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SUFFOLK UNIVERSITY POLL SHOWS WARREN OVERTAKING BROWN FOR U.S. SENATE
Suffolk University ^ | 09/18/2012

Posted on 09/18/2012 9:48:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren (48 percent) has overtaken incumbent Republican Scott Brown (44 percent), in a Senate squeaker that still falls within the margin of error, according to a Suffolk University/7NEWS (WHDH-Boston) poll of likely general election voters in Massachusetts. Eight percent of those polled were undecided or chose someone else.

These results contrast with a Suffolk University/7NEWS poll conducted in May, when Brown led Warren 48 percent to 47 percent, with 5 percent either undecided or choosing someone else.

“Fresh off a new TV ad buy and a prime time convention speech, Elizabeth Warren has improved her popularity and overtaken Scott Brown head-to-head,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “She enters the debate phase of the Senate campaign as the slight favorite, but the race is still fluid, and to win she must avoid peaking too soon.”

Presidential race

Meanwhile Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, is lagging far behind Barack Obama in the presidential race here. Obama (64 percent) is leading Romney (31 percent) by 33 points among likely Massachusetts voters. Two other candidates will be listed on the Massachusetts ballot. Green Party nominee Jill Stein garnered 2 percent and Libertarian Gary Johnson 1 percent, with 4 percent undecided.

The survey also showed a likelihood that all three ballot questions will pass, but voters only became aware of their content in July, so opinions may change.

Favorability in U.S. Senate race

Brown’s net favorability was +31 compared to +30 in May, virtually unchanged. Warren’s jumped from +10 in May (43 percent favorable to 33 percent unfavorable) to +19 today (52 percent favorable to 33 percent unfavorable).

Brown’s cross-over support also is waning. In May, 24 percent of Obama voters said they would cross parties to vote for Brown, but today 19 percent said they would cross over.

“The Democratic National Convention appears to have connected the dots for some voters in Massachusetts,” said Paleologos. “They’ve linked Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Elizabeth Warren and Congressional candidate Joseph Kennedy, whose district includes Southeastern Mass. Warren benefited not only from her own speech, but from the oratory of others, both inside and outside of Massachusetts.”

One poll finding that could tip a close race back to Brown is the preference of general election voters of all parties for having one Democratic and one Republican Senator in Washington. Fifty percent said there is a benefit to having a member of each party representing Massachusetts in Washington DC, while 45 percent said it didn’t matter.

“Call it the party-parity-paradox,” said Paleologos. “Likely voters of all parties see a benefit to having Democrat John Kerry and Republican Scott Brown representing Massachusetts in the U.S. Senate.”

Ballot questions

Seventy-nine percent of likely voters supported the proposed Availability of Motor Vehicle Repair Information law, which would require auto manufacturers to allow auto owners and independent repair shops access to the same vehicle diagnostic and repair information made available to auto dealers and authorized repair facilities.

Nearly two-thirds (64 percent) supported the proposed Prescribing Medication to End Life law, which would allow Massachusetts licensed physicians to prescribe life-ending medication at the request of terminally ill patients meeting certain conditions.

And 59 percent supported the proposed Medical Use of Marijuana law, while 35 percent were opposed.

On Jan. 14, 2010, Suffolk University was the first poll using live interviews to show Republican Scott Brown leading Democrat Martha Coakley – by 4 points. Five days later, Brown won by 5 points on Election Day.

Methodology The statewide survey of 600 likely Massachusetts general election voters was conducted September 13-16, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Marginals and cross-tabulation data will be posted at 11 p.m. Monday, Sept. 17, 2012, on the Suffolk University Political Research Center Web site. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310, or follow on Twitter @davidpaleologos.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; elections; ma2012; massachusetts; scottbrown; warren

1 posted on 09/18/2012 9:48:29 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

If we could be sure of a strong majority in the Senate, I would LOVE to see Brown lose. He is a RINO traitor of the highest order, a place marker at best. He’d vote like the liberal witch anyway.


2 posted on 09/18/2012 9:51:01 AM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Marginals and cross-tabulation data will be posted at 11 p.m. Monday, Sept. 17, 2012, on the Suffolk University Political Research Center Web site.”

Sure. Bury internals at 11pm.


3 posted on 09/18/2012 9:51:36 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: fwdude

I think you will get your wish then.

I always expected that fake indianess not withstanding, her “shoot all the bankers” class warfare rhetoric would eventually carry the day in Kennedyland.


4 posted on 09/18/2012 9:52:25 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SeekAndFind
ALL these polls are BIG LIES to get us all upset and feel it is over with so why bother.

I took a class in statistics and the numbers are ALL in the way you ask the question and who you ask it of.

WAKE UP AMERICA. Don't believe it.

5 posted on 09/18/2012 9:53:34 AM PDT by Spunky (Those)
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To: SeekAndFind
Fauxcahontas' new ads are pretty effective, I admit -- she says almost nothing herself, but her hired shills insist "Elizabeth fights for the working people." This is a real theme with her, but I have no idea what the specifics might be. I gather she played some part in establishing yet another "consumer protection" bureaucracy (how it differs from the myriad existing ones -- i.e., job havens for the politically connected but lazy and/or untalented -- remains a mystery). But how did she fight for the middle class? Was it flipping (foreclosed) real estate for tidy profits in Oklahoma? Representing corporate defendants in the asbestos litigation (a scam on the whole IMO, but nonetheless . . .)? Collecting $350,000 a year from Harvard Law for teaching one course, while fulminating against the burden of student loans? Beats me!

Truth to tell, however, Scott's recent ads are weak, sort of "don't be fooled by the negative ads run by my opponent" -- but no specifics. She accuses him of standing up for "corporate interests"; I would think he could at least remind people that while gov't issues the money, it's corporations that make everything that make having money worthwhile! ;-)

6 posted on 09/18/2012 10:04:09 AM PDT by maryz
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To: SeekAndFind

Connecticut Senator Richard Blumenthal lied about service in Vietnam and he got elected. Not a big deal. ‘Rats just lie.


7 posted on 09/18/2012 10:06:41 AM PDT by Calusa (The pump don't work cause the vandals took the handles. Quoth Bob Dylan.)
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To: fwdude
He is a RINO traitor of the highest order,

OK, you don't like him, but I don't see how you can call him a "traitor" -- he is exactly what he ran as. He never billed himself as "severely conservative"!

8 posted on 09/18/2012 10:06:41 AM PDT by maryz
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To: maryz

He isn’t even mildly conservative.


9 posted on 09/18/2012 10:07:38 AM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude
He is a RINO traitor of the highest order, a place marker at best. He’d vote like the liberal witch anyway.

Spoken by someone who couldn't even find Massachusetts on a map let alone give an accurate analysis of the state's politics.

10 posted on 09/18/2012 10:20:17 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (If Obama's Reelected Imagine The Mess He'll Inherit!)
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To: maryz
she says almost nothing herself, but her hired shills insist "Elizabeth fights for the working people." This is a real theme with her, but I have no idea what the specifics might be.

This is the same crap that used to get Tip O'Neill relected for so many years.

"Yar...I always voted fa Tip. He was fowah the common guy. He was wicked pissa."


11 posted on 09/18/2012 10:27:31 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (Knowledge is knowing a tomato is a fruit; Wisdom is not putting it in a fruit salad.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Proverbs 26:11

Describes your average Massachusetts voter to a "T".

12 posted on 09/18/2012 10:28:44 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Spunky
ALL these polls are BIG LIES to get us all upset and feel it is over with so why bother.

We have heard it all before; Bob Dole, John McCain, and the polls were all wrong, right? We run a mushy rich guy against a communist and we can't even win a poll, let alone an election.

If Romney can not articulate a message for defeating Obozo, other than we are going to lower taxes, then we will lose this election. Early voting starts in a week or two and thirty states have this practice, so waiting for the debate to get a bounce is really dumb.

13 posted on 09/18/2012 10:33:44 AM PDT by itsahoot (I'll write in Palin in 2012. That is 1 vote for Palin, 0 votes for Romney and Zer0 votes for Obama.)
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To: Vigilanteman
Proverbs 26:11

LOL! the Yellow Dog Vomit Democrat Voter!


14 posted on 09/18/2012 10:46:25 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: fwdude
"First of all, Scott Brown voted the conservative position 3/4 of the time. Let’s face it, Jim DeMint isn’t going to win in MA, where Republicans will make up about 25% of the vote on election day in 2012. Scott Brown is a legit conservative – he is trying to go as far as possible and still try to be reelected."

http://www.redstate.com/froster/2011/02/12/new-acu-ratings-analyzing-the-senate/

15 posted on 09/18/2012 11:20:17 AM PDT by BlatherNaut
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To: maryz
And we must not forget this:

"According to financial disclosure forms Warren filed with the Senate last year, Harvard lent her between $15,000 and $50,000 in 1996. "Let me get this straight: struggling students and families pay more, so multi-millionaire Warren can pay nothing?" Brown’s campaign manager Jim Barnett told the Herald. "This sweetheart deal adds insult to injury for the students whose high tuition costs have already made Warren a wealthy one-percenter, and reveals yet again Professor Warren’s hypocritical idea of fairness.” "

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/25/scott-brown-elizabeth-warren-harvard-loan_n_1453404.html

Of course, Fauxcahontas Lizzie likely wouldn't even be at Harvard and a recipient of the university's largesse if she hadn't lied about being a minority.

"For the working people" my a$$.

16 posted on 09/18/2012 11:32:37 AM PDT by BlatherNaut
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The Tea Party came to his rescue last election. I don’t think they will beat-feet to his rescue this time. Just a hunch.


17 posted on 09/18/2012 11:34:21 AM PDT by worriedinoregon
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To: BlatherNaut
First of all, Scott Brown voted the conservative position 3/4 of the time.

Complete, unadulterated BS.

18 posted on 09/18/2012 11:43:55 AM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Massachusetts Democrats.....

“We know Paleface Lizzy is a liar and a thief, but she’s also stupid with no backbone, so we’re pretty sure we can get her to lie and steal for us.”


19 posted on 09/18/2012 12:01:53 PM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: SeekAndFind

I went to a Democrat meeting in Massachusetts. A guy came up and asked me for the time. He told me that the clock on the wall was wrong. I thought the clock was right, but I looked at my watch anyway. I told the guy the clock on the wall was correct. He pulled out a gun and stole my watch and wallet. The moral of this story is....Massachusetts Democrats don’t want the truth, they want your money.


20 posted on 09/18/2012 12:07:11 PM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: SeekAndFind

I am so sick of the ads from both Brown and Warren. Nothing but cliches and mealy-mouthed soft irrelevancies.

I think of the two of them as “Insipid and Insipider.”


21 posted on 09/18/2012 12:08:59 PM PDT by Maceman
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To: Maceman

Who is the Insipider?


22 posted on 09/18/2012 12:14:46 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: fwdude

You’re an idiot. Compared to Ted Kennedy, Brown looks like Barry Goldwater. And you obviously have no idea how Republicans from leftist states use their votes.


23 posted on 09/18/2012 12:17:47 PM PDT by Deb (If you wanna laugh everyday, follow Deepak Chopra on Twitter)
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To: BlatherNaut

Well said.


24 posted on 09/18/2012 12:19:45 PM PDT by Deb (If you wanna laugh everyday, follow Deepak Chopra on Twitter)
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To: fwdude

Brown’s ACU ratings: Lifetime 62.00, 2011 50.00, 2010 74.00

This is just a bit better than The Swimmer, with a lifetime rating of 2.33


25 posted on 09/18/2012 12:24:06 PM PDT by Fresh Wind ('People have got to know whether or not their president is a crook.' Richard M. Nixon)
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To: Deb
Compared to Ted Kennedy, Brown looks like Barry Goldwater.

So, now we're playing the situational ethics games of the Left?

What website am I on?!

26 posted on 09/18/2012 12:36:19 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude

Continuing to prove you have no clue. How do you dress yourself?


27 posted on 09/18/2012 12:40:52 PM PDT by Deb (If you wanna laugh everyday, follow Deepak Chopra on Twitter)
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To: Deb

How do you call yourself any kind of conservative?


28 posted on 09/18/2012 1:40:01 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude
“He is a RINO traitor of the highest order”

Umm, he is a Colonel in the Massachusetts Army National Guard. Traitor is a bit harsh.

29 posted on 09/18/2012 3:14:12 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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To: HenpeckedCon

When you vote to sodomize our military, you can’t be much more liberal.


30 posted on 09/18/2012 9:41:07 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude

Liberal I’ll give you... Traitor, no. What branch did you serve in by the way?


31 posted on 09/19/2012 1:34:15 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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To: HenpeckedCon
Traitorous, yes. Purposely weakening our military by social experimentation is the epitome of treason.

I didn't serve; was not qualified.

32 posted on 09/19/2012 1:42:06 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude

I did serve and although I’m not happy about it, the military will survive. Scott Brown is a good man and a fine American.


33 posted on 09/19/2012 3:17:16 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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To: HenpeckedCon

He’s a Marxist. I want my donation back.


34 posted on 09/19/2012 4:31:56 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude
Have a nice day FRiend.
35 posted on 09/19/2012 4:49:41 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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