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Skewed Polls Unskewed
unskewedpolls.com ^ | 09-25-2012 | Staff

Posted on 09/25/2012 7:38:25 AM PDT by Red Badger

Here's the place you can go to get the real polling numbers the MSM won't allow...........


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls

1 posted on 09/25/2012 7:38:26 AM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

I’ve talked with two past Obama voters and both have changed their mind. Still, looking at the MSM BS with respect to polls, even with their bias, it’s hard to explain away the difference. Then it hit me: People are afraid to admit they are going to vote against Obozo this time. Admitting that is the same as admitting they screwed up last time. My best guess: Obozo will go down in flames worse that Cart did in 1980. In fact, it could be as bad as the McGovern rout. While the MSM is doing everything they can to prop up this unqualified, in-over-his-head, lead-the-US-economy-over-a-cliff idiot, I think there are too many people with at least one neuron firing to accept more of his crap. I sure hope so...for the sake of the Republic.


2 posted on 09/25/2012 7:46:14 AM PDT by econjack (Some people are as dumb as soup.)
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To: Red Badger

for later


3 posted on 09/25/2012 7:53:34 AM PDT by Doctor 2Brains (If the government were Paris Hilton, it could not score a free drink in a bar full of lonely sailors)
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To: econjack
unqualified, in-over-his-head, lead-the-US-economy-over-a-cliff idiot,

Perfect.

4 posted on 09/25/2012 7:55:58 AM PDT by petercooper
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To: Red Badger

4 later


5 posted on 09/25/2012 8:01:54 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war....)
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To: Red Badger

Reweighting polls with skewed samples (that provide enough internals to allow this) can lead to a more accurate result. However, I’m not certain that unskewedpolls.com’s use of Rasmussen’s August 2012 party affiliation data as weights isn’t too extreme a correction, leading to too rosy a picture of GOP prospects this fall.


6 posted on 09/25/2012 8:02:07 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: Red Badger

Hey guys, the link is not working. Just wanted to let you know since it is important that as many people as possible become aware of this site. Thanks


7 posted on 09/25/2012 8:10:28 AM PDT by fatman6502002 (Time will tell)
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To: econjack

Totally agree with you. I have a neighbor who gave his opinion of the election. He said that he did not trust either one. One was a socialist and the other was slippery. What he was doing was giving a politically correct answer showing people that he was not taking sides. In other words, I know him pretty well, it is obvious he will vote for Romney but he wants to make everyone think he is neutral. People are scared to say publicly they won’t vote for Obama.

Incidentally, whereas there were Obama signs everywhere here in Phoenix, I have yet to find a single one this time around.


8 posted on 09/25/2012 8:13:01 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: petercooper

Very interesting and heartening, but do these polls take into account voters who:

1) Are not citizens of the US
2) Are legal immigrants, but cannot read or speak English, and who vote as instructed by ghetto organizers
3) Are recent immigrants who have no idea what democracy is and vote for free food and shelter
4) Are high school and college students firmly under the influence of left-leaning or idealistic teachers
5) Are young people who have never served in the armed forces or held a permanent job

Much of the US populace is not stupid, but so ignorant that they are not qualified to vote.


9 posted on 09/25/2012 8:19:00 AM PDT by July4 (Remember the price paid for your freedom.)
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To: fatman6502002

I just tried it. It worked for me. Are you logged in?..............


10 posted on 09/25/2012 8:21:37 AM PDT by Red Badger (Anyone who thinks wisdom comes with age is either too young or too stupid to know the difference....)
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To: GilGil

Please please please someone put me on TV and ask me who I’m voting for. I would be proud to say “Not Obama!”


11 posted on 09/25/2012 8:29:21 AM PDT by YourAdHere (Obama Has Hemmorhoids)
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To: econjack
People are afraid to admit they are going to vote against Obozo this time. Admitting that is the same as admitting they screwed up last time

You know, I had been looking at this subject from the "I can't admit I'm not voting for Obama for fear of being called racist" standpoint. But I think you've hit on the real reason. Folks don't want to admit they were wrong, completely hoodwinked by Obama and his hopey-changey talk. That's tantamount to saying, "I'm an idiot".

My FRiend, you are a genius.

12 posted on 09/25/2012 8:31:17 AM PDT by Kharis13 (That noise you hear is our Founding Fathers spinning in their graves.)
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To: Red Badger

I did a scientific poll. My sample was 3 people. Based on this I predict the vote on Election day will be 49%/51% with a 5% margin of error.

You can book mark this and marvel at my polling acumen on November 7th.


13 posted on 09/25/2012 8:44:54 AM PDT by DManA
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To: Red Badger

Link doesn’t work with iPad


14 posted on 09/25/2012 8:47:53 AM PDT by ThePatriotsFlag
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To: Red Badger

bkmk


15 posted on 09/25/2012 8:51:47 AM PDT by Sergio (An object at rest cannot be stopped! - The Evil Midnight Bomber What Bombs at Midnight)
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To: ThePatriotsFlag

Then it’s the iPad that’s not working..........


16 posted on 09/25/2012 9:01:26 AM PDT by Red Badger (Anyone who thinks wisdom comes with age is either too young or too stupid to know the difference....)
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To: econjack
Admitting that is the same as admitting they screwed up last time.

Tell them this: If you voted for Obama to prove that you are not a racist, vote him out this time to prove that you are not a fool.

17 posted on 09/25/2012 9:05:32 AM PDT by JimRed (Excise the cancer before it kills us; feed &water the Tree of Liberty! TERM LIMITS, NOW & FOREVER!)
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To: The_Reader_David

Wouldn’t that be the latest and best data?


18 posted on 09/25/2012 9:13:04 AM PDT by Doctor 2Brains (If the government were Paris Hilton, it could not score a free drink in a bar full of lonely sailors)
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To: Red Badger
Then it’s the iPad that’s not working..........

Nope.

The connection has timed out
The server at unskewedpolls.com is taking too long to respond.
The site could be temporarily unavailable or too busy. Try again in a few moments.
If you are unable to load any pages, check your computer's network connection.
If your computer or network is protected by a firewall or proxy, make sure that Firefox is permitted to access the Web.

19 posted on 09/25/2012 9:16:33 AM PDT by Focault's Pendulum (Obama A man without an American mission.)
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To: Focault's Pendulum

We may have overloaded their 56k modem..........


20 posted on 09/25/2012 9:25:05 AM PDT by Red Badger (Anyone who thinks wisdom comes with age is either too young or too stupid to know the difference....)
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To: GilGil

Obama is a slippery Socialist!


21 posted on 09/25/2012 9:31:31 AM PDT by lonestar (It takes a village of idiots to elect a village idiot.)
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To: Red Badger
We may have overloaded their 56k modem..........

Baud rate, 2.

22 posted on 09/25/2012 9:42:10 AM PDT by Focault's Pendulum (Obama A man without an American mission.)
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To: The_Reader_David
Reweighting polls with skewed samples (that provide enough internals to allow this) can lead to a more accurate result. However, I’m not certain that unskewedpolls.com’s use of Rasmussen’s August 2012 party affiliation data as weights isn’t too extreme a correction, leading to too rosy a picture of GOP prospects this fall.

I agree. It's a little suspicious when Rasmussen part-ID weighting when applied to these other polls gives Rasmussen a significantly larger advantage than Rasmussen's own poll, which recently has had had Romney down a point or two.

It would seem that these "unskewed" polls are doing a bit of over-correction.
23 posted on 09/25/2012 10:04:48 AM PDT by AaronInCarolina
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To: AaronInCarolina

The above should read:

“gives Romney a significantly larger advantage than Rasmussen’s own poll, “


24 posted on 09/25/2012 10:10:19 AM PDT by AaronInCarolina
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To: Doctor 2Brains

The problem is party ID doesn’t translate directly into turn-out. O will still get a boost from black racism turning more D’s out to vote for him and the purist faction of the conservative movement may sit on their hands depressing the GOP vote. I’m inclined to expect something like the average of the 2008 and 2010 turnout figures, rather than the August party ID figures.


25 posted on 09/25/2012 4:19:53 PM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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