Skip to comments.Bacon, pork shortage 'now unavoidable,' industry group says
Posted on 09/25/2012 4:47:58 AM PDT by Abathar
Might want to get your fill of ham this year, because "a world shortage of pork and bacon next year is now unavoidable," according to an industry trade group.
Blame the drought conditions that blazed through the corn and soybean crop this year. Less feed led to herds declining across the European Union at a significant rate, according to the National Pig Assn. in Britain.
And the trend is being mirrored around the world, according to a release (hat tip to the Financial Times).
In the second half of next year, the number of slaughtered pigs could fall 10%, doubling the price of European pork, according to the release.
The trade group urged supermarkets to pay pig farmers a fair price for the meat to help cover the drought-related losses.
In U.S. warehouses, pork supply soared to a record last month, rising 31% to 580.8 million pounds at the end of August from a year earlier, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
The surge came as farmers scaled down their herds as feeding the animals became increasingly expensive.
In July, global food prices leaped 10% from the month before, according to the World Bank. Maize and wheat jumped 25% while soybeans rose 17%.
Muslim plot or Bush’s fault?
In my state (Georgia) there is an open season on hogs. You can kill them 365 days/year and they are still multiplying like crazy. Come and help yourselves to all the bacon you want.
I see an opportunity to kill the Ethanol subsidy.
People are not going to be happy paying 50% more for food.
When huge numbers of the voting populace are unhappy there is an opportunity to educate them as to the stupid things there government is doing that make there lives miserable.
If we can get it in the press how much the Ethanol Subsidy is cost them the people will make Congress uncomfortable and maybe the Ethanol Subsidy will vaporize.
Sounds to me like a lot more people are going to raise their own.
neighbors will band together feeding several hogs that will be then slaughtered, and that same band of people will then share the ham.
The cities may starve of pork, Moslem controlled areas of the food industry will sabotage pork production, but the heartland of America will never ever lose its pork.
Bloomberg! He knows bacon is no good for you (unless it’s Kevin).
If I were in Alaska, I would do the same.
Pity I’m in a burb in MI.
My employer did indeed buy a ranch fed hog a couple of years ago, huge animal. He took an old 4 yard loader bucket and propped it up over a huge pile of old pallets, filled it with water to boil and dunked his hog in it with the company boom truck we use for delivering concrete septic tanks, same truck he uses for picking up moose that are struck on the highway, we get on average over 400 moose strikes per year in our area of Alaska (Wasilla).
problem is the cities will feel the crunch of a shortage first, its the cities that will panic. people from the cities will travel out trying to steal from those in the sticks.
The people from the city will die.
Even staunchest dems will get cranky and vote with their stomach when they can’t get bacon.”
Makes the muzzies and vegans happy though.
“people from the cities will travel out trying to steal from those in the sticks.”
Yeah, they will die if they try that, but I am also reminded many think these products simply come from the store. They may not even know what to look for to find ham and bacon. Most cannot stomach seeing any blood either and could not dream of butchering an animal for food. They will die in various ways then, not only taking their life in their own hands by trying to steal my pigs.
Maybe anti zombie technology will be needed to protect the bacon supply?
I have my doubts about any “shortage.”
Too many small and medium size producers with investments in hog factories. Gotta run animals through them to pay back the investment.
I hope he shot the hog before dunking him into boiling water!
I would not be surprised to hear some city dweller doing the same thinking of cooking a lobster.
Though if they do I hope it happens next door to a mosque.
With loudspeakers and reverbs.
The subsidy ended nearly a year ago, 12-31-2011.
I don’t eat pork or pork products. It’s not a religious thing; pork just upsets my stomach. The effects need not be discussed in polite company. I can no longer afford beef or lamb. Fish is mostly unaffordable these days as well. I like chicken well enough but it can get boring.
Of course I’m sitting here on six acres of meadow way out in the woods. Lots of ducks are on the pond across the road, deer and turkeys walk through every day and there’s a Mossberg 835 not ten feet away.
The government should force farmers to produce agricultural commodities at below the cost of production. Apparently, it's the American way.
I live on 8 acres in rural Alaska right in the middle of a winter moose migration route when they come down from the heavy snows in the hills.
One of these days buffalo will again populate the prairies from horizon to horizon.
I too have issues with eating some pork, I can eat a Christmas ham no problem and every sunday morning I must have a plate of salted and peppered bacon, but thats it.
They still mandate the addition of ethanol to gasoline. That is still a subsidy. Mandating a market where none would otherwise exist is a subsidy.
At $7 - $8 per bushel, farmers will produce all the corn they possibly can; at $2 - $3, they'll only produce what the government pays them to.
Paint “DOG” on the side of your pig, and it will fool 90% of them.
There’s 20 miilion more acres planted in corn than there was a few years ago thanks to increased demand (and price) due to ethanol.
Where would we be during this so-called shortage without those millions of extra acres?
Once I was driving to my deer stand in North Louisiana. I saw a hog standing in the dirt road, as wide as my car. (Olds 88, good hunting car.) It was huge, blocked the whole dirt road and didn’t budge when I honked.
Gee could it be that part of the problem is that 40% of our drought ravaged corn crop will be converted into worthless ethanol?
I come from a farm family.
Farmers produce that which gets them the largest profit.
In the sixties and early seventies we grew sugar beets. Then in the late 70s it became soy beans.
Now with the government pushing corn ethanol farmers are planting every field they can with Corn because that is the biggest profit maker. The problem with this is that the demand for corn by ethanol distillers is pricing (for now) cattle farmers out of the consumers of corn market. Eventually the price of meat will rise to the point that cattle farmers will again be able to sell meat at a profit. Unfortunately that price may well be above what the lower middle class can afford.
If the ethanol mandate goes away the price of corn will fall. With lower prices less corn will be grown but there will still be a demand for corn. The amount of corn grown will eventually fit the demand.
We must all remember that it is not only meat that will cost more there is also corn syrup, corn sugar and corn oil. Then there are of course all of the things made with these products.
Ethanol must die.
That one’s easy. Obama’s increasing reliance and push for ethanol laced gas and his refusal to stop caused feed prices to go up so high farmers slaughtered their herds instead.
Let the market determine the price and the amount produced. Supply and Demand. It works every time.
"Obama could solve this problem instantly by suspending the federal ethanol mandate -- something his EPA actually can do unilaterally and legally. Instead, Obama will buy up meat -- a move that meat producers say won't help them much anyway. "It doesn't solve the problem of having enough affordable corn next summer," industry analyst Steve Meyer told Reuters. "Without changing the ethanol program, nothing can be done," he said."
A couple of my cats eat the pellets for baby pigs, and so if one happens to be in the pen, I am certain the folks would suddenly get all loving toward all those ‘cats’ eating out of the feeder.
As I said, cattlemen who long for the days of cheap corn aren’t advocates of free market pricing, but rather for the subsidized production of cheap corn. If a cattleman built his business on the assumption that the government would guarantee him a perpetual supply of subsidized corn, and didn’t leave himself any sort of hedge, it’s his fault and not the corn farmers’. (similarly, if a corn farmer builds his business plan on the assumption that the government will guarantee perpetually high corn prices, without a hedge, it’s his own fault when he crashes)
My wife is from South Carolina where bbq means pork. I’m from South Louisiana and Texas where bbq means beef. Odd that I too cannot tolerate too much pork or my gut gets weird (no details). Maybe its a genetic thing based on where you grow up. BTW I love crispy bacon.
I’ve got 100 acres with a 12 acre bass lake sitting in the middle of it.
If push comes to shove I do have a variety of critters around to make up for what Obama has priced out of my reach too.
Ducks have been known to develop paralysis while in flight and tumble from the sky. This phenomena is often accompanied by a boom like sound as their muscle coordination ceases... I betcha that if a bambi just happened to walk into your sight and dropped dead of a sudden coronary failure, and then marvelously gutted itself and jumped into your freezer, you would not complain at all ;-)
Best thing about being out in the styx is that the neighbors also have a plague of bambis committing suicide on their property. No one seems to be able to determine why the rise in bambi suicides...
My dearwife was against causing bambis to have heart attacks right up to the time they ate most of her rose bushes.. Amazing how her thinking has modified...
Oh no! After being vegan for years, I am back to eating meat and have to admit that bacon is the best!
I am in a state with more hogs than people, so maybe we can ride out any shortage, but in case there’s a problem, can you freeze bacon? : )
Another good thing for me is that shotguns are a bit like ball point pens and wristwatches. That is, the functional difference between the best you can buy and the bargain brands is real but slight.
I LOVE those shows.
Remember the good old days when the big complaint was ‘paying farmers not to plant’?
Of course it was far more complicated than that and the truth boiled down to a ‘cheap food for consumers’ program by the government. That worked for, what, 5 decades?
Cheap food, and poor farmers.
I remember telling a lot, and I do mean a lot, of Freepers that if things ever turned to where the farmer had the financial freedom to opt out of the government programs they’d do it in a heartbeat, and the Freepers would be bitching about food prices.
Now grain farmers are actually starting to make the kind of money that normal businessmen who invest millions, work long, long days, and take big risks make.
At least we don’t have to ‘pay farmers not to plant’ anymore.
As a retired farmer, I think the new system is fairer, but as I predicted not so many years ago, the gripes continue.
Why does it have to be corn that is fed to pigs? How about slop which is basically food scraps mixed with milk. Andrew Zimmern did a show about Las Vegas and featured a hog rancher who got free food scrap left over from the Las Vegas buffets. He boiled up the scrap and then fed them to the hogs who were later slaughtered and sent back as ham, bacon, and ribs to the same Las Vegas buffets where he got his food scrap. An endless cycle.
a few small scale feed lots can do this, but the big ones we rely on for the huge volumes wouldn’t work, the logistics would be too big to overcome. They feed corn and soy because it stores indefinitely, doesn’t need sterilization almost daily and is far cheaper to process than something that spoils in a day. We have some pig farmers around us, and if there was a cheaper or easier way to make a buck by feeding the pigs slop vs. grains they would do it in a heartbeat.
But we still do, which is why we have all of these gentleman farmers who own vast tracts of land and have never plowed a single furrow
There is government money out there in those unplanted field just waiting for these rich men to fill out the forms saying they are farmers.
When I was a kid the garbage man was a hog farmer.
Our uneaten food became food for his hogs. Of course this meant that we separated our food waste from other waste.
This was a good deal for the garbage man. He was paid a small amount monthly for picking up the garbage and he paid nothing to feed his pigs.
We burned our other waste in a 55 gallon steal drum which was hauled to the dump about every other year.
It was a great system. Dumps could be much smaller and it was recycling that actually worked.