Posted on 09/22/2012 10:19:14 AM PDT by abb
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 48% and Romney 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.
While we all are freaking about this election, the fact that Obama is at 46% just 40 days out is a great sign. Romney has to make his case, and at the same time pin our lackluster economy on Obama, and tie his policies to the fact that we are heading in the wrong direction.
If I were to look at this fall campaign in an optimistic light, I watch these campaigns and see Romney’s campaign running with a fair level of comfort in their current position, and I see the left jumping out of their skin over every little thing. I hope that means we have a 30 day plan to put this guy away. The fact that we see Obama settle back down to 46% tells me the Romney group is in fact still seeing the numbers they want for Obama, and know they can close the deal in the final month.
I did a search using “rasmussen” in keywords and title, but no response. Oh well, that’s the breaks.
Obama’s toast. Start packing your bags Mr. Empty Chair...
Fiuve percent of the voters or about 5 million people STILL don’t know if they have had enough of Obastard or not.
Can someone explain to me how the national tracking polls are so close, yet Mittens is still losing in most of the vital swing states?
Who cares if the national polls are a dead heat if Mitty can’t win Ohio and Florida and Virginia?
Every electoral map I’ve seen shows Prince Hussein (swine vomit be upon him) at around 230-240 and Mitty at 180-190, and the math being that Mitty will have to pick up almost every swing state to win.
Maybe the state polls are lagging the national ones, but if that’s the case then the electoral maps should start showing better for Mitty, and so far I haven’t seen it.
The "prefer another candidate" category amuses me. Who? Gary Johnson? Virgil Goode? They will not be able to combine for more than 0.4% of the vote. It's only between Romney and Obama and on Nov 6, all these undecideds are going to have to land somewhere and by an overwhelming margin, it will not be Obama.
A 58-42% victory by Romney is not out of the question and it could be larger. If Romney blows away Obama at the upcoming debates and launches a massive media blitz like Reagan did in October 1980, we could be looking at a 74-26% victory here. Now that's a real long shot but within the realm of possibility.
For some reason, the 74.42% number sticks in my head. Would be nice if that was the percentage of votes that Romney/Ryan get.
Saying who you will vote for and actually going out and voting are 2 completely different animals.
Swings states always lag behind.
For example, when Obama got his big bounce following DNC and was up 5 in Ras, and 7 in Gallup, the swing states still showed the race tied. (So the question then was: How is leading so much in the national polls but tied in swing states?).
Now that the bounce is gone and the national polls are tied, the swing states are still incorporating the bounce factor.The larger sample in a particular state has not yet flushed out the bounce. Just the way it’s always worked, historically.
Saw a great Romney ad here in Dayton the other night.
They know. This late, if they aren’t committed to him, I think it’s a “let’s try the other gut.”
“If Romney blows away Obama at the upcoming debates and launches a massive media blitz like Reagan did in October 1980, we could be looking at a 74-26% victory here. Now that’s a real long shot but within the realm of possibility.”
Please come back to reality! :)
Bush had an Eisenhower-style landslide over Dukakis and won 40 states, and he still only won 54-46. I think that’s the biggest victory you can expect here, and even that is too optimistic in my view.
Generally, Obama does better on weekend polls. I guess more Republicans are out shopping because they work during the week, or are otherwise working on weekends.
The fact that the Obamanation is now just EQUAL to Romney AND he is an incumbent, doesn’t look good for the Obamantion as an incumbent.
I think Romney will pull this off if he best Obama in the debates - he will have to deal with hostile debate moderators thinks to the stupidity of the GOP.
http://www.ourcommunistcommanderinchief.com/
Because they are cooking the state polls too. Polls that don’t use the 2008 turnout models show Romney ahead in FL, VA, NC, OH and CO, which is enough to win.
Start packing your bags Mr.Empty Chair.
yeah, and your empty chair, and your prayer rug, and your collection of Karl Marx and Saul Alinsky, and the fatassed whats her face.
Don’t worry about all the people who will suffer because of your incompetent fantastical ego.
Aloha,you do not deserve to live in Hawaii punk ass.
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