Skip to comments.Rasmussen: O47, R46. Leaners: tied at 47.
Posted on 09/25/2012 7:38:49 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
He was -9 on Friday. So he’s lost 7 in the strong index.
Although Ras has battleground 47-44 Obama...
Rasmussen has them locked neck and neck again today. Can’t deny that. Of all the polling organizations, this one is the most trustworthy.
My gut tells me something else. I think we may be at a tipping point. Obama’s doing everything he can just to tread water. The media’s doing everything it can to make the narrative state that Romney is losing big. But I think the story is starting to fall apart. I think Romney/Ryan are on the verge of pulling ahead. Big time. We’ll see.
The Marxist is stuck at 47% on all fronts: Not good for an incumbent. Tells me that Romney can close the deal if he competently works the debates. The voters are simply looking for a reason to break his way.
47% again....I guess the fact that Romney was factual in his fund-raiser comments means he’s a bad man for saying so. </sarc>
State polls always lag behind national poll.
If you notice Obama was up 5 on Romney a week or so back, but it was tied in swing states. And now that national polls are tightening up, the swings are still feeling the bounce. It takes a week or so for them to catch up.
I didn’t know that.. thanks.
Agreed. The Pathological Liar-In-Chief and his MSM lackeys have fired everything at Romney for weeks and weeks and yet still can’t legitimately pull ahead.
I saw Scott R. on Imus this morning.
He said the Marxist would likely win, were the election held today.
Agreed. The undecideds will break strongly for Romney and Obama knows this.
And Ras has been skewing his polls with a D+3 or D+4 by using party turn out that is something between the 04 and the 08 elections.
God too bad you can’t turn back the clock and knock some sense into voters during the primaries. Santorum, Bachmann would have been running circles around obama. What a shame. Last year FREEPERS were saying that anybody could beat Obama...now all of a sudden FREEPERS are saying that Obama is too good to lose to Santorum....Which is it????
I am not picking and choosing my good news, but I was told that Ras was using 2008 models for state elections
Nice to see the leaners going Romney’s way again. In fact, Obama gained nothing from them in today’s poll.
Then he's going to be off the mark like the rest of them.
“I saw Scott R. on Imus this morning. He said the Marxist would likely win, were the election held today.”
Rasmussen is just trying to prove his objectivity. Many in the media and polling industry level him with attacks stating he’s biased towards conservatives. But his own polling reveals Obama consistently below 50% in all measures (approval, vote, swing state). So how can he confidently state Obama would win today? He’s contradicting his own data.
this is bothersome- no doubt...Romney/Ryan have to turn up the heat- this is their election to lose, but i’ve yet to see them do it...did the topic of skewed polls come up with Imus and Ras??
Especially Bachmann would be getting destroyed if she was in. Stop spewing kook, fantasy dribble!
Ok there swami.....
Santorum or Bachmann, (or Gingrich, for that matter) would be 20 points behind Obama right now.
The idea that they wouldn't be is a delusional fantasy, but no doubt an attactive one.
All three would be savaged/mocked by the media far worse than Romney has, and would have much more severe "likeability' problems than Romney. Can't conceive of any of the three being remotely attractive to moderates or swing voters.
It's a valid observation if "True Conservatives" are defined as about a half-dozen FR members.
I agree that Romney has to turn up the heat by going after the Marxist like he did with his conservative rivals.
Take no prisoners and make it sting and stain.
OTOH, I think this one is the Marxist’s to lose. The filthy, evil lamestream are doing everything to prop him up and beat down Romney and yet, he can’t break out away from Romney.
The first debate is Romney’s true chance to show his stuff.
Yes, I’m praying.
Only thing more ludicrous is if we were to babble about how Sarah Palin would be destroying Obama. She knew this. I think most divorced wives use this logic.."Oh if I would only married Tad my HS sweetheart my life would have been nirvana."
“True Conservatives are not going to vote in the presidential race, and that’s going to hurt Romney’s chances.”
Every hardcore CONSERVATIVE I know would wade through a swamp of alligators to vote that POS Marxist out of office and I’m sure we aren’t alone.
The other (connected) fantasy is that if a ‘true conservative” had been the nominee in 2008 rather than RINO McCain, they would have won.
Which is just absurdly silly. That was an unwinnable election anyway, based on the economy and dissatisifaction with the wars and GWB, and a “true conservative” would have just pumped up minority and youth turnout out of fear above the astronomically high level that Obama attained, more than wiping out any increase in Republican “base” turnout.
There just aren’t millions of “true conservatives” out there that haven’t voted in a Presidential election since 1984 because they haven’t gotten their ideal candidate (because lets face it, Bush Senior, Dole, and GWB have all been proclaimed RINOs by a lot of people).
something between the 04 and the 08 elections.”
Obviously that is where the art of this comes in. But...that strikes me as spot on. The incumbent is after all a D. So you can expect D’s to come out in sort of the same fashion as the R’s did in 2004. But obviously 2008 was especially good for the D’s and they have nowhere to go but down. And 2010 was especially good for the R’s, because intensity was high and it was an “off year” for the D’s.
But the D’s will raise their vote from 2010 b/c it is a presidential year, while the GOP will stay about the same (or go up slightly...but the GOP vote won’t go up much over 2010).
Which is to say, it seems that a turnout model somewhere between 2004 and 2008 is probably about right.
Personally I believe that Romney has a good shot. But I don’t, ahem, “feel” like he has won. Yet.
But I feel like a tsunami is forming.
They are self-righteous, holier-than-thou FRAUDS. No real conservative will do nothing when their country is at risk for being destroyed for a generation.
Than both of you were against FREEPERS saying that anybody could beat Obama.
Unless Romney goes out of his way to tank this election, he will win
Collective White Guilt and Affirmative Action has won its only election IMO...
I am just wondering, what in the Sam Hell are the undecideds waiting for? What have they NOT seen? What is the mystery to these people?? I do not get it.
Dick Morris video today explains his recent optimism about Romney’s chances: http://www.dickmorris.com/romney-gaining-dick-morris-tv-lunch-alert/?utm_source=dmreports&utm_medium=dmreports&utm_campaign=dmreports
“The first debate is Romneys true chance to show his stuff.”
I think we should start a thread NOW predicting how each MSM pundit/outlet is going to spin the debates. The winner of the debates has already been decided by the MSM Elite. Why not ridicule them for it?
I’ll start with an easy one:
MSNBC- Obama was cool and came with the facts and connected when he said he just needs more time to work his plan for more jobs and increased standards of living for everyone.
Romney was cold and seemed disinterested and used corporate-speak in an attempt to describe his vague plan of bringing prosperity back to a certain few Americans. The lack of reaction in the hall spoke volumes to the fact his talking points and somewhat racist code language did not land in a manner that was appreciated.
There, that’s my two cents. Anyone else want to take a stab at it?
The undecideds fall into two categories:
So far-—and I repeat, anything can change-—Rs doing REALLY well in absentee voting. Cayahoga, which went 68-30 for Obama (a Dem stronghold) is now at 54-24, a six point drop for Rs but a 14 point drop for Zero.
Hamilton County, which Obama carried by 7 in 2008, is at 2:1 REPUBLICAN absentee requests.
Franklin, which went for Obama by 21 (!!) shows a GOP lead of 5300 and that lead has increased since last week.
Do you know why that is?
I think that there really are very few true undecideds by now.
This election, to me, will be about turn out and voter enthusiasm. I am not sure which side will be more eager - those who desperately want Obama to go or those who will forgive Obama for anything he could ever do. I just don’t know how this is going to turn out.
I also don’t agree that it’s R & R’s election to lose. If it were a straight up fight between Romney and 0bama on a level playing field, yes. Romney would be winning in a blowout by now. But he’s playing against the media, too, which is blatantly and obviously biased against him. As it is, it will be a tough fight and a lot closer than it should be.
I still cannot believe an unqualified empty suit narcissist communist dictator-wanna be is in position to be a two term President of the United States.
Pray for our country.
I dont think [the polls] reflect the composition of what 2012 is going to look like, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse said in an interview.
Averaging bad polls that include skewed samples will get you a skewed result, Newhouse told The Hill.
Good idea; start this as a separate thread and I’m in.
The self-righteous conservative non-vote is all sound and fury signifying nothing.
It’s already factored into the numbers.
We don’t need them.
The good part is that there are still a few conservatives (say 1%) who THINK they are going to not vote, but, when the day comes, they will show up. And that is going to boost Romney.
Me, I am voting enthusiastically FOR Romney as well as hyper-enthusiastically AGAINST obama.
I think there’s plenty of voters like that....even here at FR.
Yep, and it probably wouldn't be close. Fortunately, there are still 39 days left before election day. Pray for flawless and forceful debate performances by Romney and Ryan, and above all, PRAY HARD for massive turnout by GOPers and conservatives. We're going to need to set records at the polls for Romney to have any shot at winning this.
Isn’t the weekend still effecting this number. People have said Obama normally polls better on weekend polls
Some of the clueless wonders think that Romney is supposed to be their “daddy” and enthuse them out of bed to go vote and save their country from being destroyed.