Skip to comments.(Rasmussen) Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: (Obama 47, Romney 45, 3% other, 4% undecided)
Posted on 09/20/2012 8:41:28 AM PDT by xzins
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
When leaners are included, its Obama 50% and Romney 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.
Nine percent (9%) of voters now consider national security issues most important in this election. Thats up from five percent (5%) a week ago. Almost all of the increase has come from Republicans. While the economy is the number one issue for all parties, national security now replaces fiscal policy issues as the number two concern for GOP voters. Fiscal policy concerns remain the lowest priority among five issues for Democrats, while its second for voters not affiliated with either party.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I’m assuming that a week of unrelenting media attacks on Romney are having an effect. Surprisingly, the effects leave the election in a virtual tie with the 2 point difference well within the margin of error.
I’m assuming republicans are eagerly anticipating Romney going on the offensive soon.
Ugh.... so goes the idea that "undecideds" break for the challenger.
In some ways, it is impressive that continual attacks on Romney with very little response back from Romney have resulted in minimal damage in the Rasmussen poll, the only authoritative poll currently operating.
It says that something about Romney is teflon coated. Or it could mean that Romney has a huge group of people who simply are not going to support Obama, so that tends to keep Romney’s numbers fairly constant.
This is the “rally ‘round the flag” effect of the turmoil in the Middle East. It’s predictable and fleeting.
in 1980 one week before the election carter was up on Reagan 46-39. just sayin
All the reading I’ve done on the “undecided” issue says that applies to the final poll before the actual election.
That makes sense to me.
But, to apply the undecided rule when 50 days out says that people don’t change their minds once debates, campaign, and media incursions take place. I don’t find that reasonable.
The undecided rule doesn’t apply until approximately 4&5 November.
Zero had to lie to get elected but apparently now he doesn’t have to do anything except party, golf, go on Letterman and the majority will not care that he’s destroying the USA.
I expected this after 24/7 coverage of “Gaffe-prone Mitt ‘The Gaffer’ Romney and his gaffetastic foot-in-mouth gaffes” from the MSM. I just hope this stabilizes soon.
I can’t imagine any American rallying around a president who is giving our country away to fanatics.
I’m sure it happens, but it boggles my mind that it does.
This is a repost
Is it just me, or does Romney seem invisible. It seems the only coverage he gets is constant media coverage of Obama campaign attacks. Other than that, the media doesn’t report anything about Romney. Of course, they give Obama constant fawning coverage even though the economy and our foreign policy is in shambles. It is truly sickening. The media doesn’t even report news anymore. They are a PR arm of the Obama campaign.
Why does “rally around the flag” include Obama. Quite a disconnect.
Can you do me a favor? I’ve seen these polling stats many times, and I know they’re true, but I can’t find them on my own. Can you direct me to all those polls that had Reagan losing, and Bush losing, etc.? I need to find them, look at them, and take comfort in them.
One of the problems with daily polling is this or that camp can have an abnormally good day. That skews the results for a while. This is not good news but it is also not the end of the world.
We need to see 4 or 5 more days of data to see if this is a blip or a trend.
Every few days Rasmussen will show the Kenyan communist leading, just to make it look like he’s in line with the rest of the socialist media that drool over the current dunce in chief. No way in hell this communist nothing will be reelected. It’s all about turnover and no president in American history has been hated as much as this worthless SOB.
It’s really hard to tell if it’s bad for Romney or not. It’s within the MOE. (I think Rasmussen’s Daily has an MOE of 3.5%)
Which would suggest that O had an abnormally good polling day and the trend will level out this blip in 4 or 5 days.
I’d like to see the GOP commission some polls using a minimum sampling of R+11. We’d know it’s bogus but the resulting media outrage would quickly prove the point about the massive D oversampling in almost all of the polls.
Forget the stupid 47% video and attack Obunghole on a different topic.
Pick something from from Obunghole’s past a blow it up as new information. Tony Rezco, Blagobitch, Wright, anything unrelated to any policy issue that the MSM can spin off on Romney.
Smear the bastard so bad that all the liberal media can do is hiss and spit in an angry rage.
Force the media to spend the next week defending Obunghole.
If you look at both of Rassmussen’s Daily polls it suggest Obama had an abnormally good polling day yesterday.
I think this a statistical blip, not a change. It is not good news but it not a disaster yet either.
In our circle of friends..we know of no one who voted for the GOP that will not repeat that vote..and some of our friends who voted for Obama will not do so again. Only the diehard Rats are voting for Obama.
>>Why does rally around the flag include Obama.
Because he’s the President.
An Ambassador of the U.S. was attacked and killed by Al Qaida. The Administration, bless its heart, tried to describe this attack on us as a protest against a meaningless video. The American public will see that Obama did not himself rally ‘round the flag, and will react against him. But, for some people, it will take a few days for all this to sink.
Rezco is something nobody has dug deep enough into. If the Romney camp has a surprise, this is likely it. Something directly linking Bozo to illegal activity.
Please see post #26.
This is not good any way you look at it. Ras is a reliable pollster and this tells me that Romney is in trouble. The run out the clock strategy is simply not going to work.
The problem with the MSM is that they simply wouldn’t report it.
It’s a great idea if we can find an alternative method of spreading the news about it very quickly.
1. Fox; about 6 million listeners
2. Talk Radio; I think Rush claims 20 million, but I don’t know what his day-by-day numbers are.
It would be great if someone had a link to about a fourth of the households in America, so they could just forward the headline: “R 51%, D 39%....Dems might as well stay home”
I pretty much agree with you. I think Ras had Romney up over O just 2 or 3 days ago.
“Im assuming republicans are eagerly anticipating Romney going on the offensive soon.”
Yes. Just like we’re waiting for Godot....
2 points is nothing in a national sample with a margin of error of 3.5.
The 3.5 means that this could be 47-3.5 versus 45+3.5 or Obama 43.5 - Romney 48.5.
The poll range is 50.5 to 41.5 (47+3.5 to 45-3.5). Obama’s range is 50.5 - 43.5. Romney’s range is 48.5 - 41.5.
If Romney is at the high end of his range and Obama is at the low end of his range, then the error inherent in this poll could actually have Romney as leading and Obama behind.
Hate to be the skunk at the garden party, but the meme that Carter was trouncing Reagan until the last week of the election doesn’t hold up to the facts. Reagan had small lead in most polls through October and then pulled away in the last week.
Good to see you back in the game.
I am trying not to be overconfident, but I think you’re right. There’s a reason trends are more important in these things than day to day.
There are polls saying Obama is up 14 in Wisconsin, but Ann Romney is there today and Obama will be in Milwaukee on Saturday. Presidents don’t campaign in states they’re winning by double digits.
See tagline. Get grip. Lather, rinse, repeat.
We are about at the stage of the campaign where McCain's fortunes started to decline in 2008, yet we (FR) kept whistling past the graveyard proclaiming the polls to be worthless. Simply put, not being Obama is not enough to win the election given Romney's failings and Obama's masterful propaganda machine. That said, we still have to vote and work for Romney until the bitter end.
I don't know what the strategy is but the Romney camp is driving me mad.
One honestly has to wonder what Obama’s numbers would be if Romney had been hitting him hard for just 2 weeks in a row.
The final presidential debate is 22 October.
That doesn’t allow a lot of time for a massive ad campaign, but 2 weeks is workable.
-— Im assuming republicans are eagerly anticipating Romney going on the offensive soon.
Yes. Just like were waiting for Godot....——
I’ve changed my mind about this.
No matter what Mitt says publicly, his statements will be misrepresented by the Democrap media.
The ONLY way he can get his message out is through (negative) ads. PAC advertising is preferable, since he enjoys true, or at least plausible, ignorance.
He could also get his message out through strategic “adverse” leaks, like the 47% audio, had that audio been deliberately leaked. But its risky.
I trust Mitt to run effective negative ads because:
He did so in the primaries.
I’ve seen effective ads even here in MA.
He does his due diligence.
He wants this thing.
Be of good cheer, and keep fighting!
No doubt, but I still don’t feel any poll is capturing what’s going on on the ground including Rasmussen.
Yes, and the meme that we can predict the election results by looking at a poll in mid-Septmber is pure crapola. See tagline.
What do you think is going on on the ground?
-— in 1980 one week before the election carter was up on Reagan 46-39. just sayin -—
Wow! I wonder why so many people changed their minds at the last minute.
Our side, especially the politicians and the media on our side, never complete an argument, and it’s jeopardizing the future of our country. WHY do we continue to refer to “8 percent” unemployment, when that number has gone down only because 9 million people have given up looking for work with Obama as president, and thus they are no longer considered “unemployed” and no longer included in the “unemployment” number. Why can’t we add 20 words or so — it would take just a few seconds — and say that “unemployment stands at 8.1 percent, but that number has dropped only because when people give up looking for a job — as 9 million have with Obama as president — they are no longer counted as unemployed.” PLEASE respond in discussions in some similar way and PLEASE encourage our politicians and our media friends to hammer on this fact. PLEASE. Unemployment counting the people who have given up is 11.4 percent. And that doesn’t count the people who work part-time but want to work full-time. PLEASE complete the argument. Numbers have a strong psychological impact.
There is a new pro-Romney Restore Our Future ad out just yesterday in Wisconsin and Michigan.
The name of the ad is “Disappearing” and you can look it up online.
It’s a good start.
The ad specifically addresses the fact that the real unemployment rate is nearly 19% and explains WHY.
Breaking news: among REGISTERED voters, Gallup tracking has Obama 47, Romney 47. Today.
Go pound sand CNN and entire MSM. Your hyperbolic, hysterical fit has resulted in zero for Zero.
Thank you mw18787.
Rush just received a note that the new Gallup today has it 0-47 R-47.
Let us know if you think the new ad is a step in the right direction. I did. Because the low info, downscale voter needs education - the MSM would never explain these facts.