massachusetts went for Romney. “

I would . NE is in the bag for the Rats with the exception of NH and it’s just a matter of time before that state is overrun with MA transplants that’ll put IT in the Rat column .


26 posted on 09/16/2012 8:03:34 PM PDT by sushiman
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To: AU72
The MSM meme is to trumpet these skewered polls to engender a malaise in republican voters.

Republicans traditionally are better at voter turnout: both getting to the polls themselves and getting others to the polls.

None of the predictions I've read is based on a "voter apathy" model. I don't know how many people out there are really fired up to get out and vote, or if they really don't care and will stay home and watch the TV for the results.

The 2008 election was "historic." Now that that particular bit of gum has been chewed up and lost its flavor, quite possibly it will be stuck under the seat. Motivated people sick of BO will get out there. People who regret having voted for him will stay home or vote for Romney (or someone else).

27 posted on 09/16/2012 8:03:39 PM PDT by thecodont
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To: Hero

Someone needs to post this on hotair.com. The posts there recently have been so negative. This should also been tweeted to Laura Ingraham. Over the last few weeks she has just looked at poll that had Obama ahead and assumed the worst without even bothering to see it was a poll that oversampled Dems


28 posted on 09/16/2012 8:19:36 PM PDT by aheckle
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To: Hero

Here’s a good source link for Rasmussen non-subscribers

http://race42012.com/2012/09/16/poll-watch-rasmussen-daily-swing-state-tracking-poll-3/


29 posted on 09/16/2012 8:28:12 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Perdogg

Look what happens when you use a realistic sample


30 posted on 09/16/2012 8:29:26 PM PDT by italianquaker ( 17 percent of the tea partiers support barry obama, the fox poll said so lol)
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To: stormhill

Trust the most accurate polls in the business which is Rasmussen, Pew and Survey USA’s state polls.

The NBC, Nytimes, CBS, Washpost are historically inaccurate and known for their marxist bias.


31 posted on 09/16/2012 8:38:38 PM PDT by GregH
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To: Perdogg
That’s because some of them are intended to suppress your vote, eg. CBS/NYT and NBC/Marest, TIMECNN/ORC,

Which begs the question I have been asking for nearly 40 years. For this strategy to work (and it does) there must be a lot of voters that base their vote on who they believe will win.

So, if we have that many morons (moron is a little kind, actually), do they not get the government they deserve?

It's just a damn shame that it is also MY country. And not one I'm going to easily give up.

32 posted on 09/16/2012 8:40:06 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s....you weren't really there)
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To: Hero

Maybe he should come to Illinois, the way things are going, Rahm might campaign with him ;-)


33 posted on 09/16/2012 8:40:21 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: stormhill

This far out, if any poll can be beleived its Ras.
Not sure how Ras does it, but its about the sole holdout to super loading dems and spinnin for nobama most of the rest do daily.


34 posted on 09/16/2012 8:47:09 PM PDT by X-spurt (It is truly time for ON YOUR FEET or on your knees)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Thank God! Now I can go to bed happy—after I pray for my country. Niters...


35 posted on 09/16/2012 9:09:40 PM PDT by RightLady (Take out the trash Nov 6th)
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To: Perdogg

CBS/NYT and NBC/Marest, TIMECNN/ORC are trying to encourage the dems with tilted polling results


36 posted on 09/16/2012 9:13:56 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Obama blaming Freedom of Speech for Al Qaeda attack on Embassies in Libya and Egypt on Sept 11)
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To: stormhill

I find them interesting but I don’t get beside myself over them. I think the real test will come AFTER the debates. That is when everybody will tune in and start formulating an opinion.


37 posted on 09/16/2012 9:16:59 PM PDT by Cherokeesquaw
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To: tsowellfan; Perdogg
It's going to be interesting seeing how the polls change as the ineptitude of the administration begins to sink in concerning all the Jihadist activity over the last week.
38 posted on 09/16/2012 9:18:02 PM PDT by Lakeshark (I don't care for Mitt; the alternative is unthinkable)
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To: Hero

I would rather this be Gallup or some other Dem-leaning poll, for peace of mind ;)


39 posted on 09/16/2012 9:25:26 PM PDT by PghBaldy (I am sick of Obama's and Hillary's apologies to muslims, especially after 11 September 2012.)
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To: SamAdams76
I will be in Hawaii until mid-October but I'll swim across the Pacific and hitchhike across the continent if that is what it will take to be at my polling place on November 6.

Might I suggest that it would be a tad easier to hitchhike across the Pacific, then swim across the continent.

40 posted on 09/16/2012 9:28:05 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: Lakeshark

I see a good ad Romney could run.

Mitt Romney: “I don’t want to buy into the democratic pitch that this is all about one person - Osama Bin Laden. Because after we get him there’s going to be another and another. This is a worldwide Jihadist effort.”

Some good advertisement material...

http://youtu.be/kypKSvLUggg

September 11th 2012 proved that Mitt Romney was right and Obama was wrong.


41 posted on 09/16/2012 9:31:53 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Obama blaming Freedom of Speech for Al Qaeda attack on Embassies in Libya and Egypt on Sept 11)
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To: smoothsailing

That link doesn’t help all that much.

What is going to make the difference are the polling numbers from Ohio, Virginia, and Florida...


42 posted on 09/16/2012 9:38:24 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: tsowellfan

He’s got a lot of material, let’s hope he starts putting it to good use. He’s right on most issues as compared to Bambi, but if he doesn’t start gaining an edge to his campaign it won’t matter.


43 posted on 09/16/2012 9:40:01 PM PDT by Lakeshark (I don't care for Mitt; the alternative is unthinkable)
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To: Hero

Thanks for posting. I was hoping we could get a look at these.


44 posted on 09/16/2012 9:42:17 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Hero

It doesn’t matter. Two groups will not care about these results since they are only concern with Romney losing the election. First group wants to earn the right to say, “I told you so!”, and the second group is liberal Democrats.


45 posted on 09/16/2012 10:14:40 PM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Where!s Quinnipiac?
Oh,here!s a clue. in Noth Haven cookong the numbers.


46 posted on 09/16/2012 10:15:21 PM PDT by Kozy (Calling Al Gore)
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To: vpintheak

media is attached at the hip to the community islamomarxist. He goes down they go down. this is not about politics, this is about struggle for survival and they know the islamomarxist is going down .


47 posted on 09/16/2012 11:51:47 PM PDT by parisa
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To: parisa

Yes indeed.


48 posted on 09/17/2012 12:08:24 AM PDT by vpintheak (Occupy your Brain!)
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To: aheckle

I’m pretty sure that Laura was pro-Romney during the primaries-—but now she is gloom and doom. Gotta wonder about one of these pundits.


49 posted on 09/17/2012 3:24:31 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: ChildOfThe60s

At first I thought the purpose of these polls were to dispirit us, but increasingly I think itis an attempt to buck up the Dem voters. I think they know Zero is is going to lose big.


50 posted on 09/17/2012 3:28:46 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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