Skip to comments.Republican poll analysis: Romney winning with middle-class families
Posted on 09/24/2012 7:38:10 AM PDT by rawhide
Overall, Obama leads Romney by just 3 points on the ballot (50 percent to 47 percent)which before we rounded up, is actually a 2.6 point lead and only up a half-a-percentage point from the 2.1 point lead for Obama in our last Battleground poll in early August.
In our latest POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll with middle-class families,which comprise about 54 percent of the total American electorate and usually split in their vote behavior between Republicans and Democrats, Romney holds a 14-point advantage (55 percent to 41 percent). Middle-class families are more inclined to believe the country is on the wrong track (34 percent right direction, 62 percent wrong track), are more likely to hold an unfavorable view of Obama (48 percent favorable, 51 percent unfavorable), and hold a more favorable view of Romney (51 percent favorable, 44 percent unfavorable) and Paul Ryan (46 percent favorable, 35 percent unfavorable) than the overall electorate. These middle-class families also hold a majority disapproval rating on the job Obama is doing as president (45 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove), and turn even more negative toward Obama on specific areas; the economy 56 percent disapprove; spending 61 percent disapprove; taxes, 53 percent disapprove; Medicare 48 percent disapprove; and even foreign policy 50 percent disapprove.
Presidential reelection races are almost always about the incumbent and whether or not they should be given an additional four years in office. This race looks to be no different. More important, in this latest set of data in the POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll, is the fact that Romney is also winning by a strong 14-point margin over Obama with middle-class families, a group of voters that is not only a majority of the American electorate, but is usually seen as the ultimate target group in any presidential election.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
So Obama went from a 2.1 (in Aug) to a 2.6 (in Sep) - after the DNC, 47%, etc... and Politico sirens: “Obama pulls ahead of Romney.” LOL!
Soviet style psychiatry.
If this holds...
It’s all over but for the crying, screaming and sadly, rioting.
Buried within: “Romney getting 40% of Hispanic male vote.”
His biggest negative is his McCain like demeanor towards Obama. Either he (Romney) believes he can manage America’s decline better, or Obama is one of America’s greatest enemies and he’s gong to end Obama’s destructive course... If Romney is a believer in America, he’d better show some anger over what Obama is doing.
After ALL that 0bama has accomplished?
That's gratitude for ya'! /ms
I sure can’t figure where they’re getting anywhere near 50% of people to say they favor Obama. All due to oversampling and rigging of these worthless polls, IMHO.
What are the percentalges of Republican/ Democrat/ Independent used in the sampling?
That’s my read on it. Anyone who is married, who has kids, and who actually works for a living is near panic stricken that the boat’s goin’ down if Barry gets four more years.
Also slowly simmering anger over the exploding number of welfare single moms they’re paying for.
Republican poll analysis: Romney winning with middle-class families
That's why Obama is trying to kill off middle-America.
Don’t get your hopes up about this UN speech. The MSM will fictitiously cover it and declare him our Greatest Leader. The Usurper knows quite well that his speeches in these types of settings work to his advantage when put through the media filter.
On the York, PA morning show, the host here had Curt Smith (baseball writer and speech writer for GHWB) on and was asking him about what he thought about both candidates.
He basically called Obama the devil and was very critical of the Romney campaign for their approach. He basically alluded to the fact that Romney doesn’t have the fire in the belly to get this done.
I think his analysis is spot on and if Romney doesn’t come out swinging...and soon...he very well could blow this thing.
Tell all your knucklehead Democrat friends it is looking like a HUGE blowout for Obama. NO NEED to wait in line to vote. “Your vote is not even needed.”
I will confess to wanting something too much. I want to watch MSNBC on election night as the worst Democrat President EVER goes down.
Take time to check out the comments on the article. Dems are freaking out! BTW, this article brought to you by the very left leaning Politico.
“I want to watch MSNBC on election night”
You must have an iron constitution to be able to stomach the libs for that long.
“His biggest negative is his McCain like demeanor towards Obama... “
...well said. Especially, “If Romney is a believer in America, hed better show some anger over what Obama is doing.” It’s worth repeating.
There is not an ounce of credible data in this propaganda piece disguised as a poll. It is no more believable than the nonsense the other side puts out.
The bottom line is that 0 is ahead, and if the election were held today, he would win, albeit by a smaller margin than 2008.
It does not mean all is lost. We still have time to turn this around. But make no mistake about it - Romney/Ryan are behind in the polls - everything, including their demeanour and their responses validate the recent spate of polls.
Lets hope they can still pull it off.
I think you nailed it. As a fellow “Yorkian,” I am finding that people are dying for a reason to vote for Romney — and he simply refuses to give them one.
IMHO, he needs to take off the kid gloves and — accurately — portray Obama as a willful dilettante unable to learn and unwilling to change. The gas prices alone up here are devastating enough to show up Obama for the incompetent he is. Yet, I have yet to see one ad zeroing in on them.
Romney is clearly buying into the Washington insider “Say Nothing Nasty About Obama” dictum. And it will cost him the election. Obama is not a nice guy who is simply making a few mistakes. He is a willful, wrongheaded miscreant who is deliberately destroying everything upon which our nation was built. Might help if Mitt’s team got that straight.
Bottom Line: this election is between the Makers and the Takers. The Producers and the Welfare Vulture Culture. And it’s time to make that crystal clear.
Yea right. We all know how hard the media works to encourage Repubs.
This is not “the media” - this is just two Republican pollsters spinning a tale. It was simply carried by Politico as a courtesy - they will print anything by the two camps.
40% R 16% I 44% D if you do the math.
Pulling some guesses about the data, and weighting it
44R 16I 40R gives 50 - 47% the other way.
Using a cautious approach (32/32/36I):
R 49.48, O 49.08
33R/32D/35I becomes R 50% O 49%
In other words, this poll is horrible news for OZero as there will not be a 4% overall turnout advantage for him.
I’d like to think that Romney is going to introduce Barry to the cut throat Romney during the first debate. I can’t see Barry reacting very well to tough questioning from Romney in person...
We’ll see I guess.
Ask Gingrich,Santorum, Perry about fire in the belly. Romney went after them like he was Patton going to Bastogne. But he seems to believe that doing so to Obama would backfire. For many their vote for Obama was seminal event. Despite the chaos of his policies they still like him. To attack Obama would be attacking them for their vote in’08. Romney IMO feels that attacking the failure of Obama’s policies will peel enough ‘08 Obama voters away for a Romney win, but attacking Obama himself would solidify those voters for Obama. I think this is wrong, but seeing the likeability polls and talking with many ‘08 Obama voters I can understand the strategy.
He’s ahead in polls that oversample Dems
I think I'll just DVR it on my computer. Easier to save the best parts that way.
Now that's a revelation.
Limbaugh has said as much. Too many Americans "feel sorry for" Obama.
BTW, our Montgomery Co., OH GOP office has made MORE CALLS than any other office in America save one!
Read the comments. This is driving the dims crazy. They have to have the fantasy that the tax paying middle class is voting for dems.
When in reality it is the 3rd world government cheese crowd, metrosexual hipsters and the rich who are the base of the democratic party. But for some reason they can’t own those facts!
I ride bike through one of the worst neighborhoods in my state. But the government checks are flowing just fine, and people drive nice cars, are fat, and have plenty of money for the drug of their choice.
Obama’s electorate is (ahem) fat, dumb and happy!
If Romney hasn’t already flipped off the gloves by now, IT AIN’T GONNA HAPPEN...sad but true. Everyone I know too are hoping and praying for a knock down, drag out, no holds bar war against the BLACK TURD, but it’s just a wet dream. It ain’t gonna happen...SIGH!
Congratulations! Keep up the good work!
If you try to wake the undecide early they will get confussed, save the best for the last four weeks. Keep the faith R & R know what they are doing.
The lady at the unemployment office told her that they could cancel the unemployment, but they couldn't do anything about the food stamps since they'd already signed her up for six months worth.
So this woman is back at a job that actually pays more than her previous job, yet she still receives several hundred dollars a month onto her WIS card because they don't have any way of taking you off food stamps once you are on them?!?
He has said plenty of anti-Obama things....he’s taken the gloves off. What he needs to do is present an alternative vision, which the debates and upcoming campaign swings should do.
This is probably just a ploy by Politi-hole to gain more traffic from the likes of us conservatives. They are probably behind due to their recent lies and deceitful reporting on everything else this political season. I had to take a shower after hitting on their website! Yeah, I fell for it.....