Skip to comments.Election 2012: New Hampshire President New Hampshire: Romney 48%, Obama 45%
Posted on 09/19/2012 7:36:33 AM PDT by ScottinVA
Mitt Romney has now taken the lead in the swing state of New Hampshire.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in New Hampshire shows Romney with 48% support to President Obamas 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Panicky Petes take note. Just like cooler heads have been saying - Romney is picking off Obama 2008 states one at a time...
If this election is “tight as a tick” (h/t Dan Rather), even 4 EVs can be huge. NH used to be a dependable red in a sea of blue but they’ve taken in so many Massholes that this isn’t the case anymore.
Making headway in New Hampshire makes you wonder where else Romney could be gaining momentum. Of course, veteran New Hampshirites will probably also remember Romney’s governor days of a neighboring state.
Guess all the people in Massachusetts that liked Romney moved to New Hampshire.
NC - 15 EVs
NH - 5 EVs
CO - 10 EVs
Indiana is back. NC is back. NH is back. CO is back. WI, FL, OH on the way
Huge news. This portends good things to come. And makes me suspicious of a poll out for MA the past couple days showing Romney down approximately 30 there. How can Øbama be up 30 in MA, losing in NH, and only up single digits in CT?
I believe Romney also has a vacation home on Lake Winnepesaukie.
Virginia is on the way...
Obama wants to destroy the USA and mold it into his vision of a Marxist/Islamic Utopia. He would rather dismatle us slowly, so they can loot us on the way down. But I have no doubt he would be just as satisfied to do it in one big fireball.
If Romney gets WI,NV,IA he doesn’t need either OH or VA.
And Obama may have fired his best shot early with the Mother Jones hit tape.
I think that was an Univ. poll. I tend to not to trust polls out of universities. These are taken by polisci majors and the ones I knew just made up the numbers instead of calling people. Seriously.
I think they needed to fire that 47 % shot earlier than desired due to the ME turmoil and bad polls
Steady as she goes...
Romney/Ryan completely rested and fresh for the big push starting Oct 1st. Obama is still running around trying to raise money, preparing for debates (while surrogates play down performance mind you), having to now suddenly take part in security briefings and at least a cursory appearance of doing his job, and having to come to “safe” 2008 States like WI, IA, and others.
Barry is going to make a lot of mistakes in October...it takes energy to keep up his false front and he’s going to look very small by the end of the month.
The Ryan gets unleashed after finally getting the MSM coverage he deserves during the debates.
The polls can be nerve racking at time, but I still believe when all is said and done its a landslide.
If God forbid Obama wins at least us conservatives can prepare for a future none of his sheep ever realized was coming.
Great news. It will be interesting to see where “the chair” goes to campaign from here on out. I think you will see him more and more in blue states tht he won in 2008.
Not to sound optimistic, but I think that there will be a huge shaft away from the chair about 10-14 days to the election and we may see a huge blowout. That there will be several blue states that will fall to Romney. Given the condition of the ecomony and the failure in foreign policy that is happening right now, I don’t see the majority of people wanting to give “ the chair” and Bite-me another 4-years.
So, Romney leads in NH, NC, and CO.
VA, OH, and FL will follow.
For several months now I've had a theory like yours, although on a smaller scale. I think when Obama's team knows it's over, they'll begin to quietly whisper of "possible unrest". It'll make it's way into the lib media, too. I'd guess that by three weeks out from election day, both sides will have seen all the internal polling and know what's coming. If and when those whispers of unrest pop up, we'll know we're headed to victory.
I believe it. Here in MA, Obama stickers are down 90% from ‘08. No enthusiasm, except in the 5 or 6 moonbattiest precincts.
He’s in Milwaukee this Saturday at Summerfest grounds.
Free to attend but you have to hit a Democrat election office for tickets...my bet is they’ll be handing out tickets on the street that morning.
Rallying his base here in Milwaukee instead of traveling into a swing area of WI.
It’s going to come down to the debates, I think a lot of people are still “wait and see” about Mitt. An impressive debate performance by Mitt will sway many people.
“And Obama may have fired his best shot early with the Mother Jones hit tape”
Its a new shot every week.
Romney murdered a woman
Romney paid no taxes
Romney hates women
Romney got no convention bounce
None of the shots are ‘sticking;, though....so expect more to come.
Early forecasts call for 55 and raining Saturday :)
-— How can Øbama be up 30 in MA ——
NO way. Ten, max. 5 max by November.
In 2004, I was able to predict Bush's win not with polls but by looking at where the candidates were spending their time in October. Kerry was spending all his time trying not to lose states that had gone blue in 2000. I was so certain that when I heard the "Kerry landslide" exit polls in mid-afternoon, I gave them the same credence I would give a report that Abe Vigoda won the gold medal in the Decathalon.
Obama’s “October Surprise” could be a call to legalize marijuana. :(
Same here in NW IL. Not seeing Obama stickers (and the few vehicles that have them have several) or Obama T-Shirts, plus I've seen one Obama sign, which was from '08 and was in a yard with not a single sign from any Dem running in the area.
True, Illinois isn't a battleground, but if I know Romney's going to lose here and I'm getting a Romney button, Romney stickers and a Romney button nonetheless, why aren't the Obama people doing the same?
How long until the MSM is whining about Romney being “Teflon?”
Doing my own Rasmussen swing state tally with opinions:
Safe Obama: 201
Safe Romney: 181
Need to win: 270
Colorado (9 EV) R: 47 O:45 (9/18 LV)
Florida (29 EV) O: 48 R: 46 (9/13 LV) post DNC bounce?
Iowa (6 EV) R: 46 O:44 (8/10 LV) needs newer poll
Michigan (16 EV) O: 48 R: 42 (7/23 LV) needs newer poll
Missouri (10 EV) R: 48 O:45 (9/13 LV)
Nevada (6 EV) O: 50 R: 45 (7/24 LV) needs newer poll
New Hampshire (4 EV) R: 48 O: 45 (9/19 LV)
North Carolina (15 EV) R: 51 O: 45 (9/14 LV)
Ohio (18 EV) O: 47 R: 46 (9/13 LV) post DNC bounce?
Pennsylvania (20 EV) O: 48 R: 44 (7/20 LV) needs newer poll
Virginia (13 EV) O: 49 R: 48 (9/14 LV) post DNC bounce?
Wisconsin (10 EV) R: 48 O: 47 (8/16 LV) needs newer poll
If you tabulate these at face value, Obama adds 102 and wins with 303 while Romney adds 54 to lose with 235. But three of the most critical battleground states (Florida, Ohio, Virginia) were sampled the week after the Democrat Convention when even Rasmussen showed a strong spike for Obama that might have also been reflected in these polls. The next time these three states are sampled could be quite telling. Those 60 EVs can swing the entire election to 295-243 for Romney.
Florida is the big dog and Romney needs to hit that state as hard as he did during the primaries. If the rest shake out this way, he can afford to lose Ohio or Virginia but not both as long as he wins Florida and a few other close states like Colorado and Wisconsin.
The key will be Florida, Ohio and Virginia and whether there is a shift in these states since the conventions have subsided.
That Mother Jones tape is not helping Obama. I work in Lynn, Massachusetts and even democrats at work were agreeing with the sentiment. I think it was a net positive for Romney.
He really needs to explain the root cause of this — how dems have convinced 47% that they cannot make it on their own and how he will help the 47% become self sufficient.
“None of the shots are sticking, though....so expect more to come.”
These shots stick inasmuch as the Romney lead isn’t at +10, where it should be.
People who would actually vote on that basis in a double dip recession while the Middle East burns are either:
Libertarians who wouldn’t vote for Obama under any circumstances.
Hardcore Dems who are going to show up anyway.
Potheads who will be too busy with a wake-and-bake followed by 12 hours of Modern Warfare 3 to turn out on Nov. 6.
Oh, and it would look so desperate that it would move about half a point of undecideds over to Romney. “Holy crap! How creepy is this guy?!!?”
This election doesn’t mirror 1980 exactly (the presence of Anderson prevents that) but it does mirror it so far in this: You have a President who should be ten points behind, and his opponent is “unable to close the deal.” People were scared then, they are scared now. But the day will come where they have to decide whether they are more afraid that a successful CEO will be even more incompetent than Obama, or more afraid that four more years of this guy will be even worse than the first four.
In 1980 they decided that they were very, very afraid of Jimmah having four more years at the helm. And they decided it in the last couple of weeks. this time, I think they’ll decide long before that. In fact, if you believe Rasmussen’s numbers, they’re already doing so.
There’s something to that. The suburban towns south of Manchester contain the most republicans. Many of them are conservatives who fled Massachusetts, but still work there.
“Great news. It will be interesting to see where the chair goes to campaign from here on out. I think you will see him more and more in blue states tht he won in 2008.”
I knew it was a good sign for us that the kenyan was spending so much time in Iowa. One trip was 3 full days in a row. He won IA by 9 points in 2008! And now he is camped out there??
ruh roh. LOL
That home is already being pimped as the 'summer White House' by NH media...road construction underway in the area to accommodate anticipated additional vehicular traffic.
If the Entertainment Industrial Complex weren't so in the tank for O' he'd be down by 10 points.
We can only hope...
Speaking of ticks...the problem is now suburban New Yorkers...far worse than 'Massh*les'...
Are you sure CO “is back”? I hope so. I’m counting on the large Mormon constituency in CO to come through for Romney. In addition to IN, NC, and NH, I’d add WI, FL and IA into the Romney column. But, we must have either OH or VA.
Time for the gnashing of teeth and the tearing out of hair,oh, and lamentation, lots of lamentation.
If Romney wins the states you mentioned plus NV he wouldn’t need OH or VA.
I think it comes down to the debates. If Romney is holding his own in the first two debates, polls will show him with a nice lead. If Romney destroys Obama in anyone of the debates, it will be a Romney landslide. All he has to do to win is hold his on and not make any serious mistakes in the debates, and he wins.
Another teflon president? I like the sound of that, although Romney clearly does not have the same charisma as Reagan, so I’m not sure if he could completely pull it off, at least in the same way that Reagan did.
Don’t want to jinx us, but as a resident of Florida and business owner who talks to a diverse group of citizens, there is no support for ZerO here in the Sunshine State. You seldom see a Obama 2012 sticker and no yard signs; as if people are embarassed since Florida’s unemployment and housing situation is killing them or a relative for certain.
Granted, I don’t spend a lot of time in Miami or with the Jews in Palm Beach, but unless Romney implodes, Florida will go to him.
I think they knew this and that is why they did not have to grab Rubio as VP. Rubio should peel off enough votes in Miami/Ft. Lauderdale to neutralize Obama’s support from the illegals and free-loaders; thus by the time Florida’s panhandle votes (an hour behind in case CNN forgot), I see Romney/Ryan winning this state by 300,000 votes.
Assuming the ‘Rats don’t cheat like hell.
In '08, we were running scared. Now when these rat weenines start with their obama-worship, they get called on it.