Skip to comments.Battleground Polls: Could Obama Lose the Popular Vote but Win the Election?
Posted on 09/19/2012 9:58:17 AM PDT by kristinn
George W. Bush did it in 2000. So did John Quincy Adams, Rutherford B. Hayes and Benjamin Harrison.
Could President Obama be next?
Its not often that a presidential candidate wins the election while losing the popular vote, but polling suggests it could happen again in 2012 if the race tightens just a bit.
A handful of new polls today show President Obama leading in important battleground states. Surveys by CBS-New York Times-Quinnipiac rate him ahead in Virginia (50-46 percent) and Wisconsin (51-45 percent), while erasing a Romney lead in Colorado to pull ahead narrowly (48-47 percent).
The last batch of swing-state polls, released Thursday by NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist, showed Obama leading in Ohio (50-43 percent), Florida (49-44 percent) and Virginia.
Thats good news for Obama, and if the election were held today, they indicate that Obama would be the favorite.
But national polling remains very close. Since Romney secured his partys nomination in April, neither candidate has gained much separation.
President Obamas single-digit convention bounce has mostly evaporated. ABC News-Washington Post polling showed him leading Mitt Romney 50-44 percent after the conventions, and Gallups daily tracking poll concurred. Now, Gallup shows the two candidates virtually tied: Obama leads 47-46 percent, the exact same numbers Gallup reported as the GOP convention began in Tampa.
But at various points in the election cycle, polls have shown Republicans more excited about voting in November 2012 than Democrats. If a lagging economy and a lack of excitement deflate Obamas vote totals in safely Democratic states, boost Romneys total in red states, and makes swing states more competitive, Obama could surpass 269 Electoral College votes while seeing Romney become the next Al Gore.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
Richard Nixon, 1968.
The GOP Controls the House and if it were to come down to Romney winning the popular vote while losing the Electoral College vote, the House would have to take actions to follow the wishes of the majority of the voters.
Didn’t this happen to W in 2000?
I read it that way too. It’s a code,,for the MSM
I saw NBC and immediately stopped reading.
The Community Agitators Formerly Known As ACORN can't generate enough election fraud to overcome the tsunami headed Ubama's way.
Notice how they cherry picked from the most leftwing polls and old polling to create this crappola.
Did Humphrey not take the popular vote, yet lose the election?
Another leftist fantasy played out in print. Why do you never see articles about Romney winning the electoral college and losing the popular vote?
Wait this race is over how could Mitt be more popular than barry?
But, but....but the MSM have been saying that the election is over and the chair will win big time.
To me, this does not sound all that comforting from the media. This may be an early signal that they are seeing te chair is in big trouble.
Only if Obama gets less than 270 electoral votes. 270 is the only number that matters. (Though the schadenfreude in me would love to see the GOP-controlled House decide it). The wailing and gnashing of teeth would be sweet to hear.
When Suck-Up ABC starts switching stories from “Romney is Doomed” to stories like this, you know there’s a problem for Obama.
I noted some months ago that the NPV gang were silent as church mice this cycle.
I've made 1600 phone calls from home to New Hampshire in the last six days using the system set up by the campaign. Even 100 calls will make a difference. Who will join me?
That election was close but Nixon still won the popular vote and the electoral votes.
Must have meant 1960.