(Rasmussen)Electoral College Obama: 247 - Romney: 196 - Toss-up: 95

Rasmussen ^ | 17 Sep 12 | Rasmussen

[xzins]

Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Breakdown

Safe Romney	178
Likely Romney	3
Leans Romney	15
Toss-up	95
Leans Obama	46
Likely Obama	21
Safe Obama	180

Toss-up-95

CO (9)

FL (29)

IA (6)

MO (10)

OH (18)

VA (13)

WI (10)

Leans Romney -15

NC (15)

Leans Obama -46

MI (16)

NH (4)

NV (6)

PA (20)

[crosshairs]

Or, more likely, 46% are on the government dole and only care about me, me, me, me!

And yet, their lives will be over, just the same.

[Obadiah]

Who watches the corrupt alphabet networks and cable news? The elderly in FL and elwhere across the country and the less educated and lower-income groups. And the Oprah women crowd are incapable of detecting media bias.

It is these people who are Obama supporters or who call themselves independants and who sway like a reed in the political wind.

Combined, these people make up the Democrat majority and are very easily pursuaded by popular opinion as stage managed by the corrupt MSM.

I have no idea why guys like Rove (Crossroads) don’t try to counter that or why FOX has gone totally limp.

[who knows what evil?]

There were people canvassing for Obama in Red Hampshire yesterday...as usual; the cars they were driving had out of state plates...young, brain-dead females.

[dannybob]

Obama is below 50% in each and every one of those tossup states. For obama to win you have to assume that all historical trends that show 'undecideds' breaking for the challenger will be broken this year in favor of obama. I don't buy it.

The fact is that these people really aren't undecided. They've had 4 years of life with obama. They know whether or not they want 4 more and my guess is they don't.

[AdamBomb]

I would LOVE to see Mitt’s internal polls on Ohio with cheating factored in.

I think we can win Ohio. If we do, it’ll be the end of tyranny....

I think we have Florida and Wisconsin. Virginia is ours....easy.

[TexasGunLover]

That is a tiny percentage.

You'll be surprised.

[Lakeshark]

From what it reads, if the fat lady were to sing today:

She would be very confused about who to sing for........

This is a toss up, plain and simple. I'm thinking at this point the R's are a bit more motivated, in spite of Romney not motivating us very much. It could go either way, in any of these toss up or leaning states.

[MrDem]

Then you know that in 2010, it was total and complete carnage for the RATS in NH. Veto proof super majorities elected in both the House and Senate.

[Gay State Conservative]

NH Leans Obama now? What happened to “Live Free or Die”?

They're surrounded on all three sides (well,all *four* sides if you count Quebec) by some of the filthiest people to draw breath in this nation.The virus was sure to spread eventually.

[xzins]

cheating will be less a factor this year in Ohio. Republicans won the Secretary of State job last time it was up for grabs.

The Ohio SecSt runs elections.

The name of the game for republicans is “ground game”. If they go shock’n’awe with their ground game, then they’ll win.

If they can’t get the troops to do so, then they’ll lose.

[Ingtar]

In 2008 there was a faction of the GOP, including Romney and his staffers, working to undermine Palin and thus negate the one thing that could drag McCain across the finish line. I expect they will turn the long knives on Romney before long.

[xzins]

By the numbers, Lake, Romney is playing catch-up.

Do you disagree that any of these are safe or likely Obama? That’s 201 right there.

Likely Obama Safe Obama
-21 -180
ME (4) CA (55)
MN (10) CT (7)
OR (7) DC (3)
DE (3)
HI (4)
IL (20)
MA (11)
MD (10)
NJ (14)
NM (5)
NY (29)
RI (4)
VT (3)
WA (12)

[Sans-Culotte]

I don’t quite understand how Rasmussen reaches these conclusions. He shows Romney up by a point or 2 in popular vote. I realize that popular vote is not what elects a president; but we generally find that popular vote favors the ‘rats because they get the huge vote totals in the metropolitan cities. If Romney is ahead in the popular vite, where are the votes coming form? He’s not carrying New York, Illinois or California; so why does he lead in the popular and trail in the electoral?

[Gay State Conservative]

Then you know that in 2010, it was total and complete carnage for the RATS in NH. Veto proof super majorities elected in both the House and Senate.

Very true.And more pertinent to a Presidential election,New Hampshire booted both their filthy Commie Rat Congresscritters and sent Republicans in their place *and* sent a new Republican...a *real* Republican...to the Senate.

[campaignPete R-CT]

that Brattleboro TV is one of the only ways to reach Cheshire County. I think.

[a real Sheila]

GOOD GRIEF.

How long is ROmney going to hold back on advertising?

Nov 1?

[Lakeshark]

201 isn't 276. Any dem would get those you just pointed to.

I wish it weren't so close, but the fact is, it looks like a squeaker. Neither are very good candidates, Romney is actually doing better than I predicted some months ago. There are six+ weeks to go, lots of room for change.

[xzins]

If you have strong support in state you will win or states you will lose, then you skew the national sample.

Texas is our 2nd most populous state. California is our first. More votes in Texas isn’t going to win it for you more than one time. And more votes in Cali isn’t going to lose it for you more than once.

But, it will skew a national poll.

[napscoordinator]

I agree with you post, but I still can’t believe we have an overwhelming majority in America who are conservative and we can’t even select a conservative (which today does not matter since we have our nominee). So we have our candidate and he POSSIBLY can’t beat a Marxist....unreal.

[Trapped Behind Enemy Lines]

I don’t think this is going to be one of those classic red state/blue state elections with only a small handfull of swing states deciding the elction. Under normal conditions that is usuaaly the case.

But with REAL unemployment close to 15%, astronomical national debt above $16 trillion, 46 million on Food Stamps, one out of six living in poverty, gasoline going through the roof, we have the potential for a MASSIVE landslide election. I’ve even some polls which show the election tighrening in Illinois, a state bankrupted by the Democrat Party.