This is where we have to be careful. Repubs did outperform in absentees in 2008 in NC also so we are now above where we were only in absentees in comparison to 2008. Also, in 2004, absentees accounted for 13% of all early voting and in 2008, absentees accounted for 8.7% of all early voting. I’d like to see that absentee total/all early voting ratio to be above 10%. That we have to wait to see.
But let’s all PLEASE remember that in 08, at least in OH, large numbers (10% of our deepest red precincts) of Rs voted for Obama.
In all of my assumptions this time-—and I could be wrong-—NO R will vote for Obama and no D will vote for Romney. Those who do will cancel.