And if it keeps up, what does it mean?
You couldn’t be more wrong.
Diogenes has returned. Nice cover.
Actually if it keeps up... it’s a landslide.
In NC for example Democrats have a 12% registration advantage.
If turnout is anywhere near plus 20% for the Republicans (a 30+ point swing) Romney wins NC by double digits.
If similar turnout happen across the country... it looks like the Reagan-Mondale map.
Au contraire. It means a great deal. In 08 we had advance warning that we disregarded that Dems were overperforming in absentee & early voting.
This is a SOLID snapshot, county by county (at least, in OH as we have compiled a spreadsheet) and Obama is getting crushed everywhere but Cuyahoga, and even there he’s down big.
In short, this is the canary in the coal mine for Obama’s reelection. It’s dead, Jim.