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Florida Poll: Romney 48%, 0bama 47%
RCP ^

Posted on 09/18/2012 10:25:25 AM PDT by Arthurio

Florida Poll: Romney 48%, 0bama 47%

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; election2012; fl; fl2012; florida
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1 posted on 09/18/2012 10:25:29 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Woot! Woot!


2 posted on 09/18/2012 10:26:25 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Arthurio

Romney is up more than 1 in Florida..he’s probably up 3-4


3 posted on 09/18/2012 10:27:08 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Arthurio

Oh no! It’s the Night Of The Living Campaign!

“They’re coming to get you, Barack..”


4 posted on 09/18/2012 10:27:18 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Arthurio

They counted 6% more dems than R’s.


5 posted on 09/18/2012 10:28:47 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: Arthurio

Romney must be pulling way ahead.


6 posted on 09/18/2012 10:29:25 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: Sarah Barracuda

I agree. Romney is much further ahead in Florida than most polls are saying.

But as we get closer to November all the polls will start moving more and more and Romney’s direction as pollsters have to start reporting what they are hearing instead of constantly adjusting the numbers based on the 2008 aberation.


7 posted on 09/18/2012 10:29:25 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: Arthurio

Is this election going to be another ‘hanging chad’ moment?


8 posted on 09/18/2012 10:29:54 AM PDT by duckman (Dr Ben Carlson: Vision Not Division.)
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To: Arthurio

The great news is that this oversamples dems by 5.6. It is also a poll with a large sample size.


9 posted on 09/18/2012 10:29:54 AM PDT by trackman
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To: Arthurio

“Obviously Romney’s gaffe on Libya and his gaffe yesterday on the 47% has not yet ...um...registered in this polling data....”


10 posted on 09/18/2012 10:30:09 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Arthurio

11 posted on 09/18/2012 10:30:42 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: Arthurio

This is good for a poll of LV taken on the weekend!


12 posted on 09/18/2012 10:30:48 AM PDT by tiger
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To: Arthurio

Ras shows Romney up 2 in communist Colorado.

Could it be that the states are starting to line up with the national numbers (at Ras Romney is up 2 nationally)?


13 posted on 09/18/2012 10:33:14 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Arthurio

Lots of retired military in Florida - did you see this Arthurio?

Dems had Turkish jets in their ‘tribute to vets’ in Charlotte. Russian ships on the bottom - and Islamic fighter jets on the top...

http://dailycaller.com/2012/09/17/fighter-jets-in-democratic-conventions-military-montage-were-turkish-not-american/


14 posted on 09/18/2012 10:34:18 AM PDT by GOPJ (first they came for those clinging to their guns and religion, and I did not speak out....)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

And the video of Romney speaking about the freeloading Obama voters will help him too. People who pay taxes and have to pay for these freeloaders who want free birth control, etc, dont want to have to pay for other people’s crap. This video benefits Romney tremendously. Usually when a hidden video comes out it could hurt the candidate, the exact opposite here, I want EVERYONE to see it because the more people see that the Dems are the party of free stuff and NOT freedom, the more votes Romney will get. Have to attract even more Independent voters


15 posted on 09/18/2012 10:34:33 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Viennacon

“Oh no! It’s the Night Of The Living Campaign!”

:)


16 posted on 09/18/2012 10:35:13 AM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: ConservativeDude

If Romney can win Colorado that would be HUGE..I want to see Rasmussen numbers on Virginia, the Senate polling he did yesterday doesn’t look too good but I want to see how the Presidential race looks there and if Romney would need Virginia in order to win


17 posted on 09/18/2012 10:36:09 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: GOPJ

“Dems had Turkish jets in their ‘tribute to vets’ in Charlotte. Russian ships on the bottom - and Islamic fighter jets on the top”

Thanks for the information and link.


18 posted on 09/18/2012 10:39:50 AM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: GOPJ

I can see a problem if Obama begins running ads saying “Romney doesn’t want your vote, old people and military veterans”.

What Romney needs to do is deploy some of that campaign cash in Florida and carpet bomb with ads about how Obama wants people to pay for Sandra Fluke’s sex change. If there was ever a time to go all in with ads, it’s NOW.


19 posted on 09/18/2012 10:40:26 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: dalebert

Yep. NC off the map now; Romney up 2 in CO; pulling away everywhere. ZEro is at 50 in OR!!!! (This was a state he won by almost 8 points-—57.8% in 08). And Romney is having a bad week? LOL.


20 posted on 09/18/2012 10:41:26 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: trackman

What was the 08 split, and what was the 2010 party preference split?


21 posted on 09/18/2012 10:44:42 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

This is the latest in Michigan and he is stuck at 47.5, This poll has 10% undecided and over samples woman and dems.
TOTAL DEMOCRATS ....................................................34%
TOTAL INDEPENDENTS ..............................................34%
TOTAL REPUBLICANS..................................................30%
Vote Romney/Ryan...................................................... 39.8%
Lean Romney/Ryan ....................................................... 2.5%
Vote Obama/Biden....................................................... 43.8%
Lean Obama/Biden ........................................................ 3.7%
Don’t know/Undecided ...................................................8%
Refused ............................................................................. 2.2%
TOTAL ROMNEY/RYAN...........................................42.3%
TOTAL OBAMA/BIDEN ............................................ 47.5%


22 posted on 09/18/2012 10:45:39 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: ModelBreaker; trackman
according to this http://election.dos.state.fl.us/nvra/affiliation.asp there is about 5.6% more registered Dems than Repubs in Florida. Now what the voting turnout looks like by party might be more relevant, it looks like it is an honest representation of the Florida electorate.
23 posted on 09/18/2012 10:45:45 AM PDT by HenryArmitage (it was not meant that we should voyage far.)
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To: Viennacon
I can see a problem if Obama begins running ads saying “Romney doesn’t want your vote, old people and military veterans”.

The *only* people dumb enough to fall for something like that would never vote for Romney anyway.

24 posted on 09/18/2012 10:46:42 AM PDT by kevao (Is your ocean any lower than it was four years ago?)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

I always safely say add at least 2 to any poll for republicans.. I don’t believe Florida is 1 point. Seniors are the most UPSET with ObamaCare and they rule the Sunshine State and SHOW UP TO VOTE THE MOST RELIABLY, ESPECIALLY WHEN RILED.

I don’t see Obama having any chance in FL, OH, IA, NC, WI. Any state Obama won with less than 55% of the vote last time I don’t see him carrying this time, I don’t care what the polls say.

Time will tell, but I am just not getting any vibe that Obama has any real support.. the hard core libs and that’s it.


25 posted on 09/18/2012 10:49:29 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Arthurio
But wait, the Romney video saying Palestine doesn't want peace is a DISASTER! (Especially with Florida voters.)

Isn't that what the corrupt MSM is insisting along with Jimmy Carter III and David Corn.

26 posted on 09/18/2012 10:51:48 AM PDT by Obadiah (The Hunger Games -- Obama's vision for America)
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To: crosslink

I firmly believe MI and PA are battleground, though it appears for now anyway Romney has conceded PA.

I really don’t think Obama can carry a rust state other than MN and IL if republicans bring on the full court press, however, Romney doesn’t need PA or MI to win, so perhaps its just stategy to concede things for now.

I am using PA as a bellweather, if R’s start buying big buys in PA, its an indication they know they have the race won.


27 posted on 09/18/2012 10:52:08 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HenryArmitage

Thanks. So, this poll slightly-—but only slightly-—understates Romney’s support.


28 posted on 09/18/2012 10:53:58 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Arthurio

In this sampling, Democrats are oversampled by 3%, GOP by ~1.6%, and unaffiliateds are UNDERsampled by almost 7% (if we include minor parties in this category for this poll).


29 posted on 09/18/2012 10:54:50 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (You can wish in one hand and spit in the other and see which gets filled first.)
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To: HamiltonJay

Romney now back 5 in MI in a RV poll that oversamples Dems perhaps 2 points. In other words, it’s a dead heat.


30 posted on 09/18/2012 10:55:27 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: HamiltonJay

Dont forget the media, they are ALL in Obama’s pocket too so he has their vote..but I think more and more people are opening their eyes, especially the elderly, they dont want Obamacare..they know they would be the 1st ones to be killed off if Obamacare is implemented..I think Romney is doing VERY well in these swing state polls and that is why the media is so damn nervous about it..releasing these bogus polls showing Romney losing. I dont see Romney losing I see him winning by a sizable margin


31 posted on 09/18/2012 10:57:10 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: HamiltonJay

If there truly are 10% undecided in Michigan, and that holds until election day, we’ll take it.


32 posted on 09/18/2012 10:57:27 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: ModelBreaker

Must have been registered voters. Everytime they oversample Dems, it’s usually RV.


33 posted on 09/18/2012 10:59:07 AM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: Arthurio

Obungo is 50% white. But if he was ALL white he’d be losing by 30 points!!!!! Blacks are the racists. Live with it!


34 posted on 09/18/2012 10:59:27 AM PDT by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: Arthurio

R&R up in FL

R&R up in VA

R&R up in CO

Who’s having a bad month MSM?


35 posted on 09/18/2012 10:59:30 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: HamiltonJay

If you want to know whats happening you watch where he goes, WI is in play.

President Obama will be in Milwaukee next Saturday Sept. 22 for a campaign event and a campaign fundraiser. Details on the campaign event have not been released yet.

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/169891556.html


36 posted on 09/18/2012 11:00:05 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: ConservativeDude

These weren’t gaffes.


37 posted on 09/18/2012 11:00:23 AM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...

Florida Freeper


38 posted on 09/18/2012 11:01:46 AM PDT by Joe Brower (Sheep have three speeds: "graze", "stampede" and "cower".)
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To: Viennacon

Come’on. Get a pair. There are NO independents. THEY DON’T EXIST. Do you really think a groups of morons is sitting out there saying “Gee, I can’t decide between these guys. They’re so much alike!!!” Ridiculous. There isn’t an undecided voter ANYWHERE! Why do you guys keep pretending they exist?????????????????????????


39 posted on 09/18/2012 11:03:16 AM PDT by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: Arthurio

People may not be crazy about Romney, but there so much ABO sentiment out there that they’re willing to do the broken glass crawl.


40 posted on 09/18/2012 11:04:16 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: Sarah Barracuda; NautiNurse; JulieRNR21; kingattax
Romney is up more than 1 in Florida..he’s probably up 3-4

Great news! C'mon, Florida... and Ohio...

41 posted on 09/18/2012 11:05:39 AM PDT by nutmeg (I'm with Sarah Palin and Ted Cruz: "ABO"/Ryan 2012)
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To: LS

Bush came within a half a percent in Oregon in 2000. Karl Rove said a few weeks ago that he was expecting Oregon to come in to play shortly.


42 posted on 09/18/2012 11:07:03 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: LS

We need a very clear victory to avoid LA syle riots.


43 posted on 09/18/2012 11:07:27 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: Doc Savage

Woah, cool it. Undecided voters do obviously exist. They’re the people who haven’t tuned into the campaign yet, know nothing about Romney, but are unsatisfied with Obama. Believe it or not, there are some Americans who watch no news, read no papers, yet still vote, and 9 times out of 10, they vote for the challenger.


44 posted on 09/18/2012 11:12:45 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Arthurio

Regarding the Bork Obunga regime proposal to OPEN THE STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVE to grease the skids for his re-election, I hope Romney/Ryan can point out the folly in this misuse of the SPR!

Its purpose is NOT to grease the economy for incumbents. It’s for STRATEGIC NATIONAL DEFENSE-RELATED NEEDS.

Perhaps Romney/Ryan can quip that President Narcissus’s regime needs to open up the “STRATEGIC CAPITALISM RESERVE” and free up individual incentive in our economy rather than the SPR.


45 posted on 09/18/2012 11:13:08 AM PDT by AlanGreenSpam (Obama: The First 'American IDOL' President - sponsored by Chicago NeoCom Thugs)
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To: HenryArmitage

My mother is dem n votes conservative. never bothered to chg parties


46 posted on 09/18/2012 11:17:03 AM PDT by Donnafrflorida (Thru HIM all things are possible.)
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To: LS

Obama has ZERO chance in any state he won by less than 55% of the vote, I don’t give a CRAP what the polls are saying, which means the only battleground state that’s really close is WI, which was he won by slightly more than 55%.

I Truly think MI and PA are winnable for Romney if he fights for them, though it does appear he’s conceded PA for now...

I am using PA as my bellweather, if you see R’s start to seriously buy in PA it means they know they have the race won, and are just going for as many extra states as they can get.

As much as folks complain about Romney’s campaign, he’s run a very focused and methodical one from where I sit. He’s locked up IN and NC, IA is effectively locked, Ohio, FL and WI are moving his way as is CO.

I really don’t get all the teeth gnashing and stuff here.. the needle with all the oversampling and nonsense is still moving in the right direction, and the more the press tries to pretend things like saying the truth about Palenstine is a gaffe the momentum toward Romney continues.

Last week they tried to convice us that Romney condeming the embassy attacks was a bad thing, yet Romney’s poll numbers go up.. STOP WATCHING THE PRESS and get out and just talk to people.


47 posted on 09/18/2012 11:25:21 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: LS

Polling averages or just Ras?


48 posted on 09/18/2012 11:32:54 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: HamiltonJay

I couldn’t agree more with your post 47. I’ve been telling people to have some faith in Romney’s campaign and not be led (misled actually) by the MSM. Romney is picking off Obama 2008 states one by one, yet the narrative so many people are kneejerking to (here and elsewhere) is that he is floundering. My gosh people there is not one single state Obama lost in 08 that he has any chance of winning. He is polling worse in states that he won easily and is losing or tied in about 5-8 states he won last time. Don’t follow the bouncing media ball keep your eye on the prize. That’s what Romney s doing


49 posted on 09/18/2012 11:35:07 AM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: murron

Yes of course...I was actually being sarcastic...sorry should have made that clearer...


50 posted on 09/18/2012 11:38:03 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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