Skip to comments.Media Polls Are the Newest Negative Campaign Ad
Posted on 09/25/2012 11:29:52 AM PDT by nhwingut
Over the years, I've generally had little patience when partisans make the "polls are wrong" argument. I've usually found it to be the last refuge of campaigns who were clearly struggling. Sure, individual polls can be wrong and some can occasionally produce a crazy outlier, but, a collective average of polling produced a roughly accurate snapshot of the state of a race. This year, however, is different. The overwhelming majority of media polling this election employ such absurd assumptions about turnout this November that they not only misrepresent the presidential race, they are actively distorting it. I also believe it is intentional.
In 2008, the electorate that elected Barack Obama was 39% Democrat, 32% GOP and 29% Independent. This is what we call a D+7 electorate. Obama defeated McCain by 7 points, the same margin. In 2004, the electorate was 37% Democrat, 37% Republican, and 26% Independent, in other words D/R +0. Bush defeated John Kerry by 3 points nationally.
Yet, virtually every big media poll is based on a model where Democrats equal or increase their share of the electorate over 2008. Beyond simple common sense, there are many reasons this won't happen. The Dem vote in 08 was the largest in decades. It came after fatigue of 8 years of GOP control, two unpopular wars, a charming Democrat candidate who was the Chauncy Gardner of politics, a vessel who could hold everyone's personal dreams and hopes for a politician. It was a perfect storm for Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Yep, pretty much.
This is the 2012 Democrat version of “dirty tricks.”
With all of these bogus polls showing 0bama winning OH and FL, CNN still has both of these states yellow on their big board.
They know these polls are bogus.
WaPo is out today with an Ohio poll showing Obama up by 8. The sample was D+10.
But will be reported (without mentioning the bogus sample) on all the nightly networks, and local Ohio news stations.
It’s pure corruption to depress base and create a Obama is inevitable meme for the low info voters (i.e. might as well go with the winner).
Bingo...the polls are being used to manipulate public opinion...they are LIES.
The bottom line....
Quite simply, and apart from past years, the media have decided to weaponize the polls.
Every election features something new, an evolution from past campaigns. This year's development is troubling. Polls are now being used, not simply to gauge the state of the race, but to impact the race. We're not far off from the day that the New York Times or CBS will have to file their polls as in-kind contributions to the Democrats.
Yep. They want to keep the donors giving $ and demotivate the Republicans.
2010 was landslide Republican election and things have gotten even worse sense then. The delusion that Obama was somehow at least competent with his foreign policy has gone up in flames. Full four years out and the economic track record is a disaster.
How could this be anything other than a landslide win for Republicans?
The only thing keeping it close is the low quality of our candidate.
Who else was electable at all on the national level? Of the serious contenders, who would have had a legit shot? Likely only Mitt from what we had to chose from.
Which of the other candidates could have survived this long in the media onslaught?
Expanding to who we didn't have to chose from, Mitch Daniels probably would be doing as well as Romney right now. That's about it.
It appears to me that the MSM is having its LAST big CRACKPIPE dream before they realize they’re OUT of CRACK and REALITY rears its head.
From one Doctor to another... I hope so.
Perhaps we should be sending this article to everyone for whom we have an email address. I did.