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Gallup: Romney, Obama Tied at 47% Each in Presidential Poll (with 47 days to go!)
LifeNews ^ | 9-20-2012 | Steve Ertelt

Posted on 09/20/2012 11:11:02 AM PDT by smoothsailing

September 20, 2012

Gallup: Romney, Obama Tied at 47% Each in Presidential Poll

Steve Ertelt

A new Gallup survey has the presidential race tied at 47 percent apiece in a new national poll featuring pro-abortion President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, who is endorsed by pro-life groups.

About its newest poll, Gallup says:

These are the results when registered voters are asked: “Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?”

Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points.


(Excerpt) Read more at lifenews.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup
Gallup still using Registered Voters. Notice that Obama is trending down, Romney is trending up.
1 posted on 09/20/2012 11:11:06 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Seems that back in May, Romney was eerily accurate with his projection of 0bama’s support.


2 posted on 09/20/2012 11:12:02 AM PDT by henkster (With Carter, the embassy staff was still alive.)
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To: smoothsailing

I still think this is going to be a rout. I think Obozo will lose bigger than Carter did in 1980 and may even approach McGovern’s loss.


3 posted on 09/20/2012 11:12:54 AM PDT by econjack (Some people are as dumb as soup.)
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To: smoothsailing

Oops, Obama falling exactly as the press claims all the negatives are on Romney!


4 posted on 09/20/2012 11:16:46 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: smoothsailing

Expect to see AxelFRAUD knocking on Gallop’s door very soon. I suspect that since this is only “Registered voters” that with likely voters Romney is probably up between 4-5 points. This is just like Carter, Carter was leading, no one thought he would lose, than got the living snot kicked out of him


5 posted on 09/20/2012 11:17:42 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: smoothsailing
Bumpity bump bump SPLAT!
6 posted on 09/20/2012 11:19:04 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: smoothsailing

So Romney is actually about 10 points up.


7 posted on 09/20/2012 11:21:19 AM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: smoothsailing
Kind of an odd way to start out an article...the pro-abortion Obama against the pro-life Romney...but I'm okay with it.

These polls are very encouraging for Romney. My only fear is that Romney's campaign are overconfident - they need to campaign as though this was still a dead heat.

8 posted on 09/20/2012 11:21:49 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: smoothsailing

Any time the polls tighten the obama camp comes out with some new “surprise”. They are such a sleazy bunch.


9 posted on 09/20/2012 11:24:10 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: SamAdams76

LifeNews is a website devoted to pro-life news. It frames all of it’s articles and stories around that theme.


10 posted on 09/20/2012 11:30:02 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Mitt Romney is Not Pro Life.


11 posted on 09/20/2012 11:32:47 AM PDT by Uncle Slayton
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To: smoothsailing

I do 5.6 posts per day, with 47 days till the election...

That makes 263.2 posts to go!

... 263.2 posts to go...

263.2

Arrrrgh!


12 posted on 09/20/2012 11:33:17 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: smoothsailing
Gallup still using Registered Voters. Notice that Obama is trending down, Romney is trending up.

Unfortunately Gallup and Rasmussen are 180 degrees out of phase. Ones UP, the other is DOWN. Go figure.

13 posted on 09/20/2012 11:34:10 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: smoothsailing
Gallup: Romney, Obama Tied at 47% Each in Presidential Poll

Oh yeah? Well I'll see your 47% and raise you 8%...

Romney: 55%
Obama: 47%

14 posted on 09/20/2012 11:41:10 AM PDT by Scooter100 ("Now that the fog has lifted, I still can't find my pipe". --- S. Holmes)
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To: smoothsailing

Hey guys, Intrade still has Obama at 70% for re-election. I really see a buying opportunity on Romney stock here, I think the polls are going to continue to tighten then we’re going to hopefully see a Romney blowout as the polls get more real with likely voters and less oversampling, jmo.


15 posted on 09/20/2012 11:43:01 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: smoothsailing

This poll still reflects the lamestream carrying the Marxist's water about that film causing the Muslim riots.
16 posted on 09/20/2012 11:49:10 AM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: ozzymandus

Yes, republican turnout from the 2010 midterms should be the “oversample” - not demacrat turnout from 2008.

Romney is up by at least 10% which is a true blowout (historically)


17 posted on 09/20/2012 11:54:21 AM PDT by atc23 (The Confederacy was the single greatest conservative resistance to federal authority ever.u)
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To: Sarah Barracuda
I like the trend line in this poll. It shows Romney moving up and Obama moving down over the last seven days. On Sept. 13th this same poll had Obama 50%, Romney 44%.

Like you say, this is RV's, so it's skewed to Obama.

In 1980, Gallup had Carter ahead of Reagan by 4 points in mid September and ahead by 8 points October 1st! As we know, Reagan won by 9 points and carried 44 states.


18 posted on 09/20/2012 12:13:41 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

I knew last week’s Gallop poll was total BS, especially after I heard how Axelrod threatened them. Another poll that I find interesting is how 55 percent of this country believe we are on the wrong track. So I am supposed to believe that 55 percent of Americans believe that this country is on the wrong track yet they will vote for Obama anyway? Its not possible, they think he sucks but will give him another shot at it LOL
It will come down to the debates(especially the 1st one) if Romney can kick Obama’s ass he will become President. He has to show why he would make a better leader, how he will make this country better. That is how Reagan won, everyone had Carter winning til that debate, then BAM total Reagan landslide. Even though the media will say that Obama won the debate it wont matter what they say, if Romney can resonate with the American people and give his plan to fix this economy he wins


19 posted on 09/20/2012 12:29:58 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Uncle Slayton

Obama is not pro America...


20 posted on 09/20/2012 12:34:45 PM PDT by VaRepublican (I would propagate taglines but I don't know how. But bloggers do.)
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To: Scooter100
Oh yeah? Well I'll see your 47% and raise you 8%...

Romney: 55%
Obama: 47%


May want to revise your numbers. That is 102%.
21 posted on 09/20/2012 12:48:46 PM PDT by PJBankard (I told my friends I was heading to Octermocty for the weekend. They replied... "Wear the fox hat")
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To: smoothsailing
LOL! I saw 47 days to go in the title and knew this is where I'd post this little e-mail a friend sent me. (Note, my friend is a conservative who was doing some research and got caught on bambis e-mail list)

From: "Ann Marie Habershaw, BarackObama.com"

Date: September 20, 2012 11:22:40 AM CDT

To:

Subject: I don't care if it's you, for the umpteenth time

Reply-To: info@barackobama.com

Friend --

I've got to be honest, I don't care who wins this last Dinner with Barack.

All I care about is who wins on November 6th.

Sure, this dinner will be a once-in-a-lifetime experience that you'll tell your grandkids about and all that jazz, but here's why I really think you should chip in $5 or whatever you can to be automatically entered:

You've played a valuable role in moving this campaign forward -- whether by standing with the President when it counted, or talking to people you know about why this election matters to you. Now you can help build this campaign just in time for the home stretch, when we're making critical win-or-lose budget decisions.

So there you have it. Enter this cool contest, and help President Obama win the much bigger one coming up in just 47 days:

https://donate.barackobama.com/47-Days

Ann Marie

Ann Marie Habershaw

Chief Operating Officer

Obama for America

P.S. -- To make the deal even sweeter, we're picking up the tab for your dinner, hotel, and airfare, so really -- why not?

22 posted on 09/20/2012 12:49:50 PM PDT by KittenClaws (You may have to fight a battle more than once in order to win it." - Margaret Thatcher)
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To: Sarah Barracuda
I am more conservative about the height of the bar Romney must scale in order to prevail in the debates. I believe that Romney need only avoid gaffes and look presidential to "win" the debates. There is nothing original in my view, this comes from the doctrine that the undecideds will break for the challenger if he passes their minimal test for presidential character as the threshold.

But, if Romney commits a single gaffe we know that it will be blown out of proportion and Romney will be the "loser". That is why it is so vital that he avoid gaffes. We have witnessed the power of the media to exaggerate gaffes and even to create one where none exists. Therefore, Romney must tiptoe through a minefield, many of the mines having been laid by the moderators of the debates, all of whom are leftists.

To combat this, our spinmeisters should be fully primed and armed with talking points before Romney even sets foot on the debating stage. Romney certainly has experience debating and is generally acquitted himself well with a minimum of gaffes. I would be a little bit less uncomfortable if I had not heard that Portman was quitting the campaign and quitting the role of impersonating Obama. Portman has been reported to be among the very best at this game and his loss might well be felt.

The problem is that Romney is going into this debate already cast as the loser who must "win" the debates or his election chances are doomed. That is just one more disservice rendered by these phony polls. It is unfortunate that the Romney campaign has not been able show more strength in this regard.

I am very concerned about the dichotomy between the Gallup and the Rasmussen polls. Rasmussen has been weakening in swing states, in Nevada, and, overall with leaners Obama is approaching the magic 50% mark. If Obama can fix himself at the 50% level it would be very bad news indeed.

It seems that nothing will shake Romney from the view that the election will be decided by independent and undecided voters and that an aggressive attack against Obama will be counterproductive by turning this cohort off. I have come more and more to reject this view even though I concede that is no doubt reinforced by the best polling data and focus group results that money can buy. But N. B. the recently released videotape concerning the "47%" reveals that Romney held this view very early in the campaign season and that raises the question whether he is misguided and prematurely formed rather than properly informed by the polling and focus group data which I referred to and which presumably daily reinforces his timidity.

If Romney is wrong and he loses the election while conducting it to the end as he has until now, the Republican Party will never look the same. It is amazing that cycle after cycle the argument remains the same between conservatives and rhinos, whether to energize the base or reach out to the mushy middle. I have always held the view that principled conservatism is attractive enough to draw in the middle-and that accepts the view, arguendo, that we are not in fact "the middle."


23 posted on 09/20/2012 1:07:37 PM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford

Seeking out fence-sitters will just give one slivers up their RINO.


24 posted on 09/20/2012 1:12:54 PM PDT by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: nathanbedford

Recent Rass polling shows Romney taking a lead in Iowa, NH and CO. That more then offsets the weaking in NV.

Today’s Rass polling shows a massive 1 day swing to 0 in both the President approval and the 2012 Presidential race. That would suggest this is not a new trend but one of those odd statistical blips that show up from time to time in daily polls.

We need to see 4-5 more days of data before assuming this is a Obama trend rather then statistical noise. It’s not good news but it is also not the disaster for Romney some in the O camp want to claim.


25 posted on 09/20/2012 1:19:05 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: econjack

“I still think this is going to be a rout.”

As Ed McMahon would say, “You are correct Sir!!!”.


26 posted on 09/20/2012 1:33:54 PM PDT by Puckster
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To: erod

“Hey guys, Intrade still has Obama at 70% for re-election. I really see a buying opportunity on Romney stock here”

Yeah, I think there’s some easy money to be made here.


27 posted on 09/20/2012 7:23:52 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: PJBankard

Duh.


28 posted on 09/21/2012 7:31:45 AM PDT by Scooter100 ("Now that the fog has lifted, I still can't find my pipe". --- S. Holmes)
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