Posted on 09/20/2012 8:41:28 AM PDT by xzins
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 50% and Romney 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.
Nine percent (9%) of voters now consider national security issues most important in this election. That’s up from five percent (5%) a week ago. Almost all of the increase has come from Republicans. While the economy is the number one issue for all parties, national security now replaces fiscal policy issues as the number two concern for GOP voters. Fiscal policy concerns remain the lowest priority among five issues for Democrats, while it’s second for voters not affiliated with either party.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Which would suggest that O had an abnormally good polling day and the trend will level out this blip in 4 or 5 days.
I’d like to see the GOP commission some polls using a minimum sampling of R+11. We’d know it’s bogus but the resulting media outrage would quickly prove the point about the massive D oversampling in almost all of the polls.
Forget the stupid 47% video and attack Obunghole on a different topic.
Pick something from from Obunghole’s past a blow it up as new information. Tony Rezco, Blagobitch, Wright, anything unrelated to any policy issue that the MSM can spin off on Romney.
Smear the bastard so bad that all the liberal media can do is hiss and spit in an angry rage.
Force the media to spend the next week defending Obunghole.
If you look at both of Rassmussen’s Daily polls it suggest Obama had an abnormally good polling day yesterday.
I think this a statistical blip, not a change. It is not good news but it not a disaster yet either.
In our circle of friends..we know of no one who voted for the GOP that will not repeat that vote..and some of our friends who voted for Obama will not do so again. Only the diehard Rats are voting for Obama.
>>Why does “rally around the flag” include Obama.
Because he’s the President.
An Ambassador of the U.S. was attacked and killed by Al Qaida. The Administration, bless its heart, tried to describe this attack on us as a protest against a meaningless video. The American public will see that Obama did not himself rally ‘round the flag, and will react against him. But, for some people, it will take a few days for all this to sink.
Rezco is something nobody has dug deep enough into. If the Romney camp has a surprise, this is likely it. Something directly linking Bozo to illegal activity.
Please see post #26.
This is not good any way you look at it. Ras is a reliable pollster and this tells me that Romney is in trouble. The run out the clock strategy is simply not going to work.
The problem with the MSM is that they simply wouldn’t report it.
It’s a great idea if we can find an alternative method of spreading the news about it very quickly.
1. Fox; about 6 million listeners
2. Talk Radio; I think Rush claims 20 million, but I don’t know what his day-by-day numbers are.
It would be great if someone had a link to about a fourth of the households in America, so they could just forward the headline: “R 51%, D 39%....Dems might as well stay home”
I pretty much agree with you. I think Ras had Romney up over O just 2 or 3 days ago.
“I’m assuming republicans are eagerly anticipating Romney going on the offensive soon.”
Yes. Just like we’re waiting for Godot....
2 points is nothing in a national sample with a margin of error of 3.5.
The 3.5 means that this could be 47-3.5 versus 45+3.5 or Obama 43.5 - Romney 48.5.
The poll range is 50.5 to 41.5 (47+3.5 to 45-3.5). Obama’s range is 50.5 - 43.5. Romney’s range is 48.5 - 41.5.
If Romney is at the high end of his range and Obama is at the low end of his range, then the error inherent in this poll could actually have Romney as leading and Obama behind.
Hate to be the skunk at the garden party, but the meme that Carter was trouncing Reagan until the last week of the election doesn’t hold up to the facts. Reagan had small lead in most polls through October and then pulled away in the last week.
themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/08/09/what-really-happened-in-the-1980-presidential-campaign/
www.amstat.org/sections/srms/Proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf
Good to see you back in the game.
I am trying not to be overconfident, but I think you’re right. There’s a reason trends are more important in these things than day to day.
There are polls saying Obama is up 14 in Wisconsin, but Ann Romney is there today and Obama will be in Milwaukee on Saturday. Presidents don’t campaign in states they’re winning by double digits.
See tagline. Get grip. Lather, rinse, repeat.
We are about at the stage of the campaign where McCain's fortunes started to decline in 2008, yet we (FR) kept whistling past the graveyard proclaiming the polls to be worthless. Simply put, not being Obama is not enough to win the election given Romney's failings and Obama's masterful propaganda machine. That said, we still have to vote and work for Romney until the bitter end.
I don't know what the strategy is but the Romney camp is driving me mad.
One honestly has to wonder what Obama’s numbers would be if Romney had been hitting him hard for just 2 weeks in a row.
The final presidential debate is 22 October.
That doesn’t allow a lot of time for a massive ad campaign, but 2 weeks is workable.
-— “I’m assuming republicans are eagerly anticipating Romney going on the offensive soon.”
Yes. Just like we’re waiting for Godot....——
I’ve changed my mind about this.
No matter what Mitt says publicly, his statements will be misrepresented by the Democrap media.
The ONLY way he can get his message out is through (negative) ads. PAC advertising is preferable, since he enjoys true, or at least plausible, ignorance.
He could also get his message out through strategic “adverse” leaks, like the 47% audio, had that audio been deliberately leaked. But its risky.
I trust Mitt to run effective negative ads because:
He did so in the primaries.
I’ve seen effective ads even here in MA.
He does his due diligence.
He wants this thing.
Be of good cheer, and keep fighting!
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