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Ohio poll: Obama leads by 5 percentage points (O 51% R 46%;Breakdown - D 48% R 42% I 10% )
CantonRep ^ | Sept 23, 2012 | Tim Botos

Posted on 09/23/2012 5:18:04 PM PDT by Red Steel

Mitt Romney keeps telling Ohioans they are worse off than four years ago — but a majority of you are not buying it.

Six weeks before Election Day, President Barack Obama holds a 51 to 46 percent lead in the state over his Republican challenger, according to the most recent Ohio Newspaper Poll of likely voters.

The poll, taken between Sept. 13 and Tuesday and jointly paid for by the eight largest circulating newspapers in Ohio, including The Repository, was conducted by the Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati.

The results are similar to those found in the latest national polls. Experts say the numbers are probably a symptom of the battering the Romney campaign has endured in the past several weeks.

“It’s kind of snowballing,” explained Dan Birdsong, a professor of American politics at the University of Dayton.

Romney has absorbed word of internal friction within the campaign; questions about his foreign policy following comments in the wake of violence in Egypt and Libya; and the ‘47 percent’ video.

Clearly, pollsters say, the economy is a huge issue for voters. Dissecting poll results, Romney leads in three subgroups — age 65 and older, males and whites. Obama boasts giant margins among those ages 18 to 29, women, blacks and voters with only a high school diploma or less.

LOCAL SUPPORT

Both campaigns plan to bounce through Ohio this week, trying to gain a stranglehold on the state’s 18 electoral votes.

Romney and running mate Paul Ryan embark on a five-city, three-day bus tour, beginning on Monday. The trip includes a stop in Cleveland on Wednesday — on the same day that Obama visits Kent.

Such campaign swings typically help solidify the faithful.

People such as William Disman of Alliance, who voted for Obama in 2008. Disman said the president deserves four more years. The 66-year-old retiree said Obama has been hamstrung by partisan politics in Washington D.C.

“If he can get a Democratic congress, he’d be able to get a lot more done,” Disman said .

Lisa Atkins of Louisville, a divorced former stay-at-home mom who just entered the workforce, isn’t about to leave the Romney camp. In fact, she’d vote for anyone but Obama. She said she relates to Romney on moral issues.

“His (respect for) Christian values is one of the biggest things; this country was founded on God,” she said.

Both campaigns likely will ramp up efforts to influence independent voters, as well. According to the poll, these kind of voters appear less interested in the race and less likely to turn out for the Nov. 6 election. Next

OPTIMISTIC OHIOANS

Romney has vowed to approve the Keystone Pipeline, slice government bureaucracy, replace the Affordable Care Act health care law, introduce tax cuts and cut the spending deficit. His message to voters across the nation has been: The U.S. is worse off than when Obama took office.

That stance isn’t resonating in Ohio, though, according to the poll. It revealed 41 percent of Ohioans believe they are about the same as in 2008, and 23 percent feel they are better off than four years ago.

“That is a bad strategy in Ohio,” explained William Cunion, a University of Mount Union political science professor.

At the same time Romney laments economic conditions in Ohio, voters are peppered with signs of a turnaround. The state’s unemployment rate of 7.2 percent is a full point below the national average, and Gov. John Kasich recently touted the creation of 122,000 jobs within the state.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; obamaisreallytoast; oh2012; poll; poll2012; romneytoast; toast
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The Party breakdown can be found here, which was conducted by the Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati.


Never trust a poll done by a University or College as they seethe with liberal bias.

1 posted on 09/23/2012 5:18:07 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Sorry, I looked all over that chart and didn’t see party breakdown. I saw 861 voters.


2 posted on 09/23/2012 5:22:57 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Red Steel

They’ll wake up.


3 posted on 09/23/2012 5:23:34 PM PDT by TribalPrincess2U (0bama's agenda¬óDivide and conquer. FREEDOM OR FREE STUFF- YOU GET ONE CHOICE, CHOOSE WISELY)
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To: Red Steel

Only STUPID people will vote for Obama.


4 posted on 09/23/2012 5:23:50 PM PDT by Ann Archy ( ABORTION...the HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: LS

Party breakdown here
http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2012/09/president_barack_obama_leads_m.html

scroll to bottom.


5 posted on 09/23/2012 5:24:05 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: Red Steel

Only 10% of Ohio voters are independent ???


6 posted on 09/23/2012 5:25:02 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: Red Steel

What total crocks these polls are! Does ANYONE have the slightest idea how the people who make this Country work feel about Obama? They are so tired of him and his bloviating BS drivel they could puke when they hear his voice! Factor THAT into your cockamamie poll!


7 posted on 09/23/2012 5:27:41 PM PDT by Tucker39
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To: Red Steel

This is bad news if accurate. Without OH, Romney loses as would have Bush to Kerry if Bush lost OH.

RNC needs to flood the airwaves with Obama’s statements from 2008 and 2012 and the delegates at the DNC booing God. What is the RNC doing? Sack RNC Chair Reince Priebus. With this kind of record, Obama should be 5 points behind.


8 posted on 09/23/2012 5:27:44 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: LS

Check the left column that is about 1/3rd the way down the webpage where the heading says “The Ohio Newspaper Organization Poll”. The link to it is at post number 1.


9 posted on 09/23/2012 5:27:58 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: libh8er
Only 10% of Ohio voters are independent ???

That is what the U of Cincy said.

10 posted on 09/23/2012 5:30:30 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: libh8er
48 percent said they were Democrats, 42 percent Republicans and 10 percent independent.

So then Obama leads by 5, and they oversampled Democrats by 6%. That means Romney really leads by 1%.
11 posted on 09/23/2012 5:31:05 PM PDT by yorkiemom (Yorkie Moms 4 Ryan ; Ryan + Romney = Recovery)
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To: libh8er

Pardon me, but according to the article, the poll was done by U. of Cincinnati. Why then would you present something out of CLEVELAND to explain the breakdown of the poll? Just trying to minimize my brain cramps!


12 posted on 09/23/2012 5:32:24 PM PDT by Tucker39
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To: libh8er; All

but who won the Independents? Romney or obozo?? and what was the spread?? Can’t seem to find it anywhere....


13 posted on 09/23/2012 5:35:22 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Red Steel

Early voting has already started in Ohio. Such polls are meant to influence the voting.


14 posted on 09/23/2012 5:35:32 PM PDT by kabar
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To: Red Steel

“Mitt Romney keeps telling Ohioans they are worse off than four years ago — but a majority of you are not buying it.”

The loaded polls say a majority are not buying it.


15 posted on 09/23/2012 5:38:17 PM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: Red Steel
Both campaigns likely will ramp up efforts to influence independent voters, as well. According to the poll, these kind of voters appear less interested in the race and less likely to turn out for the Nov. 6 election.

The Obamugabe worship continues.

For decades, the media has been obsessed with independents...now that they're turning to Romney in droves, they're labeled as "disinterested" or unimportant.

At one point in the summer, it appeared in a few polls that independents were turning to Obamugabe...suddenly I saw some attention in the media being paid to independents....now that that trend is over, they're back to a low number in the poll samples.

16 posted on 09/23/2012 5:39:17 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: kabar

well lets hope this has a reverse effect and influences the people on our side to get off their butts as i don’t believe this for a second:

“In recent presidential elections there have been times when both Democrats and Republicans stayed home in large numbers,” Rademacher said. “More Democrats than Republicans are expressing a likelihood of voting at this point in time, but it would not be unheard of for this to move around considerably between now and Election Day.”


17 posted on 09/23/2012 5:39:30 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Red Steel
That stance isn’t resonating in Ohio, though, according to the poll. It revealed 41 percent of Ohioans believe they are about the same as in 2008, and 23 percent feel they are better off than four years ago.

Wouldn't this leave 36 percent thinking things are worse?
18 posted on 09/23/2012 5:39:32 PM PDT by jps098
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To: Red Steel
"Mitt Romney keeps telling Ohioans they are worse off than four years ago — but a majority of you are not buying it."

Ohio's U6 unemployment was 11.4% in 2008 and it's 14.4% today. I'm not buying this poll.

19 posted on 09/23/2012 5:39:36 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: kabar

Romney up 7.8% according to unskewedpolls.com. This is why Tokyo Rose Media (TRM) is spinning so hard. Obama is in fact losing!


20 posted on 09/23/2012 5:40:05 PM PDT by GilGil
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