Skip to comments.Barack Obama, Mitt Romney essentially tied in Florida, new Times/Herald/Bay News 9 poll shows
Posted on 09/22/2012 10:21:14 PM PDT by WilliamIII
It's Florida, after all, so what would you expect?
After a constant stream of Sunshine State visits by President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney, after many millions spent on TV ads, and even after a Republican National Convention in Tampa, Obama and Romney are essentially tied in America's ultimate battleground state.
A new Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll finds 48 percent of likely Florida voters backing Obama, 47 percent supporting Romney, 1 percent with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and just 4 percent undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...
Mitt’s fate = Florida. With a side dish of Ohio, but he almost cannot win without FL.
I can’t find any internals listed for this poll. If they used a model of more than +2 democrat, the poll is bogus.
Are people in Florida nuts?
Does a bear poop in the woods?
Is the Pope Catholic?
Is Obama a Muslim?
But Romney has basically pulled even with Obama over managing Medicare, a traditional Democratic strength.
Obama is winning the Hispanic vote. But Democrats fret his margin might not be enough to counterbalance the white voters who favor Romney by double digits.
Each candidate has strong support from his respective party, although Romney has slightly more Republican backing compared to the percentage of Democrats favoring Obama.
The relatively stronger internal party support could prove pivotal for Romney. If the same proportion of Republicans, Democrats and independents cast ballots in 2012 compared to 2008 a high watermark for Democrats Romney could have the edge on Election Day, the poll indicates.
Non-Hispanic white voters also back Romney by a 15-point margin, the poll suggests. Thats significant in a state where they account for two-thirds of the registered voters and tend to cast ballots in disproportionately higher numbers than, say, Hispanic voters, who comprise 14 percent of the active voter rolls.
even with 2008 turnout levels, Romney would probably still win?
How is this a tie then? Ain’t no way Obama gets 2008 levels, then no way he’ll win Florida, right?
Are you talking real or made up voters in Miami-Dade?
Mitt’s ahead in Florida by three or four points. Obama’s campaign flack just told everyone to ignore the polls (? the media shills have been printing cooked poll results 24-7!), that Obama is winning. That’s a smokin’ gun, right there. Thanks WilliamIII.
Obama has told them he needs the bandwagon effect
No internals? Straight-up lie.
Florida is going GOP.
I agree. Interesting data on this poll at the link. It say’s it’s tied but looks like Romney is in a better position to win it.
Obamas lead among Hispanic voters is smaller in Florida than in other Hispanic-heavy battleground states because of the presence of Cuban-Americans. They tend to vote Republican and account for about 70 percent of the registered Republicans in Miami-Dade, the states largest county.
“Florida is going GOP.”
Yep! Goodbye Kenyan!
The one percent with Gary Johnson need to examine their consciences carefully.
Quick. Send out the demagogues.
You could eliminate 90% of the nuts if you chopped off SE Florida and the Tampa Bay/Clearwater/St.Pete areas. Hell, most of them vote twice. Here and in the NE.
From your lips to God’s ears.
Every Cook County Democrat I know retires to Florida, especially the ones with government pensions. So you have a solid block of nursing seniors in Florida and they have teeth. It’s going to be painful.