Wow, that 8-9% is an an extraordinarily high estimate. Is that Florida only?
But on the other hand, if 20% of the Jewish vote in any given state swings from the 'Rats to the Pubbies as compared to '08, Romney in effect will gain 40% of the total Jewish turnout in his vote total vs. Obama, as he gains 20% while Zero loses 20% of that turnout. (BTW, that 20% may be a bit more than generally predicted.)
>>Wow, that 8-9% is an an extraordinarily high estimate. Is that Florida only?
Florida only. While Jews are about 4-5% of the population there, their demographics are higher than average in voter age group, and turnout has been measured as high as a whopping 96%!
It’s hard to say of course, how much of the Jewish vote will swing. In Florida some people are hoping for over 25% - that does not seem realistic. Personally I would be surprised if it was much less than 20%, though.