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2012 Early Voting Statistics
GMU ^ | 9/25/12 | Dr. Michael McDonald

Posted on 09/25/2012 6:14:00 AM PDT by Ravi

Edited on 09/25/2012 6:25:00 AM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

Returned Ballots

A total of 6,741 ballots have been returned in all states and localities for which I have statistics.

MAINE reports 31 returned ballots as of Monday, Sept. 17.

NORTH CAROLINA reports 6,158 returned ballots as of Tuesday morning.

SOUTH DAKOTA reports 552 returned ballots as of Saturday morning.

Scroll down for statistics on the returned ballots!

Keep in mind that a small number of ballots have been cast so far. These earliest of early votes are likely not representative of the overall electorate in many states. Apparently affecting the statistics are overseas voters who were mailed ballots sooner than previous elections in most states. In some states early in-person voting has yet to begin.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: obama; romney; romney2012; ryan
NORTH CAROLINA reports as of Tuesday morning 66,664 ballot requests with the following party breakdown:

Party Reg Dem 27.9% Rep 51.0% None/Oth 21.1%

I believe dems were about 30% in absentee votes in 2008.

1 posted on 09/25/2012 6:14:06 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

any breakdown on OHIO, VA?


2 posted on 09/25/2012 6:15:24 AM PDT by scbison
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To: Ravi

Are there similar reports from Ohio?


3 posted on 09/25/2012 6:16:02 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: mrs9x; LS

Any news on Ohio LS?


4 posted on 09/25/2012 6:17:05 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

They haven’t finished filling them all out yet.......Before it’s over, the Dems will have 125%.............


5 posted on 09/25/2012 6:19:07 AM PDT by Red Badger (Anyone who thinks wisdom comes with age is either too young or too stupid to know the difference....)
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To: Ravi

Sent my and my wife’s absentee ballot request this morning. Anyone not familiar with the procedure, please check your local county’s election board website.


6 posted on 09/25/2012 6:20:43 AM PDT by RangerM
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To: Ravi
We know the splits in most counties but are missing two key counties, Warren (deep red) and Montgomery (slightly blue). We know 25,000 absentees are out in Montgomery, but won't know the party registrations until sometime next week.

So far, Cayahoga has about 100,000 out (heavy Dem, perhaps 3:1 county) and the splits were about 54,000D, 24,000R, and 22,000I. I don't know what 08 final splits were, but this is certainly not better for Dems than 08, and perhaps worse. If you include Is going Romney's way, especially at 10%, this is ok.

Franklin (Columbus) shows a surprising 4,000 R lead so far.

Hamilton (most, but not all of red Cincy) has a 5,500 R lead, and Starke (30,000 Dem registration advantage) has a 700 R lead. If Warren and Hamilton exceed Cuyahoga, we're good. If Franklin and Montgomery offset, we're good. If we come out of Franklin and Montgomery with a lead (assuming a Cuyahoga/Warren-Ham break even) then I think OH is safe.

Long way to go, and a lot of ifs.

7 posted on 09/25/2012 6:24:25 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Ravi

Absentees are the easiest to challenge. Ask any Dim.


8 posted on 09/25/2012 6:31:09 AM PDT by Ingtar (Everyone complains about the weather, but only Liberals try to legislate it.)
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To: mrs9x

From the article.......

OHIO ballot reports are available at the local level for many, but not all, counties. Selected counties reporting absentee ballot requests as of Sunday morning (none that I scanned report returned ballots):

County Ballot Req.

Franklin 95,355

Lake .. 14,938

Lorain . 15,652


9 posted on 09/25/2012 6:33:32 AM PDT by deport
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To: Ravi

I hate the idea of rolling elections like this. Gives the communists 40 days of cheating rather than 1.


10 posted on 09/25/2012 6:34:56 AM PDT by crusader71
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To: Ravi
Absentees are weighted towards republicans as they are more likely to be out of state on business, military and are more conscientious about voting. Democrat absentees will be students, some military.

Signs of fraud would be unusual swings to democrat ballots in locations that are not heavy with democrats, or really big swings in democrat locations.

11 posted on 09/25/2012 6:42:49 AM PDT by AU72
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To: Ravi

Newsmax
Obama Sweep! Now Leads in All Key States, Even N.C., Nevada, Colo.
Monday, September 24, 2012 06:47 PM

By: Todd Beamon

President Barack Obama leads GOP challenger Mitt Romney, according to polls in 10 key swing states, with margins ranging from as little as 4 percentage points to as many as 12 percentage points.

This, according to Real Clear Politics, despite the president’s unpopularity and poor record of high unemployment, lost jobs and a sputtering economy.


12 posted on 09/25/2012 6:44:00 AM PDT by KeyLargo
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To: LS
Any news about Summit or Medina counties numbers?.....

A lot of the people who work in Cleveland live in these counties too and Summit includes the Akron area

13 posted on 09/25/2012 6:51:17 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: Red Badger
.......Before it’s over, the Dems will have 125%.............

That's down from '08.

Could it be that the dead...I mean the dem's...think they have it in the bag?

14 posted on 09/25/2012 7:02:25 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: scbison

VA does not have registration by party, so there is no way to get the party breakdown.


15 posted on 09/25/2012 7:08:22 AM PDT by Gopher Broke (Repeal Obamacare !!)
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To: EGPWS

Many were conned but few are choosing..........


16 posted on 09/25/2012 7:13:45 AM PDT by Red Badger (Anyone who thinks wisdom comes with age is either too young or too stupid to know the difference....)
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To: Ravi

Yo... Michael McDonald...any chance you’ll be re-joining the Doobies...again?

(Sorry Micheal. You lost me right after you mentioned Rachel Maddow in the first paragraph of your article.)


17 posted on 09/25/2012 7:15:05 AM PDT by moovova
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To: LS

Also this in 2008 for Franklin county:

Obama - 59.7% (334,684 votes)
McCain - 39.0% (218,478 votes)

About 44% of those votes were absentee. This year I would would expect that absentee total to push 50% of total votes in Franklin, wouldn’t ya think? So if there are more repubs requesting and returning ballots compared to dems right now, assuming they’re voting for Romney, then this in and of itself is a good indicator based on face value.


18 posted on 09/25/2012 7:18:19 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: KeyLargo

“Newsmax
Obama Sweep! Now Leads in All Key States, Even N.C., Nevada, Colo”

Have you noticed in the past week that Newmax posts nothing favorable to Romney. They were 100% behind him. Guess George Soros paid them off too. When Newsmax turns into the Daily Kos there is trouble in Chinatown. Every day now a different negative story from Newmax, the latest PMSNBC affiliate.


19 posted on 09/25/2012 7:22:15 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
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To: scbison

A report out of Hamilton county this morning claims there have been 50,000 absentee ballot requests for that county alone, not the entire state.
I could be wrong but that certainly sounds like vote fraud is underway.


20 posted on 09/25/2012 7:35:48 AM PDT by Wiser now (Socialism does not eliminate poverty, it guarantees it.)
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To: Ravi; LS
Some updated info on Ohio.

Cuyahoga County: 120,134 absentee ballots requested.

Democrats - 65,093
GOP - 29,512.

A 35,581 D advantage, but due to a 3-1 party advantage in the county, Democrat turnout is 18.8% while GOP turnout is 23.4%

Hamilton County - GOP has increased their margin to 7,912, almost a 2-1 advantage over the Demcorats.

In Franklin County, GOP have increased their margin in requests to 5,319.

21 posted on 09/25/2012 7:41:18 AM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: LdSentinal; Ravi

“Hamilton County - GOP has increased their margin to 7,912, almost a 2-1 advantage over the Demcorats.”

Wow. Obama carried this county by exactly 7%. So even if the GOP might be thought to have a slight advantage in absentee ballots in general, I would think a 2:1 advantage is pretty stunning, wouldn’t you?


22 posted on 09/25/2012 8:01:40 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LdSentinal; Ravi

Franklin Co., in 2008, was a 21-pt Obama advantage!!. For the GOP to have a 7,000 advantage in absentees at this point, I dunno, seems rather huge?


23 posted on 09/25/2012 8:05:49 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Hamilton is a key swing county isn’t it.


24 posted on 09/25/2012 8:06:19 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Wiser now

Nope, just a bunch of voters teed off and wanting to vote now and not wait.


25 posted on 09/25/2012 8:06:54 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: LdSentinal; Ravi; tatown

Interesting (and hopeful):

Cayahoga Co. in 2008 went for Obama 68-30.

2012 Absentees show a 54-24 split so far-—Rs down 6, but Ds down 12!


26 posted on 09/25/2012 8:13:52 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Ravi

Hamilton is Cincy, but doesn’t include the heavy red northern Cincy of Warren county. It’s not swing. It’s reliably red, but not as Republican as Warren. These numbers are good, and up quite a bit, from 2008 in Hamilton.


27 posted on 09/25/2012 8:16:41 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS
It's impressive. Better numbers in Franklin than in 2008 where Kasich lost the county by only 9%.

It's those unaffiliated voters I'm most concerned about.

Overall, there have been 734,000 absentee ballots requested state-wide.

Two years agao, Cuyahoga and Franklin counties accounted for more than half of the early vote.

So far, this year, only 32%.

28 posted on 09/25/2012 8:16:55 AM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: Ravi

Hamilton is Cincy, but doesn’t include the heavy red northern Cincy of Warren county. It’s not swing. It’s reliably red, but not as Republican as Warren. These numbers are good, and up quite a bit, from 2008 in Hamilton.


29 posted on 09/25/2012 8:17:05 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LdSentinal; Ravi; tatown

Make that O is down 14 in Cayahoga County so far from the 2008 pace, or -8 against the GOP in absentee ballots off the 08 pace.


30 posted on 09/25/2012 8:18:42 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: NKP_Vet

I’ve also noticed that Newsmax has become very pro Obama


31 posted on 09/25/2012 9:03:27 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: LS

Question—Do you register to vote by party in OH, because I filled out an on-line registration form for my SIL who just moved to OH, and it didn’t ask for a party. Thanks.


32 posted on 09/25/2012 3:32:57 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: KansasGirl

You know, I’ve been registered for so long, I don’t know. I thought you had to state a party-—but maybe that’s only to vote in a primary.


33 posted on 09/25/2012 4:19:12 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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