Posted on 09/22/2012 10:21:14 PM PDT by WilliamIII
It's Florida, after all, so what would you expect?
After a constant stream of Sunshine State visits by President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney, after many millions spent on TV ads, and even after a Republican National Convention in Tampa, Obama and Romney are essentially tied in America's ultimate battleground state.
A new Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll finds 48 percent of likely Florida voters backing Obama, 47 percent supporting Romney, 1 percent with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and just 4 percent undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...
After a week of the constant MSM of jumping on Romney for the 47 % comments and the constant 2 weeks of the MSM jumping on Romney for his comments on Libya.......and they are tied up??
Throw in the oversampled Dem polls and the MSM trumpeting that Obama has this in the bag means only one thing:
Romney is leading in the polls and the chair is sinking into oblivion.
Leni
(Florida)
I think so too Leni.
Between Obama screwing up his presidency and Florida taking a hard right turn over the last several years I don't see how Maobama can pull it out.
Also, there is literally NO demographic (old, young, black, white, rich, poor, soccer moms whoever) that will show up in anything like the numbers they did in '08, while a lot more from our side will.
Either Romney is not clicking in FL despite his primary victory there, or tens of thousands of more northern liberals have moved into the state since McPain was on the ballot, bringing their liberalism with them. Yet the northern states remain liberal even as liberals leave there for FL and other points south.
Those soccer moms that you mention have to be at the top of the “clueless” list.
If the 4% of undecided *likely* voters split 3:1 to the challenger, which is not so far fetched based on past elections, Romney takes FL. Even if some of them are still undecided come election day and stay home, Romney will still get the majority of those who do vote.
Look at my post on florida registration. By numbers alone. Dems will not show up like 2008.
Right. Mitt can’t win without two out of these three: FL, VA and OH.
PARTY REGISTRATION:
Democrat 354 (44%)
Republican 308 (39%)
Independent or Other 138 (17%)
(Dem +5)
As everyone knows, Romney needs to improve his messaging. He needs to first debunk Obama’s successful messaging:
1. Republican ideals DID NOT get us here. It was toxic home loans - thanks to Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, and 9-11.
2. It doesnt take 4 years to turn around the effects of a recession if the correct policies are in place. Kennedy, Reagan, and Clinton (really Newt) all showed us how.
3. Communicate what we knows works.
A good resource for clear messaging I have found on realitybatslast web page.
General observation: I’m in the Bay area, and during the GOP primary, there was a lot of visible support for Paul. Now, I’m noticing a lot of signs, bumperstickers, even the big signs that go on top of cars, for the Libertarian Gary Johnson. In a close race..it could make the differenc, just as Nader cost Gore the election in 2008.
MSM dream.
Independents are fleeing Obama and will vote in higher proportions than ‘08 AGAINST Obama. GOP turnout should also eclipse ‘08 levels.
Johnsons vote will be eqauled by the other nuts vote from the green party
eqauled=equaled
How can this poll justify oversampling Dems by 5%?
Ross Perot gave us Clinton. We have to stay together. Romney is our ONLY chance
Because Democrats in Florida have a 5 point advantage in registered voters:
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/nvra/affiliation.asp
“Are people in Florida nuts?
Does a bear poop in the woods?
Is the Pope Catholic?
Is Obama a Muslim?”
Gosh, you’re four for four this morning!
The poll numbers out of FL are not encouraging. The state seems to be going the same way as Virginia — that is to say, Obama is inching closer to the 50% mark, with Romney close behind, but still, behind. Without Florida, Romney will not win.
Remember these comments from not so long ago...?
“The dog catcher could beat Obama!”
“The DOG could beat Obama!”
“A ham sandwich could beat Obama!”
What the heck happened?
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