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Why Most Presidential Horserace Polls Are Rubbish
The American Catholic ^ | September,18,2012 | Donald McClarey

Posted on 09/18/2012 6:36:58 PM PDT by Hojczyk

Go here to read the brilliant rest.  Most presidential horserace polls are assuming a Democrat advantage at the polls this fall of D-7, which is the advantage the Democrats had in 2008.  That simply isn’t going to happen after the failed Obama Presidency.  In 2010 the parties had roughly equal amounts turn out at the polls.  I imagine that the election result this year will range from parity to a D-2 advantage.  Assuming Romney wins the independents, as most polls show him doing, a D-2 electorate would lead to a Romney victory.  Parity would be a Reagan 1980 landslide.

http://datechguyblog.com/#!/entry/demoralized-as-hell-the-poll-the-media-isn8217t-talking-about,40362

(Excerpt) Read more at the-american-catholic.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012electionbias; 2012polls; garbageingarbageout; polls; zogbyism

1 posted on 09/18/2012 6:37:02 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

http://datechguyblog.com/#!/entry/demoralized-as-hell-the-poll-the-media-isn8217t-talking-about,40362

I think Rush talked about this


2 posted on 09/18/2012 6:38:07 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk
You don't have to donate money to the Romney campaign to make a difference. (You should donate money to FreeRepublic.)

If You Live in a Blue State, Here Is What You Can Do To Help Romney Beat Obama

I've made 1600 phone calls from home to New Hampshire in the last six days using the system set up by the campaign. Even 100 calls will make a difference. Who will join me?

3 posted on 09/18/2012 6:38:38 PM PDT by Ziva (Check out the great art blog at http://blog.RetroCollage.com/)
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To: Hojczyk

“Polls”: Democrats’ Wishful Thinking, An Humourous Anecdote

David Axelrod rode into a bar on the back of a sweating Ostrich with a sopping wet cat under his arm and they all sat down at the bar.

“What can I get you?” asked the bartender.
“Bottle of Sam Adams for me” said the human weasel.
“Vodka martini” said the Ostrich, fanning itself with a beer mat. “Is it me, or is it hot in here?”
“A Cosmopolitan, and I’m not buying.” snarled the cat, shaking the water off it’s back.
“OK, that’ll be $11.50.” said the bartender.

Axelrod reached into his pocket, brought out the exact change and paid him.
Fifteen minutes later the bartender noticed their glasses were empty and asked, “Same again?”
“No” said the man, “I think I’ll have a Scotch”,
“And your, er - pets?”
“A Coors light” said the Ostrich. “And make sure it’s ice-cold. It’s roasting in here.”
“I’ll have a whiskey sour and I’m not paying, dammit.” said the cat. “And get me a towel, I’m soaking.”
The bartender complied and said: “That’ll be $10.75, please.”

The Boil on Humanity’s Bottom reached into his pocket, brought out the exact change and paid him.
An hour later their glasses were empty again and the bartender walked over and asked:
“What’ll you have?”
“I’ll have a double Jack” said the Democrat.
“Brandy on the rocks” said the Ostrich. “And make sure there’s plenty of ice in it. I’m burning up!”
“A Long Island tea, and I’m still not paying.” said the cat. “And get me another towel, this one’s wringing wet!”
The bartender complied and said: “OK. That’ll be $12.25, please.”

Old Double-Ugly reached into his pocket, brought out the exact change and paid him.
By now the bartender’s curiosity had got the better of him and he asked:
“Why is it that every time I tell you the amount you owe, you always have the exact change in you pocket?”

“I found this bottle on the beach in Turkey with a genie in it and he granted me three wishes.”

Intrigued, the bartender asked. “May I ask what they were?”
“Certainly”, replied the Pustule on the Body Politic.
“My first wish was that I would always have the exact change in my pocket for anything I wanted to buy.”
“That’s a pretty clever wish. What were your other two wishes?”

“That’s where I blew it. I asked for a really hot chick with long legs and a tight, wet pussy.”


4 posted on 09/18/2012 6:57:30 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks Hojczyk.

Obama foreign policy approval rating drops in new poll
Yahoo! News | Sept. 18, 2012 | Olivier Knox
Posted on 09/18/2012 6:33:16 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2933097/posts

Polls Show Erosion of U.S. Image Abroad Over the Past Four Years
Cybercast News Service | September 18, 2012 | Patrick Goodenough
Posted on 09/18/2012 6:29:19 PM PDT by Olog-hai
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2933094/posts


5 posted on 09/18/2012 7:04:08 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Hojczyk
Have a heart, man. You're scaring the libs!


6 posted on 09/18/2012 7:11:44 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Hojczyk

I’m not sure what the number of votes would be in the difference between D-7 and D-2, but I can tell you this: There will be about 15 Million Black voters for Obama this year cp. to 16.5 in 2008. That’s 1.5 million less votes right there. And, those votes are coming out of Obama’s strongest base. Add to that the depressed voter turnout amongst the youth, Hispanics and anti-war crowd. Then there are the millions of White voters who wanted to make History by voting for the first Black President and had vision of grandeur coming through “Hope and Change” and now feel let down and betrayed.


7 posted on 09/18/2012 7:35:56 PM PDT by Cherokeesquaw
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To: Windflier

Mittens need to get on the drill drill for jobs and a strong dollar to lower gas prices.

People can not deal with 4.00. Gas...and 12 dollar steak


8 posted on 09/18/2012 7:38:35 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk; All

however - this outfit uses their same formula every year - and have correctly chosen the winner in the last 8 presidents our of 8 -

(They’ll be getting a call from the AX man!)

http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/analysis-election-factors-points-romney-win-university-colorado-study-says


9 posted on 09/18/2012 7:44:52 PM PDT by maine-iac7 (Christian is as Christian does....)
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To: tumblindice
Sorry, tumblindice, good try but I've seen better jokes than that.
10 posted on 09/19/2012 8:13:31 AM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: tumblindice; Lucky9teen

I don’t care who you are, that was dang funny.

Ya should have saved it for Lucky9teen’s Friday Silliness Thread. Actually you could still post it there and get more eyes on it.


11 posted on 09/19/2012 2:33:22 PM PDT by TheOldLady
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