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Early voting statistics (mainly NC); Repubs breaking out with absentee ballot returns
GMU ^ | 9/27/12 | mcdonald

Posted on 09/27/2012 6:38:02 AM PDT by Ravi

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Again very early of course. 9365 ballots returned. Repubs have returned 49.6% and Dems have returned 31.5% of those ballots. Let's see if this keeps up.
1 posted on 09/27/2012 6:38:07 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Aren’t the Repubs leading in returned early voting in Ohio as well? Thought I’d read that yesterday..


2 posted on 09/27/2012 6:42:13 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Ravi

And if it keeps up, what does it mean?

Nothing.


3 posted on 09/27/2012 6:46:57 AM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: ScottinVA

Yes, follow LS, LDSentinal and Global somebody.


4 posted on 09/27/2012 6:47:04 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Hope they’re keeping all these in a safe place.


5 posted on 09/27/2012 6:47:18 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: jiggyboy

You couldn’t be more wrong.


6 posted on 09/27/2012 6:47:53 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

There’s something fundamentally wrong allowing people to vote before the debates are even held. IMO, all this excessive early voting does is make it more possible for election fraud.

I realize there needs to be some leeway for absentee voters, but six weeks?


7 posted on 09/27/2012 6:48:16 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Imagine how bad these global protests would be, if Obama hadn't won us s o many new friends.)
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To: DoughtyOne; LS; LdSentinal; All

Maybe, but more than likely these people made u their minds 4 years ago. Nothin’s gonna change that.

And this:

NORTH CAROLINA reports as of Thursday morning 78,801 ballot requests with the following party breakdown:

Party Reg
Dem 26.7%
Rep 52.8%
None/Oth 20.5%

This is the first indication of democratic underperformance right here. In 2008, dems had returned over 30% of the absentee ballots in NC. So at 27% and heading lower every day, this might be our first leading indicator.


8 posted on 09/27/2012 6:51:50 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Ok, let’s hear a conclusion. In addition to the numbers given, you’ll need:

- number of R’s who requested AB’s
- number of D’s who requested AB’s
- number of R AB’s compared to non-AB’s
- number of D AB’s compared to non-AB’s

You’ll also need the number of registered D’s and the number of registered R’s, but you can get that from the above.


9 posted on 09/27/2012 6:54:33 AM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: jiggyboy

Diogenes has returned. Nice cover.


10 posted on 09/27/2012 6:57:05 AM PDT by DWC (historian)
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To: jiggyboy

The Iowa numbers look awful.

Would be great to know how NC this year is comparing to 2008, when Obama won the state by an eyelash


11 posted on 09/27/2012 6:59:00 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: jiggyboy

Actually if it keeps up... it’s a landslide.

In NC for example Democrats have a 12% registration advantage.

If turnout is anywhere near plus 20% for the Republicans (a 30+ point swing) Romney wins NC by double digits.

If similar turnout happen across the country... it looks like the Reagan-Mondale map.


12 posted on 09/27/2012 7:01:49 AM PDT by rwilson99 (Please tell me how the words "shall not perish and have everlasting life" would NOT apply to Mary.)
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To: Ravi

This is not good. I thought conservatives hated early voting. I thought conservatives wanted early voting shut down and only military getting absentee voting privileges. It is scary to think that conservatives are early voting when it is against what most believe that it should not happen.


13 posted on 09/27/2012 7:03:22 AM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: Ravi

Thank you for the mention Ravi. I don’t disagree with your analysis.

It does look good.


14 posted on 09/27/2012 7:06:37 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Imagine how bad these global protests would be, if Obama hadn't won us s o many new friends.)
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To: DoughtyOne

If it was the opposite the bedwetters would be crying and some strutting like peacocks


15 posted on 09/27/2012 7:11:15 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: DoughtyOne

It givesmorte time to talk a friend into making that trip to the ballot box


16 posted on 09/27/2012 7:12:30 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: ScottinVA

Scott, we’ll add you to our absentee OH/NC ping list. And yes, absentees in OH point to a substantial Romney win. Everything could change, but so far . . . .


17 posted on 09/27/2012 7:12:34 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: jiggyboy

Au contraire. It means a great deal. In 08 we had advance warning that we disregarded that Dems were overperforming in absentee & early voting.

This is a SOLID snapshot, county by county (at least, in OH as we have compiled a spreadsheet) and Obama is getting crushed everywhere but Cuyahoga, and even there he’s down big.

In short, this is the canary in the coal mine for Obama’s reelection. It’s dead, Jim.


18 posted on 09/27/2012 7:14:38 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: rwilson99

That registration ratio is a start. But that’s not nearly enough to draw valid conclusions. I didn’t even offer the question of timing of mailing (military ballots, e.g.) being an important variable.


19 posted on 09/27/2012 7:15:00 AM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: napscoordinator

Wrong, wrong, wrong. Most voters prefer early voting, conservatives included. I will vote on first day of early voting in Texas. It felt weird for me to actually vote on election day in 2008. We should push this and continue it. Nothing wrong with it at all.


20 posted on 09/27/2012 7:18:25 AM PDT by Ravi
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