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Why Obama is winning(No panic please, It's the ComPost)
WA ComPost ^ | 9-22-12 | Greg Sargent

Posted on 09/22/2012 6:58:00 PM PDT by red in brea

A new National Journal/Heartland Monitor Poll out this morning finds Obama leading Mitt Romney nationally by 50-43 among likely voters. The poll probes voter attitudes towards the economy in a very interesting way that really explains why Obama may be winning re-election.

The key takeaway is the poll’s confirmation that Romney’s theory of the race — which is built on the “are you better off” question — seems to be flawed, as I’ve repeated far too often. Ron Brownstein explains:

The survey also shows why it may be difficult for Republicans to center the election on the famous Ronald Reagan question to voters that the party highlighted at its national convention last month: Are you better off than you were four years ago? That question divides likely voters almost exactly in thirds: in the poll, 31 percent say they are better off than four years ago, while 34 percent say they are worse off and 34 percent say they are about the same. Romney, predictably, wins more than four-fifths of voters who say they are worse off; the president, equally unsurprisingly, attracts almost nine in 10 of those who consider themselves better off.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election2012; obama; romney

1 posted on 09/22/2012 6:58:05 PM PDT by red in brea
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To: red in brea

Well Hell I dont know what to believe anymore but freepers sure like to post how we arent winning threads!!! Doesnt even seem Romneys running for anything lately. Hadnt seen an ad anywhere. Just saw 4 Obama ads on ESPN. Why wont Romney put ads on Bravo or E or History or Disney or Lifetime, WTH is he doing?


2 posted on 09/22/2012 7:06:29 PM PDT by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: red in brea



3 posted on 09/22/2012 7:09:48 PM PDT by tomkat (it's time)
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To: red in brea
The question should be, “is the country better off”?

Gas Prices double
Debt increased $6 trillion
Wages decreased by 10%
Unemployment increased from 7.6% to now 8.1%, 3 years later.

4 posted on 09/22/2012 7:09:51 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: GoCards

Probably because the voters he wants to reach aren’t watching those networks. ESPN, for example, is watched mostly by males. White males ain’t voting for Obama, and black males won’t vote for Romney. So it’s a waste of Romney’s money.

And by the way, Romney is tied in Rasmussen and Gallup. His numbers have RISEN since his “47%” comment came out.


5 posted on 09/22/2012 7:10:24 PM PDT by Jaguarmike
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To: GoCards

Same here in central Ohio, very little from Romney, no campaigning, very few ads. I don’t get it either. I would like to believe that all these polls are nonsense and skewed in Obamas favor but it isn’t just a few, it’s all of them.


6 posted on 09/22/2012 7:15:30 PM PDT by Toespi
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To: red in brea

Romney win will be a landslide. Surprising to see those think the opposite.


7 posted on 09/22/2012 7:15:49 PM PDT by Orange1998
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To: Jaguarmike

I am in Michigan, during Friday football highlights I saw many Romney Ads run by PACs. I tape all locals channels as my son plays and they ran 4 times on every station. NO OBAMA ADS.


8 posted on 09/22/2012 7:16:49 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: Toespi

Guys never listen to what they say watch where they are going. Why is Obama in Wisconsin? Because the poll they have in that state showing him ahead andvThompson behind over samples Dems and he knows he’s behind.


9 posted on 09/22/2012 7:19:39 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: red in brea

Greg Sargent is such a committed movement leftist that even while Obama is being dragged out of the White House and sent back to Chicago or Honolulu or Nairobi by his Secret Service detail on January 20, 2013 kicking and spitting and screaming over the unfairness of it all, Sargent will still be publishing articles under his by-line claiming that Obama still has an insurmountable lead.


10 posted on 09/22/2012 7:19:52 PM PDT by Zeppo ("Happy Pony is on - and I'm NOT missing Happy Pony")
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To: red in brea
Natl Journal is a Axelrod front group packed full of Axelrod groupies like Major Garrett and the Ron Founier !

GOP Pollster McGaughlin warned that Axelrod has all his Obama media pals cooking up phony slanted polls in order to impact early voting !

The Obama media has been given orders to suppress Early GOP voting using slanted polls !!!

11 posted on 09/22/2012 7:20:06 PM PDT by ncalburt (NO MORE WIMPS need to apply to fight the Soros Funded Puppet !H)
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To: crosslink

i’m glad to hear this as I watched the Central Michigan-Iowa game on the Big Ten network today and saw four obozo commercials yet no Romney ad...


12 posted on 09/22/2012 7:20:21 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: crosslink

So you are telling me that the reason Romney is absent in Ohio is because he has a lock on it?


13 posted on 09/22/2012 7:23:31 PM PDT by Toespi
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To: God luvs America

Where are you as big ten can run ads in local cable markets. Romney is winning white males by 74% per Ras so no need for him to use that outlet. If you are in urban area he may be after the ethnic audience.


14 posted on 09/22/2012 7:24:01 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: Toespi

No, I am just saying its not over, Romney has access to many polls based on proper turnout models. He will advertise and do it hard trust me.


15 posted on 09/22/2012 7:26:53 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: red in brea
Why Obama is winning?

Because commited leftists are creating a meme that Obama is winning, then other committed leftists report on the report that Obama is winning, then other committed leftists editorialize on the report that Obama is winning.

Really as simple as that.

16 posted on 09/22/2012 7:27:39 PM PDT by Lazamataz (RAGE MONKEY RULEZ!!!)
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To: red in brea

Listening to Greg Sargent is the same as listening to michelle obama. Nothing worthwhile coming out of that face


17 posted on 09/22/2012 7:31:00 PM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: crosslink

This is a chess game....remember the coordinated hits on Gingrich and Santorum.....its coming for Obama. In the mean time the race is tied with Dems over sampled 3-10 %


18 posted on 09/22/2012 7:32:22 PM PDT by The Klingon
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To: Jaguarmike
The way the Independents are splitting, 57% Romney, 43% Obama, there is no way Romney loses.

100% Rats will vote for Obama and 100% Republicans will vote for Romney. There is about the same Registered Republicans as Rats.

The Lame Stream Media is lying and they know it.

I think the Indy's may tighten a little to Obama by 4% but that still leaves Indy's split 53% Romney, 47% Obama and that's how the election will end.

19 posted on 09/22/2012 7:33:07 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: crosslink

i’m in NY and receive Big Ten network via DirectTV...


20 posted on 09/22/2012 7:35:01 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: red in brea

http://unskewedpolls.com/qstarnewsquickpoll.cfm


21 posted on 09/22/2012 7:35:29 PM PDT by mo (If you understand, no explanation is needed. If you don't understand, no explanation is possible.)
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To: Toespi
Romney plans Ohio bus tour, to stop in Dayton
22 posted on 09/22/2012 7:35:29 PM PDT by Miss Didi ("After all...tomorrow is another day." Scarlett O'Hara, Gone with the Wind)
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To: God luvs America

Ok that means they only ran in your area, I watched here in Mi not one ad for OBAMA.


23 posted on 09/22/2012 7:40:43 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: Toespi

Www.unskewedpolls.com


24 posted on 09/22/2012 7:41:26 PM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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To: tobyhill

The idea was to go all out and get everything in the country going to hell in a handbasket, get things SO ridiculous, yet tell us to ignore OUR LYING EYES. After all, Obama’s SO very magical and SMART; and, after all, it just couldn’t be Obama’s fault because of his very magicalness and smartness - and it’s all GOOD and Nirvana is just around the corner, and it just has to be BUSH’S FAULT! \S


25 posted on 09/22/2012 7:43:51 PM PDT by Twinkie (Barack Hussein Obama - An American Tragedy.)
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To: crosslink

i pray you are correct...


26 posted on 09/22/2012 7:48:29 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: red in brea; ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; stephenjohnbanker; DoughtyOne; Gilbo_3; NFHale; Impy; ...
There is a link in the article to this:

But if Obama wins, the GOP would have no leverage — political or procedural — to force him to abandon his pledge to raise taxes on family income over $250,000, according to senior Republicans in the House and the Senate.
So they are beginning to contemplate a compromise that would let taxes go up in exchange for Democratic concessions on GOP priorities.
At the very least, that would mean protecting the Pentagon from the budget ax, which is set to whack $55 billion out of national security accounts next year. But it could also mean major changes to Medicare, which many Republicans said could quickly become the new front in the partisan battle over the budget.

GOP retreat on taxes likely if Obama wins(September 20 )

This would be a rather ironic result of the (Republican House passed) Budget Control Act that put these defense cuts into law . An even bigger irony: Putting Romney as the nominee may end up convincing voters that higher taxes on the rich are good. Was that their intention?

27 posted on 09/22/2012 8:00:40 PM PDT by sickoflibs (Romney is still a liberal. Just watch him. (Obama-ney Care ))
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To: God luvs America

Just watched two more PAC ads for Romney during local news here in Michigan. I am pumped.


28 posted on 09/22/2012 8:18:20 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: tobyhill

My hope is that the Lame Stream Media pays a heavy price for being waterboys for Obama in this election.


29 posted on 09/22/2012 8:25:48 PM PDT by Jaguarmike
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To: Twinkie

“and it just has to be BUSH’S FAULT! \S”

Amazing how many nitwits still believe that- I saw a minivan with an Obama 2012 sticker, plus a sticker showing Bush with the caption “I really screwed you, but thanks for blaming it on the black guy”. Oy vay......


30 posted on 09/22/2012 8:26:05 PM PDT by Frank_2001
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To: crosslink

good to hear...


31 posted on 09/22/2012 8:29:33 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: GoCards

Romneys got Texas in his back pocket. Why run ads there? Like here in MT. Romney owns it and theres not enough electorals for OdumbO to care. We see no ads.


32 posted on 09/22/2012 10:22:26 PM PDT by liberty or death
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To: GoCards

I think it depends on where you live.... there are plenty of ad buys in Pa and Oh and Wisc and much probably Colorado and Florida as well as Virginia...


33 posted on 09/22/2012 10:54:54 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: GoCards

What you see as far as ads will depend on where you live. If you reside in a heavily Republican State you will see little from the Romney Campaign because the expenditure of resources is not warranted. Spending is targeted to areas in which it is needed and will do the most good for the candidate.

That said I believe the major ads campaign has yet to start and will begin during the 1st week in October.


34 posted on 09/23/2012 2:04:08 AM PDT by Lacey2
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To: Jaguarmike

They are paying a price and it’s a big one. Go to the Gallup site and take a look at a recent poll on “Trust in the Media” which shows mistrust sky rocketing and at a historical high.


35 posted on 09/23/2012 2:12:03 AM PDT by Lacey2
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To: GoCards

Watching the polls is like watching the stock market - it keeps you on the edge of your seat and takes turns elating and discouraging you, but serves no real purpose until we get about 2 weeks out. Pre-debate polls are particularly useless...


36 posted on 09/23/2012 4:20:25 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: red in brea

>> Why is Obama Winning

Because the Leftwing Media is selling him as a winning candidate.

Do not patronize the Leftwing Media!


37 posted on 09/23/2012 4:30:09 AM PDT by Gene Eric (Demoralization is a weapon of the enemy. Don't get it, don't spread it!)
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