Skip to comments.Gallup: Romney, Obama Tied at 47% Each in Presidential Poll (with 47 days to go!)
Posted on 09/20/2012 11:11:02 AM PDT by smoothsailing
September 20, 2012
A new Gallup survey has the presidential race tied at 47 percent apiece in a new national poll featuring pro-abortion President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, who is endorsed by pro-life groups.
About its newest poll, Gallup says:
These are the results when registered voters are asked: “Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?”
Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at lifenews.com ...
Seems that back in May, Romney was eerily accurate with his projection of 0bama’s support.
I still think this is going to be a rout. I think Obozo will lose bigger than Carter did in 1980 and may even approach McGovern’s loss.
Oops, Obama falling exactly as the press claims all the negatives are on Romney!
Expect to see AxelFRAUD knocking on Gallop’s door very soon. I suspect that since this is only “Registered voters” that with likely voters Romney is probably up between 4-5 points. This is just like Carter, Carter was leading, no one thought he would lose, than got the living snot kicked out of him
So Romney is actually about 10 points up.
These polls are very encouraging for Romney. My only fear is that Romney's campaign are overconfident - they need to campaign as though this was still a dead heat.
Any time the polls tighten the obama camp comes out with some new “surprise”. They are such a sleazy bunch.
LifeNews is a website devoted to pro-life news. It frames all of it’s articles and stories around that theme.
Mitt Romney is Not Pro Life.
I do 5.6 posts per day, with 47 days till the election...
That makes 263.2 posts to go!
... 263.2 posts to go...
Unfortunately Gallup and Rasmussen are 180 degrees out of phase. Ones UP, the other is DOWN. Go figure.
Oh yeah? Well I'll see your 47% and raise you 8%...
Hey guys, Intrade still has Obama at 70% for re-election. I really see a buying opportunity on Romney stock here, I think the polls are going to continue to tighten then we’re going to hopefully see a Romney blowout as the polls get more real with likely voters and less oversampling, jmo.
Yes, republican turnout from the 2010 midterms should be the “oversample” - not demacrat turnout from 2008.
Romney is up by at least 10% which is a true blowout (historically)
Like you say, this is RV's, so it's skewed to Obama.
In 1980, Gallup had Carter ahead of Reagan by 4 points in mid September and ahead by 8 points October 1st! As we know, Reagan won by 9 points and carried 44 states.
I knew last week’s Gallop poll was total BS, especially after I heard how Axelrod threatened them. Another poll that I find interesting is how 55 percent of this country believe we are on the wrong track. So I am supposed to believe that 55 percent of Americans believe that this country is on the wrong track yet they will vote for Obama anyway? Its not possible, they think he sucks but will give him another shot at it LOL
It will come down to the debates(especially the 1st one) if Romney can kick Obama’s ass he will become President. He has to show why he would make a better leader, how he will make this country better. That is how Reagan won, everyone had Carter winning til that debate, then BAM total Reagan landslide. Even though the media will say that Obama won the debate it wont matter what they say, if Romney can resonate with the American people and give his plan to fix this economy he wins
Obama is not pro America...
From: "Ann Marie Habershaw, BarackObama.com"
Date: September 20, 2012 11:22:40 AM CDT
Subject: I don't care if it's you, for the umpteenth time
I've got to be honest, I don't care who wins this last Dinner with Barack.
All I care about is who wins on November 6th.
Sure, this dinner will be a once-in-a-lifetime experience that you'll tell your grandkids about and all that jazz, but here's why I really think you should chip in $5 or whatever you can to be automatically entered:
You've played a valuable role in moving this campaign forward -- whether by standing with the President when it counted, or talking to people you know about why this election matters to you. Now you can help build this campaign just in time for the home stretch, when we're making critical win-or-lose budget decisions.
So there you have it. Enter this cool contest, and help President Obama win the much bigger one coming up in just 47 days:
Ann Marie Habershaw
Chief Operating Officer
Obama for America
P.S. -- To make the deal even sweeter, we're picking up the tab for your dinner, hotel, and airfare, so really -- why not?
But, if Romney commits a single gaffe we know that it will be blown out of proportion and Romney will be the "loser". That is why it is so vital that he avoid gaffes. We have witnessed the power of the media to exaggerate gaffes and even to create one where none exists. Therefore, Romney must tiptoe through a minefield, many of the mines having been laid by the moderators of the debates, all of whom are leftists.
To combat this, our spinmeisters should be fully primed and armed with talking points before Romney even sets foot on the debating stage. Romney certainly has experience debating and is generally acquitted himself well with a minimum of gaffes. I would be a little bit less uncomfortable if I had not heard that Portman was quitting the campaign and quitting the role of impersonating Obama. Portman has been reported to be among the very best at this game and his loss might well be felt.
The problem is that Romney is going into this debate already cast as the loser who must "win" the debates or his election chances are doomed. That is just one more disservice rendered by these phony polls. It is unfortunate that the Romney campaign has not been able show more strength in this regard.
I am very concerned about the dichotomy between the Gallup and the Rasmussen polls. Rasmussen has been weakening in swing states, in Nevada, and, overall with leaners Obama is approaching the magic 50% mark. If Obama can fix himself at the 50% level it would be very bad news indeed.
It seems that nothing will shake Romney from the view that the election will be decided by independent and undecided voters and that an aggressive attack against Obama will be counterproductive by turning this cohort off. I have come more and more to reject this view even though I concede that is no doubt reinforced by the best polling data and focus group results that money can buy. But N. B. the recently released videotape concerning the "47%" reveals that Romney held this view very early in the campaign season and that raises the question whether he is misguided and prematurely formed rather than properly informed by the polling and focus group data which I referred to and which presumably daily reinforces his timidity.
If Romney is wrong and he loses the election while conducting it to the end as he has until now, the Republican Party will never look the same. It is amazing that cycle after cycle the argument remains the same between conservatives and rhinos, whether to energize the base or reach out to the mushy middle. I have always held the view that principled conservatism is attractive enough to draw in the middle-and that accepts the view, arguendo, that we are not in fact "the middle."
Seeking out fence-sitters will just give one slivers up their RINO.
Recent Rass polling shows Romney taking a lead in Iowa, NH and CO. That more then offsets the weaking in NV.
Today’s Rass polling shows a massive 1 day swing to 0 in both the President approval and the 2012 Presidential race. That would suggest this is not a new trend but one of those odd statistical blips that show up from time to time in daily polls.
We need to see 4-5 more days of data before assuming this is a Obama trend rather then statistical noise. It’s not good news but it is also not the disaster for Romney some in the O camp want to claim.
“I still think this is going to be a rout.”
As Ed McMahon would say, “You are correct Sir!!!”.
“Hey guys, Intrade still has Obama at 70% for re-election. I really see a buying opportunity on Romney stock here”
Yeah, I think there’s some easy money to be made here.