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New Hampshire Poll: 0 48%, R 47% (LV)
ARG ^

Posted on 09/18/2012 6:05:31 PM PDT by Arthurio

New Hampshire Poll: 0 48%, R 47% (LV)

0 48%, R 46% (RV)

(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...


TOPICS: US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; nh2012

1 posted on 09/18/2012 6:05:35 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

That is a win


2 posted on 09/18/2012 6:06:54 PM PDT by MattinNJ (Romney? Really? Seriously?)
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To: MattinNJ

Hello First CO, now this. Maybe theres hope!!!!


3 posted on 09/18/2012 6:10:07 PM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: Arthurio

Liberaltarian potheads put Obama over the top


4 posted on 09/18/2012 6:12:43 PM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: Arthurio

Obama won this state by 9.6% in 08. Somebody is skeered right about now...??


5 posted on 09/18/2012 6:12:52 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature ($1.84 - The price of a gallon of gas on Jan. 20th, 2009.)
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To: Arthurio

Now for the really good news-—let’s check the D-R splits


6 posted on 09/18/2012 6:13:32 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Arthurio

Registered voters.


7 posted on 09/18/2012 6:13:31 PM PDT by GnL
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To: thepatriot1

Southern NH is full of former Massholes.
I don’t take this as good news, NH used to be at least 65% Conservative.


8 posted on 09/18/2012 6:14:35 PM PDT by acapesket
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To: GnL

That be a win.


9 posted on 09/18/2012 6:14:57 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Arthurio

Dem28,Rep30,Undeclared42.


10 posted on 09/18/2012 6:15:11 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (2010 All Over Again. Make it happen. Get Busy!)
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To: acapesket

65% - meh....all we need is 50.01%


11 posted on 09/18/2012 6:18:08 PM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: Arthurio

It’s all registered voters, no likelyvoter screen. Just because they say they will vote does not make them a likely voter. But look at the trend. By month: Obama +9, Obama +7 Obama +1. the trend is our friend in the former Live Free or Die state.


12 posted on 09/18/2012 6:19:42 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: Arthurio

I may be reading too much into this, but if Romney is this close in New Hampshire, he must be running very strong in other states that were much closer than NH in 2008 (Virginia, Wisconsion, Ohio and Iowa are four that come to mind).


13 posted on 09/18/2012 6:20:16 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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To: Palmetto Patriot

NH is actually a strong Republican state in terms of party registration, just as West Virginia is a solid Democrat state. The party affiliation is really meaningless though in predicting how they will vote.


14 posted on 09/18/2012 6:20:38 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

More good news, thanks for posting.


15 posted on 09/18/2012 6:21:29 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: GnL
Registered voters.

Yes, that should be worth a couple of points to Romney.

And wonder of wonders, the D/R/I split is R+2 at 28/30/42. Surprisingly, at least to me, is that O is winning the Independents by 47% to 43%.

16 posted on 09/18/2012 6:22:45 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: Arthurio

All this good news is the reason the fundraising tape was released last night, those weasels.


17 posted on 09/18/2012 6:23:41 PM PDT by EnquiringMind
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To: Arthurio

I’m thinking Romney will win in New Hampshire. Obamamedia doesn’t think so, but they are drinking the kool-aid straight from their master, and using new math in their poll sampling.


18 posted on 09/18/2012 6:33:13 PM PDT by pallis
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To: Arthurio
You don't have to donate money to the Romney campaign to make a difference. (You should donate money to FreeRepublic.)

If You Live in a Blue State, Here Is What You Can Do To Help Romney Beat Obama

I've made 1600 phone calls from home to New Hampshire in the last six days using the system set up by the campaign. Even 100 calls will make a difference. Who will join me?

19 posted on 09/18/2012 6:36:23 PM PDT by Ziva (Check out the great art blog at http://blog.RetroCollage.com/)
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To: pallis

Lat night, gasbag Beckle conceded NH to Romney. 4 points into our total :)


20 posted on 09/18/2012 6:38:33 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Arthurio

I’m getting so sick of these liberals pushing some poll from Ohio or Virginia that has Obama up and gloating with a gleam in their eye that the election is more or less over because Romney HAS to win Ohio and Virginia. I would laugh my arse of if on election day Obama won Virginia and Ohio...but lost New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Colorado, Michigan and every other swing state, just to see the liberals sputtering on election night saying...”But, but, but all the experts said a Republican can’t win without Ohio and Virginia!”


21 posted on 09/18/2012 6:42:49 PM PDT by apillar
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To: Alberta's Child

Virginia is different for 2 reasons: a large black population and a relatively good economy (ironically due to a defense industry based economy that Obama is gutting after the election). Romney will win Wisconsin, Iowa, and Ohio before he wins Virginia.


22 posted on 09/18/2012 6:47:14 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: apillar

As long as he wins Florida, it is plausible. Florida is the one must win.


23 posted on 09/18/2012 6:50:22 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: wolfman23601

Good point, but I also think Romney will win Virginia before he wins New Hampshire.


24 posted on 09/18/2012 6:54:36 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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To: Arthurio

According to the 2008 exit poll, Democrats in NH enjoyed a 2 point advantage relative to the Republicans.

This ARG poll has a 2 point advantage for the Democrats.

In 2010, Republicans jumped to a plus 3 advantage in NH, according to that year’s exit poll. A shift like that is evident in Rasmussen’s tracking of party affiliation nationwide over the past few years.

Therefore, it’s reasonable to suspect that Republicans are at least even with Democrats in the Granite state, and that Romney is actually ahead of Obama at this point.


25 posted on 09/18/2012 6:56:22 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Arthurio

According to the 2008 exit poll, Democrats in NH enjoyed a 2 point advantage relative to the Republicans.

This ARG poll has a 2 point advantage for the Democrats.

In 2010, Republicans jumped to a plus 3 advantage in NH, according to that year’s exit poll. A shift like that is evident in Rasmussen’s tracking of party affiliation nationwide over the past few years.

Therefore, it’s reasonable to suspect that Republicans are at least even with Democrats in the Granite state, and that Romney is actually ahead of Obama at this point.


26 posted on 09/18/2012 6:56:26 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: All

Why doesn’t rcp use arg in any of their polls listed as latest polls.


27 posted on 09/18/2012 7:00:22 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Arthurio
4% Undecided. Romney's leading NH. Wow. NH is a wild card that plays to win in so many no-OH or no-VA scenarios ... but what it really does is make IA optional.

2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NE1, NH = 270EV

So then Mittens would only have to win the Big 3.

IN, NC, NE1 are already in his pocket.

28 posted on 09/18/2012 7:04:22 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NE1, IA = 272EV)
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To: Arthurio

7% of repubs voting for obama. If true, we need them to come home. However my guess is they are dems pretending to be repubs. Lots of chicanery.


29 posted on 09/18/2012 7:13:34 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: thepatriot1

Maybe? YES there is and don’t bank on HOPE!


30 posted on 09/18/2012 7:28:12 PM PDT by Republic Rocker
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To: apillar

We gloat when Romney is up so why wouldn’t the liberals gloat when Obama is up. Sometime I wonder about people on here. 50 percent of the United States is going to vote for Obama and 50 percent are going to vote for Romney. A small variation to those percentages but our country seems very split. Of course we keep picking crappy candidates so this is not a surprise.


31 posted on 09/18/2012 7:31:30 PM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: wolfman23601

As someone who spends a lot of time in the Old Dominion, I believe the state is starting to break for Romney, for a couple of reasons.

First, the defense sector, which is critically important for Hampton Roads and northern Virginia, is bracing for sequestration, which will immediately put 200,000 Virginians out of work, including many at the state’s largest employer, Newport News Shipbuilding. Predictably, The Zero has shown no leadership on sequestration and truth be told, he’d be happy to double his defense cuts, which is what sequestration will do.

With layoff notices possibly going out before election day, look for a huge turnout in places like Suffolk, Chesapeake, Virginia Beach and the York County/Williamsburg area, where many military retirees and defense contractors reside. That will be enough to offset the minority vote in places like Norfolk, Portsmouth and Hampton, especially when you look at the enthusiasm gap between Democratic and Republican voters.

Same for northern VA. Yeah, there are lots of federal employees in those suburbs, but there are thousands of defense contractors as well. If Obama can’t roll up the big pluralities in those areas like he did in ‘08, he can’t win Virginia. It’s that simple.

One more thing: his stance on coal will generate a record turnout in southwestern Virginia as well. That should be enough to put Romney over the top, and return George Allen to the Senate.


32 posted on 09/18/2012 7:37:38 PM PDT by ExNewsExSpook
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To: Arthurio

I hang up when they call.

When the RNC calls, what I say is unprintable.


33 posted on 09/18/2012 7:43:51 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown are by desperate appliance relieved or not at all.)
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To: wolfman23601

WI-10
IA-6
OH-18
(34)

VA-13
(13)

Compared to 2008 results, in that mini-scenario Mitt comes out 21 EVs ahead...I’ll take that.

But would much prefer all four.


34 posted on 09/18/2012 8:00:55 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: StAnDeliver

IN, NC, NE1 are already in his pocket.

Two things:

1. Will Romney have coat tails to help the Senate races?

2. As to NE1, Obama will not win that EV (or any EV in NE). Obama won it in 2008 by a mere 2000 votes. Kerrey is running a terrible campaign in Nebraska while Fischer’s ground game is awesome. GOP base is enthused.


35 posted on 09/18/2012 8:29:13 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: acapesket

It is interesting to see that New Hampshire and Vermont, both of which used to be solidly conservative, have been overrun with displaced persons from New York And Massachusetts who brought their liberal and left wing baggage with them. If life was so wonderful in the Democratic utopias, why did they have to pull up stakes and leave? How can repeating the same voting patterns and social welfare schemes do anything other than wreck their new homes? Where will they migrate to next? Quebec?


36 posted on 09/18/2012 8:41:01 PM PDT by PBRCat
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To: ExNewsExSpook

I hope you are right.


37 posted on 09/19/2012 3:20:08 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: PBRCat

You have something against Quebec?


38 posted on 09/19/2012 3:42:10 AM PDT by acapesket
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