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Hannity Guest Dick Morris Confidently Declares Obama's Defeat
Hannity

Posted on 09/24/2012 6:41:05 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist

On Hannity tonight Dick Morris confidently declared, barring any debate debacle, Romney will win by "4 or 5 points" and will win FL, OH, NV, VA and PA.

I never know if he is full of it or knows a lot that we haven't access to.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; dickmorris; election; notbreakingnews; polls; vanity
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1 posted on 09/24/2012 6:41:10 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: BlueStateRightist

He actually said if election was held today he would win by 4 or 5 points


2 posted on 09/24/2012 6:42:02 PM PDT by scbison
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To: BlueStateRightist

50/50. He knows a lot and he’s full of it.


3 posted on 09/24/2012 6:42:41 PM PDT by Andrei Bulba (No Obama, no way!)
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To: BlueStateRightist

That does it, Rommney’s toast.


4 posted on 09/24/2012 6:42:55 PM PDT by MtBaldy (If Obama is the answer, it must have been a really stupid question)
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To: BlueStateRightist

What did he predict with McCain?


5 posted on 09/24/2012 6:44:52 PM PDT by mia
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To: BlueStateRightist

He has access to the same unskewed polling data that I do that I have posted here before.


6 posted on 09/24/2012 6:45:01 PM PDT by TheRhinelander
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To: scbison

One thing Morris definitely knows is politics and polling, in particular. I looked at the trend line on AOSHQ. It looks a whole lot like 1980.


7 posted on 09/24/2012 6:45:05 PM PDT by 98ZJ USMC
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To: BlueStateRightist

Morris now makes his living telling conservatives what they want to hear.

Sure wish he would just shoot straight. If that were the case, I would be thrilled with this news.

Given his recent track record, however, I can’t get excited about it.


8 posted on 09/24/2012 6:46:03 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: MtBaldy

Yep. You can tell be the numbers that he’s toast. Who are you kidding? Still looking for diogenes.


9 posted on 09/24/2012 6:46:33 PM PDT by DWC (historian)
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To: BlueStateRightist

I agree with Dick. The hardcore lefties will vote Obama as will those who are wanting his stash. The middle-of-the-roaders are fearful of four more Obama years.


10 posted on 09/24/2012 6:47:22 PM PDT by From The Deer Stand
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To: MtBaldy

LOL!

Dick Morris is a worm.

But on the other hand, worms actually perform a useful function. Can’t say the same for DM. :::shudder::::


11 posted on 09/24/2012 6:47:48 PM PDT by conservaKate (My vote will be against the One...not FOR Mittens.)
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To: BlueStateRightist

Four words: Hillary versus Condi! (H/T Plugs Biden)


12 posted on 09/24/2012 6:48:21 PM PDT by americas.best.days...
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To: TheRhinelander

Yeah, I think Morris basically has the same opinion about the D-oversampled polling that a lot of people here do.

He’s got nothing to lose really. If he’s right and Romney wins with the useless polls predicting an Obama win, he looks like a clairvoyant. If he’s wrong again, it will eventually be forgotten, because he’s been wrong before and he just plows ahead as if it never happened.


13 posted on 09/24/2012 6:48:40 PM PDT by Kingosaurus
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To: BlueStateRightist

I predict Romney will get 53% or better of the popular vote.

That has been my position for a couple of months now.


14 posted on 09/24/2012 6:48:48 PM PDT by Kansas58
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To: MtBaldy

Pretty much. There is no “pundit” as consistently, and WAY wrong, as Morris. He’s embarrassing.


15 posted on 09/24/2012 6:49:04 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: scbison

I remember very CLEARLY in 2010 when Dick Morris predicted a 64 to 66 seat sweep of the house. Republicans gained 63 seats. He was close.


16 posted on 09/24/2012 6:49:10 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: scbison

And if my grandmother had wheels she’d be a wagon.


17 posted on 09/24/2012 6:50:02 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: comebacknewt; BlueStateRightist

I remember very CLEARLY in 2010 when Dick Morris predicted a 64 to 66 seat sweep of the house. Republicans gained 63 seats. He was close.


18 posted on 09/24/2012 6:50:57 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: BlueStateRightist
I never know if he is full of it or knows a lot that we haven't access to.

Both. (Morris is mostly full of himself, and, thus, prone to being full of it, but he's also a pro, and gets inside info we don't.)

19 posted on 09/24/2012 6:51:25 PM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: scbison; BlueStateRightist

I wouldn’t put any faith in Dick Morris. He also “very confidently” predicted in 2007 that Hillary would never run for President. Check it out.


20 posted on 09/24/2012 6:51:28 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: Kingosaurus

Morris wrote an article explaining why he doesn’t trust the polls. It has nothing to do with “sampling.” He explained how every poll has a sample skewed different ways, but the pollsters always adjust numbers based on a turnout model, predicting which groups will turn out in what proportion. And he says the 2008 model is the one the polls are using, which he thinks is wrong.


21 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:05 PM PDT by JediJones (KARL ROVE: "And remember, this year, no one is seriously talking about ending abortion.")
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To: BlueStateRightist
Vanities are not breaking news.
22 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:09 PM PDT by A.A. Cunningham (Barry Soetoro is a Kenyan communist)
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To: BlueStateRightist

23 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:20 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: mia

After pick of Palin as VP and convention he was bullish for McCain.. But when financial crisis hit and McCain suspended his campaign, he said he was done.


24 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:49 PM PDT by scbison
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To: RIghtwardHo

I see his prediction has stirred up the rats here.


25 posted on 09/24/2012 6:53:50 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: BlueStateRightist

To paraphrase H. Ross Perot, what’s that sucking sound?


26 posted on 09/24/2012 6:53:54 PM PDT by aposiopetic
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To: BlueStateRightist

Oh great, Romney has no chance now.


27 posted on 09/24/2012 6:54:01 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: SeekAndFind

That presents its own worry. I looked at all the Ohio gubernatorial data in September 2010 and the polls were generally accurate at that time - with Kasich leading anywhere from 2 to 7 points (Kasich won by 4).

Scary to contemplate. I understand the samples may be distorted but not all of the polls today can be wrong.


28 posted on 09/24/2012 6:54:24 PM PDT by mwl8787
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To: Kansas58
That's what I've been saying too. Not a Reagan-Mondale blowout, but at least 53%. Something like the Wildcats playing KU in football next week ... feathers everywhere. EMAW
29 posted on 09/24/2012 6:55:31 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives)
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To: Kingosaurus

He’s basing it on this:

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/

Which is based on this:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation


30 posted on 09/24/2012 6:56:27 PM PDT by TheRhinelander
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To: scbison
He actually said if election was held today he would win by 4 or 5 points

Morris always leaves himself an out, but he is bound to have one of his predictions come true someday.

I hope this is the one.


31 posted on 09/24/2012 6:57:41 PM PDT by Iron Munro (US Embassies Come and Go But An Obama Apology Lasts Forever)
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To: comebacknewt
Given his recent track record, however, I can’t get excited about it.

Long term track record is bad about anything except the Clintons.
He does know the Clintons.

32 posted on 09/24/2012 6:58:04 PM PDT by Tula Git
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To: mia

Morris was cheerleading for McCain, but at the end predicted Obama would win. He didn’t get the electoral vote exactly right, though.

Right after the election, he did correctly predict that Obama would be unpopular by 2012, and even by 2010. He also said that the Republicans would regain much of their lost power.

He was widely ridiculed for that, and was called the Worst Pundit in America. But, he was right about 2010. And on balance, Obama is certainly unpopular. We will see what how he does in 2012.


33 posted on 09/24/2012 6:58:10 PM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: 1035rep

“I see his prediction has stirred up the rats here.”
___________________________________________

How dare he be optimistic! Doesn’t Morris know the wet blankets will not allow anything even remotely positive. Fuc*in aye, the Dems must laugh their a$$es off at us. We make their work too easy for them.

Like puddy in their hands. Freakin’ sad!


34 posted on 09/24/2012 6:59:03 PM PDT by Artcore
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To: BlueStateRightist; All

Dick Morris is a slimy shyster. Look for his fraudulent emails regarding “ads” he is supposedly running in the next month. It’s all lies. Don’t fall for it and don’t EVER send a single penny to any entity Morris endorses, nor sign his “petitions” if you don’t want that email address shredded by spam. You have been warned.


35 posted on 09/24/2012 6:59:21 PM PDT by montag813
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To: justlurking

Thanks, that makes me feel better.


36 posted on 09/24/2012 7:01:14 PM PDT by mia
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To: montag813
You're right...Romney's toast. Heck, why even vote. Thanks for your words of encouragement. I needed that!
37 posted on 09/24/2012 7:01:50 PM PDT by Artcore
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To: Tula Git

RE: Given his recent track record, however, I can’t get excited about it.

His recent track record was the 2010 Congressional elections. He was quite accurate. He predicted a 64 to 66 seat GOP sweep ( result was 63 ).

What other recent track record are you referring to?


38 posted on 09/24/2012 7:02:02 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: Steelfish

Right if I recall he swore she would never run for Senate, which she did.

He promised she would lose, which she didn’t.

He guaranteed she wouldn’t run for President in 2008, which she did.

He gave his solemn oath she would win...


39 posted on 09/24/2012 7:03:22 PM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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To: BlueStateRightist

When he doesn’t suck toes, Morris calculates.
No one will want him on a gab show to repeat what the MSM is saying,
and what MSM’s official polls are saying.
Dickie then calculates what perdictions will result in
checks being sent to his bank account in Lichtenstein.


40 posted on 09/24/2012 7:03:28 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong!)
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To: justlurking; mia

RE: Right after the election, he did correctly predict that Obama would be unpopular by 2012, and even by 2010. He also said that the Republicans would regain much of their lost power.

____________________

As I said, I heard him on the radio predicting a 64 to 66 seat sweep by the GOP of the house in 2010. The result was 64. He was very close.


41 posted on 09/24/2012 7:03:53 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: justlurking; mia

Typo: The result was 64 63.


42 posted on 09/24/2012 7:04:59 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: scbison

You’re right there, and when that happened, McCain was finished.

Say what you like about Morris, he is smart. If you actually listen to his analysis of the polls, you can’t really fault it. In fact, today he didn’t go far enough. He mentioned the modelling of the 08 model, but he should have said that certain pollsters are saying there will be even more Democrats this time, +13 samples and such (garbage).

I think we’ll win, unless the Dems can get enough dead votes. I saw one bumper sticker today... R+R :D


43 posted on 09/24/2012 7:05:07 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: SeekAndFind

He was sure we would take the senate.


44 posted on 09/24/2012 7:05:17 PM PDT by Pharmboy (Democrats lie because they must.)
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To: Pharmboy

RE: He was sure we would take the senate.

I remember him on the radio predicting a 6 to 9 seat GOP win for the Senate. The result was 6.


45 posted on 09/24/2012 7:08:26 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: SeekAndFind; devolve; ntnychik; onyx

GIANT SUCKING SOUND

46 posted on 09/24/2012 7:09:57 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hussein: Islamo-Commie from Fakistan)
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To: Viennacon

If you watched the interview on Hannity today, Dick Morris was so wildly optimistic that he predicted Pennsylvania would swing to Romney.

Even Hannity did not believe that. He said “Oh come on...” when he heard Morris about PA.


47 posted on 09/24/2012 7:10:14 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: BlueStateRightist

Dick “Toe Sucker” Morris is about right, except Hussein will probably pull out Pennsylvania.


48 posted on 09/24/2012 7:11:53 PM PDT by LiveFree99
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To: Perdogg; Kevmo; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Okay, so, now I’m a little worried, because it’s DM. :’) Thanks BlueStateRightist.


49 posted on 09/24/2012 7:12:09 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: BlueStateRightist

Tragically, he is so often wrong. May he be right this time!


50 posted on 09/24/2012 7:12:22 PM PDT by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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