Skip to comments.Election 2012: Iowa President: Romney 47% Obama 44%
Posted on 09/20/2012 11:20:44 AM PDT by nhwingut
Mitt Romney remains slightly ahead in the swing state of Iowa.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters shows Romney with 47% support to President Obamas 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This does NOT jive with his daily poll showing Ozero ahead today.
According to Ras Romeny is down 2 nationally but up 2 in Iowa.
Makes no sense unless this poll was taken a few day ago and national poll is upto date.
Shepard Smith would say Blah that’s in the Margins of error LOL
Swing states are what matters. Hussein can have the leftist poll bumps from NY, MA, MD and CA.
You could easily be up in swing states and down nationally.
We needed some good news today. I guess this is it.
Sure, it could make sense... Obama’s support from Democrat moochers angry at the 47% remark may have spiked in places like CA, NY or PA.
Oops. Another Obama state falls to Red.
But to successfully predict the outcome, a poll has to include all the illegal voters too...
Oh yeah? Well I'll see your 44% and raise you 8%...
Remember, Iowa is 98% white. It makes perfect sense to me in this particular election.
It may have something to do with undecideds. There may be more undecideds nationally than in certain individual states. Also, when you’re polling daily, if it is different individuals, then there could be a fluctuation of a few points day to day. Just guessing. I still don’t think, or maybe it’s wishful thinking on my part, that Obama will get more than 48% nationwide when all is said and done. Personally, I hope it’s less than that. My hands are shaking as I type just thinking of the election. I am so nervous it’s affecting my health. I wish it was Thanksgiving. Even Halloween isn’t going to be much fun this year.
The reality is there is never a significant disparity between national numbers and what you would expect in swing states on election day.
Ras’s national poll is a 3- day rolling vg. This is a one-sample poll.
With Iowa, Colorado, Wisconsin and New Hampshire red, the path to 270 becomes much easier for RR.
It was taken yesterday:
“The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Iowa was conducted on September 19, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. “
I’m completely befuddled by these contradictions, but will take any shred of good news available.
Any rise by Leftist in CA or NY is matched by conservatives inbetween CA and NY.
The fact is on election day there are not these significant variations.
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