Skip to comments.Early voting statistics (mainly NC); Repubs breaking out with absentee ballot returns
Posted on 09/27/2012 6:38:02 AM PDT by Ravi
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.gmu.edu ...
Aren’t the Repubs leading in returned early voting in Ohio as well? Thought I’d read that yesterday..
And if it keeps up, what does it mean?
Yes, follow LS, LDSentinal and Global somebody.
Hope they’re keeping all these in a safe place.
You couldn’t be more wrong.
There’s something fundamentally wrong allowing people to vote before the debates are even held. IMO, all this excessive early voting does is make it more possible for election fraud.
I realize there needs to be some leeway for absentee voters, but six weeks?
Maybe, but more than likely these people made u their minds 4 years ago. Nothin’s gonna change that.
NORTH CAROLINA reports as of Thursday morning 78,801 ballot requests with the following party breakdown:
This is the first indication of democratic underperformance right here. In 2008, dems had returned over 30% of the absentee ballots in NC. So at 27% and heading lower every day, this might be our first leading indicator.
Ok, let’s hear a conclusion. In addition to the numbers given, you’ll need:
- number of R’s who requested AB’s
- number of D’s who requested AB’s
- number of R AB’s compared to non-AB’s
- number of D AB’s compared to non-AB’s
You’ll also need the number of registered D’s and the number of registered R’s, but you can get that from the above.
Diogenes has returned. Nice cover.
The Iowa numbers look awful.
Would be great to know how NC this year is comparing to 2008, when Obama won the state by an eyelash
Actually if it keeps up... it’s a landslide.
In NC for example Democrats have a 12% registration advantage.
If turnout is anywhere near plus 20% for the Republicans (a 30+ point swing) Romney wins NC by double digits.
If similar turnout happen across the country... it looks like the Reagan-Mondale map.
This is not good. I thought conservatives hated early voting. I thought conservatives wanted early voting shut down and only military getting absentee voting privileges. It is scary to think that conservatives are early voting when it is against what most believe that it should not happen.
Thank you for the mention Ravi. I don’t disagree with your analysis.
It does look good.
If it was the opposite the bedwetters would be crying and some strutting like peacocks
It givesmorte time to talk a friend into making that trip to the ballot box
Scott, we’ll add you to our absentee OH/NC ping list. And yes, absentees in OH point to a substantial Romney win. Everything could change, but so far . . . .
Au contraire. It means a great deal. In 08 we had advance warning that we disregarded that Dems were overperforming in absentee & early voting.
This is a SOLID snapshot, county by county (at least, in OH as we have compiled a spreadsheet) and Obama is getting crushed everywhere but Cuyahoga, and even there he’s down big.
In short, this is the canary in the coal mine for Obama’s reelection. It’s dead, Jim.
That registration ratio is a start. But that’s not nearly enough to draw valid conclusions. I didn’t even offer the question of timing of mailing (military ballots, e.g.) being an important variable.
Wrong, wrong, wrong. Most voters prefer early voting, conservatives included. I will vote on first day of early voting in Texas. It felt weird for me to actually vote on election day in 2008. We should push this and continue it. Nothing wrong with it at all.