Skip to comments.Early voting statistics (mainly North Carolina)
Posted on 09/26/2012 7:11:53 AM PDT by Ravi
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.gmu.edu ...
Also 1278 ballots returned in South Dakota. Go South Dakota. Where’s Tom Daschle?
Where are these votes held until election day? Are they tallied? I prefer everybody voting on the same day.
at democratic party headquarters. j/k. Nothing is tallied - this is just who has returned ballots. 49% of returned ballots have come from registered republicans thus far - still very early. We would presume that most not all of those registered repubs would vote Romney. Similarly for democrats.
Ok, then how are early votes cast?
How do they know which ballot is R and which is D?
Both my husband vote absentee, seems like we are never home on election day, the ballots are identical in color and shape, I am registered as R, he as DTS. There are no identifying marks on the front envelope or in the inside envelope.
absentee. I don’t know regulations regarding absentee ballots for North Carolina. If it’s no excuse absentee or if you need an excuse.
It’s not the ballot, it’s the voter. They do (hopefully) keep track of whether you’ve returned your ballot and match that to your party registration.
What does AA stand for? You said it is at 9.8 percent right now.
Ok. Not that it really matters to me. I always vote in a polling place. I just worry where these things are held and whether those with access to them are trustworthy.
In some states, your are required to register by Party. They know your probable party affiliation by looking you up on the voter rolls, even though it only counts for the Primary. It used to be that way in CA, but I think they changed it.
In Wisconsin, we do not register by Party. They shouldn’t even know us by age, although the municipality always seems to know a lot of things about us that I never told them.
Anyone have statistics on Ohio early voting?
GOP in NC promoted absentee ballots by phone and mailings. It looks like that has paid off. Helping get the “hot to” info to those who need an absentee ballots.
ooops that should be “how to” not “hot to”
In NC, you can vote at designated polling places in your county, just like you would on election day. This is different from the absentee ballot system, which is also available.
Every media poll I looked at today has Obama up in North Carolina by 2 to 5 points. But your numbers are real while the poll numbers are hypothetical.
I don't know what the historical trends have been in N.C. but nationally the Over-60 voters lean Democrat. The above numbers would indicate they are leaning Republican.
This time of year drivers should be especially cautious to avoid democrats
travelling the roads between the cemetaries and the election polling places.
That’s correct. In NC we register by party.
Must live in NC. Must be a very big demand for the absentee ballots.
I’ll eat crow if I’m wrong, but Obama WILL NOT win in NC.
No way. No how.
And we’re going to have a Republican Governor too.
First - That the Dems are voting for a straight Dem ticket.
Second....That Repub votes won't wind up in a dumpster.
There is great potential for cheating in this early voting.
Ha! Got me there.
All voter registration records here in New York is kept at the Board of Elections. When you originally registered you could pick a party to be registered with. Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Working Families (ACORN), Independent, Green, write in or I do not wish to enroll in party.
I believe to for a Party to be on the ballot in November it must receive a certain number of votes in prior years.
The information is available for a (25 cents per page)charge that contains Name. Address, Sex, Age, and party. You are on the list if you voted in 3 of the last 4 elections.
Campaigns use this information to contact likely votes during canvassing.
The problem is...How many Repub ballots can be thrown away and no one would ever know. Inside job.......imagine that...these “workers” are all political appointees
We KNOW absolutely...that in 2004, a box of ballots were found in the trunk of a car, in a cabinet in a goverment office.....
Some people can’t vote on election day. For example, my son is an election judge who must be at his assigned polling place at 5:30AM and can’t leave until the polls close. If he couldn’t vote in advance, he wouldn’t get to vote. He voted yesterday at the election headquarters in Louisville just as if it was election day.
That is why there needs to be an 'audit trail' of some sort...
At a recent Pubbie mtg in our county, we were told that on election day in 2008, McLame won the state of VA...what put Obummer over the top was the absentee votes...hmmmm!
And AA is for African American...not the US Bond Rating! Obummer got us down graded to -AA...in case that confused!
sorry, AA stands for african-american. 26% of votes in north carolina in 2008 were AA and I believe it was around 21% in 2010 in a good republican year.
I’m here in Richmond, Virginia. Any stats on the number of people voting early in Virginia in 2008?
Just fun with numbers...
I don’t have any...not that big of a wonk...but I’m sure you could get them.
I just thought that was an interesting stat given at this mtg....
The spkr was a guy from the Leadership Institute which is a conservative org that trains people in campaigning, etc. Founded by Morton Balckwell.
Well, we know that these numbers CAN"T be right, because the MSM polls predict Dems voting in a record number this year, and Repub turn out depressed below any historical average.
what’s up in Iowa?? is this a concern???
and remember that voting in the nh gubernatorial primary to replace a retiring democrat was 54% for a republican candidate vs 46% for a democrat. That’s a very red shade of purple.
I believe dems always vote early in IA going back to 2004 and 2008. That does not seem concerning to me.
I work in a polling place on election day and I can vote there since it is my precinct. Is your son’s precinct different from his polling place?
And why on earth can he not leave during the day? He has to bring his lunch? Or are they that busy.
LS (and LdSentinal) are doing great analyses of OH absentee data. The money quote from LS today: “Based on this, it would appear Romney is back up to Bush levels, and perhaps slightly above in a couple of cases”. Bush won OH in 2000 and 2004.
Not to doubt you, but do you have a link to substantiate those claims? From a credible source of coarse.
UnSkewed Polling Data
|UnSkewed Avg.||9/4 - 9/20||--||--||44.0||51.8||Romney +7.8|
|Reason/Rupe||9/13 - 9/17||787 LV||4.3||45.0||52.0||Romney +7|
|Reuters/Ipsos||9/12 - 9/20||1437 LV||2.9||44.0||54.0||Romney +10|
|NBC News/WSJ||9/12 - 9/16||736 LV||3.6||44.0||51.0||Romney +7|
|Monmouth Univ.||9/13 - 9/16||1344 LV||2.5||45.0||50.0||Romney +5|
|QStarNews||9/10 - 9/15||2075||3.0||44.0||55.0||Romney +11|
|NY Times/CBS News||9/8 - 9/12||1162 LV||3.0||44.0||51.0||Romney +7|
|Democracy Corps||9/8 - 9/12||1000 LV||3.1||43.0||52.0||Romney +8|
|Fox News||9/9 - 9/11||1056 LV||3.0||45.0||48.0||Romney +3|
|Wash. Post/ABC News||9/7 - 9/9||826 LV||4.0||45.0||52.0||Romney +7|
|CNN/ORC||9/7 - 9/9||875 RV||3.5||45.0||53.0||Romney +8|
|IBD/CSM/TIPP||9/4 - 9/9||808 RV||3.5||41.0||50.0||Romney +9|
|ARG||9/4 - 9/6||1200 LV||3.0||43.0||53.0||Romney +10|
UnSkewed Polling Data
|UnSkewed Avg.||9/4 - 9/20||--||--||44.1||52.9||Disapproval 8.8|
|Reason/Rupe||9/13 - 9/17||787 LV||4.3||44.0||53.0||Disapproval 9|
|NBC News/WSJ||9/12 - 9/16||736 LV||3.6||44.0||54.0||Disapproval 10|
|QStarNews||9/10 - 9/15||2075||3.0||45.0||55.0||Disapproval 10|
|NY Times/CBS News||9/8 - 9/12||1162 LV||3.0||44.0||51.0||Disapproval 7|
|Democracy Corps||9/8 - 9/12||1000 LV||3.1||42.0||55.0||Disapproval 13|
|Fox News||9/9 - 9/11||1056 LV||3.0||45.0||53.0||Disapproval 8|
|Wash. Post/ABC News||9/7 - 9/9||826 LV||4.0||45.0||49.0||Disapproval 4|
|CNN/ORC||9/7 - 9/9||875 RV||3.5||44.0||53.0||Disapproval 9|
This is bad new for Dems since election day Rep voters tend to show up while Dem voters do not. The whole reason the Dems pushed this early voting scheme was to give their lazy ass voters more time to vote.
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