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How Mitt Romney is actually defeating Barack Obama in the presidential race
examiner.com ^ | 9/24/12 | Dean Chambers

Posted on 09/24/2012 6:57:21 PM PDT by Ron C.

Despite all the noise created by all those media-commissioned skewed polls that appear to have President Obama leading, Mitt Romney is actually winning the presidential race as of today. The newest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Daily Tracking poll released today shows Obama 47 percent to Romney 46 percent, and shows them tied at 48 percent when leaning voters are included. The Gallup tracking poll, which is based on a sample that tends to favor Democrats by a few points, released today shows Obama leading just two percent, 48 percent to 46 percent. The QStarNews Daily Tracking Poll released today shows a Romney lead of 51 percent to 45 percent.

Polling data and analysis of voting patterns indicates that Romney is going to win most of the key swing states including the five surveyed by Purple Strategies just a few days ago. The last QStarNews analysis and projection of the electoral college covered in this column predicts Romney winning 301 electoral votes, 31 more than needed for election as president.

THIS IS AN EXCERPT!

(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2912polls; bho2012; election2012; elections; partisanmediashills; riggedpolls; romney; romney2012
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With the constant beat of leftist polling that shows this election close FReepers need to bookmark this link and refer to it daily. Mr. Chambers will always have more reliable information than you're getting from the commie lame-stream liars.

I don't know why the QStarNews link 'projection of the electoral college' fails - but I'll post it later!

1 posted on 09/24/2012 6:57:25 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: Ron C.
Romney's conservative agenda is great but he needs to shout it out and not be shy about it.

There is nothing more conservative than making this country self-sufficient in energy resources.

There is nothing more conservative than lowering ALL tax brackets and eliminating loop holes and deduction created to socially engineer society.

There is nothing more conservative than strengthening military.

There is nothing more conservative than reforming Medicare & Social Security so it will be around for the young folks.

There is nothing more conservative than getting rid of Obamacare. All of above is Romny's agenda.

2 posted on 09/24/2012 7:01:40 PM PDT by entropy12
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To: Ron C.

The drumbeat of Big Media is: THE RACE IS OVER!!!! OBAMA IS WAY AHEAD!!! HE’S UNBEATABLE!!! DON’T BOTHER TO VOTE REPUBLICANS!!! As I recall, Carter was ahead and unbeatable at this time in 1980.


3 posted on 09/24/2012 7:02:39 PM PDT by driftless2
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To: entropy12; All
Here's the replacement for the broken link to Chambers article about Mitt Romney winning 301 electoral votes as projected by polling data - posted 3 days ago.
4 posted on 09/24/2012 7:09:05 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: driftless2
"The" LYING "drumbeat of Big Media is"

I think we all need to help point FReepers to UnSkewedpolls.com - just to HELP SHINE THE LIGHT OF TRUTH on what 'Big Media' is pushing every day!!

5 posted on 09/24/2012 7:14:19 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: driftless2
That's funny. When a Dem says Obama is ahead I say "Yep, he's so far ahead you don't have to worry. Heck, you could skip voting for him and he'll be just fine. Don't worry, be happy."

Who knows, they just might listen to me!

6 posted on 09/24/2012 7:16:47 PM PDT by jdsteel (Give me freedom, not more government.)
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To: Ron C.
and now for some real news with liberal bias ommited...



7 posted on 09/24/2012 7:17:24 PM PDT by Baynative
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To: entropy12

https://twitter.com/ComradeArthur/statuses/250381283325276161
[scroll down]


8 posted on 09/24/2012 7:22:08 PM PDT by biggredd1
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To: Ron C.

RNC need to run 24/7 three ads:

1. DNC delegates booing God at their convention and adoption of gay marriage
[In FL also run ad on removal of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital from DNC platform]

2. Obama’s contrasting own words in 2008 and 2012 (same old, same old)

3. Pics of coffins coming home and ME embassy on fire with words from Obama just a “bump in the road”

If Romney is to win we must educate, emote, and inflame. Borrow a page from the DNC and our side would win. Knock down drag on fight for the undecideds.


9 posted on 09/24/2012 7:23:12 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: Baynative
Those two tables will be rather shocking to many FReepers! Thanks for posting!

We need to put links to this info on EVERY DAMNED LIBERAL POLL that shows up on FR!!

AND at the same time vow to do more to help defeat the idiot in the WH!

10 posted on 09/24/2012 7:23:12 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: Ron C.

Polls conducted in a general manner across states don’t matter anymore anyway to the actual election. Only the “battlegroud” states matter: Florida, Ohio, Penn., etc.


11 posted on 09/24/2012 7:23:41 PM PDT by spodefly (This is my tag line. There are many like it, but this one is mine.)
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To: jdsteel

LOL - love it!!!


12 posted on 09/24/2012 7:23:56 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: driftless2

Yep! I remember that quite well! I had just started my first year in College and had a “Reagan for President” bumper sticker on my car which incredibly I got heat over from the leftists. Democrats back then still supporting Carter just like they support Obama today even though both were/are unmitigated disasters as POTUS.

I think the lefties are in for a huge surprise again ala Carter. People who don’t normally vote are going to turn out in absolute droves, literally waves to get this absolute disaster out of office, while the lefties are going to do the opposite as their “shining star” doesn’t seem so bright anymore.


13 posted on 09/24/2012 7:24:47 PM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (Someday our schools we will teach the difference between "lose" and "loose")
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To: entropy12
THE thing you have to remember about the media:

Photobucket

14 posted on 09/24/2012 7:25:36 PM PDT by VRWCRick
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To: driftless2

Not only the MSM but lately Brit Hume has chimed in calling it all but over.


15 posted on 09/24/2012 7:31:12 PM PDT by StarFan
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To: StarFan

From National Review about the number of voters who have dropped their dem registration between 2009 and now:

[url]http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/328401/democrats-advantage-voter-registration-slipping-key-states#[/url]

[quote]announcing that there are now roughly 20,000 more registered Republicans in Iowa than registered Democrats – suggests that Hawkeye state Republicans can crow about a dramatic turnaround, pointing out that back in January 2009, Iowa Democrats enjoyed a 110,000 voter registration advantage.

In terms of how many voters are registered with each major party, Democrats continue to hold advantages in several key swing states, but in all of those states, their advantage is considerably smaller than it was in 2008.

In Florida, as of last month there are 4,627,929 registered Democrats and 4,173,177 registered Republicans, which amounts to a a 454,752-voter advantage for Democrats. (Keep in mind, Florida has 11.5 million registered voters, so there are a lot of unaffiliated and third-party voters.)

In 2008, there were 4,800,890 registered Democrats in Florida and only 4,106,743 registered Republicans, a 694,147-voter advantage. So while the number of voters who registered with the GOP is up from four years ago, Democrats are down roughly 170,000.[/quote]

This is happening in ALL the swing states. Romney is leading by DOUBLE DIGITS among independents.

The polls using 2008 turnout models are a joke.


16 posted on 09/24/2012 7:37:02 PM PDT by Leto
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To: Baynative
Thanks for posting. Some hope for change.
17 posted on 09/24/2012 7:46:17 PM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: StarFan
Not only the MSM but lately Brit Hume has chimed in calling it all but over.

It's hard to be unaffected by the polls skewed for Obama. It's naturally disheartening for Republican loyalists (not implying that Hume is one although he my be). But I don't think the skewers will succeed in keeping Romney voters away from the polls, their primary objective.

18 posted on 09/24/2012 8:01:46 PM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

My first year of college too, but I was supporting and campaigning for Carter. Wow, that defeat was the saddest day of my life. I know my errors better today.


19 posted on 09/24/2012 8:02:05 PM PDT by huskerjim
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To: spodefly
"Only the “battlegroud” states matter: Florida, Ohio, Penn., etc."

TRUE - there is a recent poll on that which shows Romney doing well in all five of the big 'battleground' states. I'll find and post later.

20 posted on 09/24/2012 8:20:29 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: VRWCRick

21 posted on 09/24/2012 8:28:11 PM PDT by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Ron C.

But, but, the Yahoo bunch said......

Seriously, thanks for posting this Ron.


22 posted on 09/24/2012 8:31:45 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: jdsteel

“When a Dem says Obama is ahead I say “Yep, he’s so far ahead you don’t have to worry. Heck, you could skip voting for him and he’ll be just fine. Don’t worry, be happy.”

That’s so mean! I tell all the Democrats that their vote is important and to make sure they show up on November 7th :)


23 posted on 09/24/2012 8:34:17 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: 1035rep

Heck, the Yahoo bunch is claiming NASCAR fans prefer Obama.

Does anyone really believe that? Really?

These guys are desperate.

Obama Leads Romney Among NASCAR Fans: Poll 49%-42%
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2935818/posts


24 posted on 09/24/2012 8:36:42 PM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: FreedomPoster

I saw that. I think the yahooey’s been drinking their bathwater.


25 posted on 09/24/2012 8:39:48 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Steelfish

excellent


26 posted on 09/24/2012 8:44:13 PM PDT by genghis
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To: Perdogg; Kevmo; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

It will break against Zero, but the margin will be less than in 2012.

“Third party” astroturf will have less impact than Eugene McCarthy in 1976.


27 posted on 09/24/2012 9:03:56 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: spodefly

True, but there are mathematical limits to how much one can lose in the popular vote majority and still win in the electoral vote. It could be that seven or eight states, such as OH and IA, decide everything.


28 posted on 09/24/2012 9:20:55 PM PDT by Theodore R. ( Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: Baynative

Thanks for your post.

I visited the site and was unable to find how the unskewing is done.

Does he apply Rasmussen’s party affiliation poll to derive the sampling?


29 posted on 09/24/2012 9:23:06 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: Ron C.

Thanks for the info Ron, very much appreciate it!


30 posted on 09/24/2012 9:31:17 PM PDT by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: Theodore R.
"True, but there are mathematical limits to how much one can lose in the popular vote majority and still win in the electoral vote."

In a two-way election, 47.9-48.4 aka 2000.

It will never be equaled or surpassed...Unless Mitt does this:

2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, NH = 270EV and loses PV by a full point 48-49.

31 posted on 09/24/2012 9:54:20 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, IA = 272EV)
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To: Ron C.

301 is still to close for comfort. This EV number seems off. If Mitt is really 7.8 points ahead, he should win 380-420 EV.


32 posted on 09/24/2012 10:10:30 PM PDT by princeofdarkness (The Obama Administration is circling the wagons. But the Truth Indians are using flaming arrows.)
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To: Ron C.

To the contrary, Romney is snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Somebody must have made him an offer he couldn’t refuse.


33 posted on 09/24/2012 10:19:50 PM PDT by AlaskaErik (I served and protected my country for 31 years. Progressives spent that time trying to destroy it.)
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To: Ron C.

We need more knowledge of what difference the shift to cell phones has made in electoral polling data.


34 posted on 09/24/2012 11:18:50 PM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: gleeaikin
What did the polls say this time two years ago?

I knew there was a massive Tea Party Revolution happening. From what I remember the Lame Street Media kept dismissing it.

gleeaikin wrote: We need more knowledge of what difference the shift to cell phones has made in electoral polling data.

Many people I know, and those people I know are not going to vote for Obama, avoid POLLS like the plague. They screen their calls like a hawk. Dodging pollsters doesn't mean they are not going to vote.

35 posted on 09/24/2012 11:34:27 PM PDT by TheShaz
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To: Ron C.

Thank you for posting this! Very interesting about how the polls are skewed by over- and under-sampling. I just wonder, why would they routinely do this? It seems to me it would make their polls routinely inaccurate, and make them look like dummies when their predictions don’t pan out. Thoughts?


36 posted on 09/24/2012 11:51:13 PM PDT by Hetty_Fauxvert ( "Be Breitbart, baby!")
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To: Ron C.
8-D

37 posted on 09/25/2012 12:05:35 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (WA DC E$tabli$hment; DNC/RNC/Unionists...Brazilian saying: "$@me Old $hit; w/ different flie$" :^)
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To: Leto

Or are the media simply laying the ground work for a “he was robbed” moment. How could it have been so close without electronic voting fraud brough about by Adelson and the Koch brothers?


38 posted on 09/25/2012 12:08:05 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: spodefly

The battleground state polls are as skewed as any polls out there, and maybe more so. They are using 2008 data, which was an historic high for dems. Who in their right mind believes we are more democrat now than in 2008?

http://www.examiner.com/article/two-democratic-pollsters-confirm-major-polls-skewed-against-mitt-romney

Don’t trust any poll, not even Rasmussen. He’s the best we have right now, but he’s using a combination of 2004 and 2008 polling data.


39 posted on 09/25/2012 12:16:22 AM PDT by dixiechick2000 (~~~RAGE ~~~ I haz it.)
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To: Theodore R.; Ron C.; 2ndDivisionVet
Barack Obama’s is fighting against Mitt Romney and the Electoral College and losing.


ELECTORAL MAP

Copy and paste into your browser: http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=BqL

40 posted on 09/25/2012 12:31:07 AM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: 1035rep
Most welcome!

It's just awful that NO ONE in the 'lamestream' dares tell it like it really is!!

41 posted on 09/25/2012 1:18:34 AM PDT by Ron C.
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To: FreedomPoster

These guys are desperate.

LOL - you've got that QUITE right!

42 posted on 09/25/2012 1:20:33 AM PDT by Ron C.
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To: Hetty_Fauxvert

Well Hetty, it’s SSOP for Dims to LIE about their candidates, to make them look more popular than they are. They’ve always been liars, and they still are. But, this is the first time that the depth and breadth of their lying is being exposed on a near daily basis. Trouble is, Dim-crat voters eat their lies up, and believe every skewed poll as Gospel!


43 posted on 09/25/2012 1:31:16 AM PDT by Ron C.
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To: StarFan
"Hume...all over"

You mean all over for Romney or Obama?

44 posted on 09/25/2012 3:09:24 AM PDT by driftless2
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To: FreedomPoster

“These guys are desperate.”

I got that impression from Michelle throwing the Underground Railroad in there; blacks have sunk further into dependency in the past four years, and Romney is going to put them “back in chains”?


45 posted on 09/25/2012 3:19:30 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: jdsteel

Try telling that to the winos that get a pack of cigs and a bottle of ripple for every time they vote, though. If it’s close anywhere, look for a repeat of FL 2000.


46 posted on 09/25/2012 3:20:08 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (End the occupation. Annex today.)
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To: Hetty_Fauxvert
I just wonder, why would they routinely do this? It seems to me it would make their polls routinely inaccurate, and make them look like dummies when their predictions don’t pan out. Thoughts?

Just like the main-stream media, pollsters are not concerned with credibility so much as they're concerned with RELEVANCE.

They are being paid to push the preferred narrative. 'Gives them power.

47 posted on 09/25/2012 3:48:51 AM PDT by wayoverontheright
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To: driftless2

>> The drumbeat of Big Media

It’s really the Leftwing Media.


48 posted on 09/25/2012 4:09:42 AM PDT by Gene Eric (Demoralization is a weapon of the enemy. Don't get it, don't spread it!)
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To: Ron C.

49 posted on 09/25/2012 4:10:12 AM PDT by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
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To: gleeaikin

“We need more knowledge of what difference the shift to cell phones has made in electoral polling data.”

HUGE. For this reason polling will never be what it once was, and the pollsters know it. Ergo, manufacture a false narrative.


50 posted on 09/25/2012 4:54:13 AM PDT by adc
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