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CONFLICTING POLLING AS SCOTT BROWN AND ELIZABETH WARREN HEAD INTO TONIGHT’S DEBATE
Powerline ^ | 09/20/2012

Posted on 09/20/2012 8:25:12 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Following the Democratic Convention, intial polling suggested that Elizabeth Warren had taken the lead over Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race. More recently, a poll by WBUR/MassINC put Warren ahead by 5 points, 47-42.

But now comes a poll by UMass Lowell/Boston Herald, taken during basically the same period as the WBUR poll, that puts Brown ahead by 50-44. The poll also shows, however, that Brown’s lead (assuming the reliability of the poll) is not as solid as its size suggests. Nearly one in three Brown backers say they could change their mind before Election Day, compared to just 19 percent for Warren.

Thus, the Brown-Warren race looks like the same toss-up it has been, more or less, all along.

The race will enter a new phase tonight when the candidates hold their first debate (of four). The debate begins at 7:00 p.m. (EST).

Warren will want to show that she’s likeable. Brown will want to confirm that he’s independent. On its face, Brown’s task seems easier, although one never knows with debates where the random gaffe can be key.

As noted, however, the Boston Herald poll shows that Brown’s hold over voters is more tenuous than Warren’s. In that sense, Brown has more to lose.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: massachusetts; scottbrown; senate; warren

1 posted on 09/20/2012 8:25:18 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

By a strange co-incidence with the debate tonight and Brown up by 6 in one pool, Da Mayah Tom Menino has endorsed Lieawatha.
Thank Wu! Mistah mayah, you know I’m not fancy talkah.
Go see the jumbletroms and the potta pottas in the rollin’ rally. That is one thing that, you know, fries my nose...


2 posted on 09/20/2012 8:26:47 AM PDT by raccoonradio
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To: raccoonradio

Will this endorsement be an Alcatraz around Fauxcahotis’ neck?


3 posted on 09/20/2012 8:28:16 AM PDT by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: raccoonradio

I think I can discern that you are speaking English, but I’m not quite sure...


4 posted on 09/20/2012 8:29:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: raccoonradio

Too bad SNL is in the tank for Liberals. I’d love to see a parody of this debate where Granny Warren gets asked a question and Deval fields it for her.


5 posted on 09/20/2012 8:29:32 AM PDT by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: massgopguy

I hope there will be a live thread on tonight’s debate.


6 posted on 09/20/2012 8:33:44 AM PDT by IM2MAD
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To: SeekAndFind

How is someone who benefited and profited from claiming a racial set-aside she didn’t deserve, or qualify for, considered a legitimate candidate fr the US Senate???

OH...
WAIT....
SHE’S A DEMOCRAT....


7 posted on 09/20/2012 8:37:11 AM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: SeekAndFind

The biggest problem with this election is that they both cannot lose.


8 posted on 09/20/2012 8:48:22 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: SeekAndFind; All

Will C-span broadcast it live? Any internet links?...


9 posted on 09/20/2012 8:58:09 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: SeekAndFind

The polling sample in the pro Warren polls is completely out of touch with party registration in MA.

The plurality of of voters in MA are Independents and they are overwhelmingly for Brown.

The pro Brown polls seem to have undersampled D and over sampled Is.

This race is a toss up


10 posted on 09/20/2012 9:06:51 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: SeekAndFind


11 posted on 09/20/2012 9:11:41 AM PDT by Iron Munro (US Embassies Come and Go But An Obama Apology Lasts Forever)
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To: raccoonradio
Lie-a-watha....

LMAO......gasping for air!

It's a wicked piss'ah.....

12 posted on 09/20/2012 9:11:41 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: massgopguy

“Too bad SNL is in the tank for Liberals. I’d love to see a parody of this debate where Granny Warren gets asked a question and Deval fields it for her.”

We are so in need of a conservative version of SNL. The material is virtually unlimited and the skits practically write themselves. I would love to see Glenn Beck have a show like this on his cable network. Add youtube clips of this stuff to the mix and soon the show would be picked up by a channel with a bigger audience.


13 posted on 09/20/2012 9:40:22 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: catnipman

“...conservative version of SNL. ...”

There’s a wealth of craziness to choose from on that side...

Start with “Hippies Crying Over Trees”...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G880gxjj9dI

And just keep going. They write the material themselves, just being who/what they are.


14 posted on 09/20/2012 9:58:04 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: NFHale

To try and win back support Elizabeth decided to put on her deer skin outfit and war paint make-up while answering some of the questions in INDIAN during the debate.


15 posted on 09/20/2012 10:15:35 AM PDT by spawn44 (MOO)
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To: NFHale

To try and win back support Elizabeth decided to put on her deer skin outfit and war paint make-up while answering some of the questions in INDIAN during the debate.


16 posted on 09/20/2012 10:15:46 AM PDT by spawn44 (MOO)
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To: SeekAndFind

A leftist will win this debate.


17 posted on 09/20/2012 12:26:31 PM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (The world continues to be stuck in a "all leftist, all of the time" funk. BUNK THE FUNK!)
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To: spawn44

She’s a loon. Another one with the psycho eyes, like Pelosi.

It’s like, in their mind, they just KNOW so much more than you’ll EVER know, and they deserve power...

And the libs queue up behind her, unquestioningly...like good little apparatchniki...


18 posted on 09/20/2012 12:37:15 PM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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