Skip to comments.Fox News poll: Most voters want change, even as Obama holds edge (O 48 R 43 D+4)
Posted on 09/27/2012 5:00:07 PM PDT by nhwingut
The latest Fox News poll finds the race for the White House holds steady, with 48 percent of likely voters backing the Obama-Biden ticket and 43 percent backing the Romney-Ryan ticket, if the election were held today. Thats unchanged from two weeks ago, after the Democratic convention.
Romney was preferred by one percentage point (45-44 percent) before the two conventions (August 19-21).
The presidents advantage is within the polls margin of sampling error.[SNIP]
In addition, even as Obamas post-convention bounce holds, about a quarter of voters (24 percent) want the country to mostly stay on the course its on, while 73 percent say many policies need to change. Almost all Republicans (95 percent) and most independents (77 percent) think policies need to change, as do just over half of Democrats (51 percent).
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
..he only holds the edge in the MSM....
FOX has been wandering in the weeds on the Dark Side for a while now ......
I honestly think we are looking at the Bradley effect. Once inside the booth, they will vote Romney.
Every economic indicator is against Obama.
Thing is Obama said he needs more time to implement his change. And even if you’re a died-in-the-wool commie supporter of his, that’s a true statement. If he can get control of the House and Senate again, or appoint more judges, he can implement a lot more communism.
Trouble is his argument is not only true for his ardent supporters, it is convincing to many general independent voters in its generic terms, even if they have no clue what it really means. The Romney campaign hasn’t come up with the right rhetoric to counter the successful arguments and convincing claims made at the DNC, as far as those ignorant “swing” voters are concerned. That’s why he’s running behind.
It’s a D+4 poll. I think it’ll be closer to even.
A.) Obama is under 50%.
B.) Most undecideds are Romney voters, IMO. They are too scared to be thought of as a racist.
C.) They have Dem turnout at 41%. In record 2008 election Dems came in only at 39%. They won’t be at 41%. Once you reduce the number down to 36%, more indies head for Romney.
I don’t know about a Bradley effect but maybe the 1980 Reagan Democrat effect.
In a lot of places the Democrat Party is the local religion. You simply do NOT talk back to the Party. So in 1980 a whole lot of Democrats were out there carrying the party line about loving Carter then in the privacy of the voting booth pulled the lever for Reagan.
“I honestly think we are looking at the Bradley effect. “
I honestly think you are right as the polls with Obama as a candidate have always been way off.
I wonder how many of those people who think that everyone should pay some income tax have a negative tax liability, but think that it’s just a refund that they deserve, without understanding what a negative tax liability is.
D+4 and Obama leads by 5?? I don’t like the sound of that....
“FOX has been wandering in the weeds on the Dark Side for a while now ......”
I believe the major stockholding owner of FOX is...a Saudi Arabian potentate.
FOX has been wandering in the weeds on the Dark Side for a while now ......
They are starting to get under the sludge layer of a septic tank.....
You guys should just really be embarrassed. Really. The lengths you go to bury your heads in the sand is beyond comprehension. He’s LOSING!!! Now Fox is in the tank too? And Rasmussen? Who else? There’s no one on your side because there are NO POLLS that show Romney leading.
This should be a blow out and Romney’s losing. Blame it on polls if you want. Blame it on whatever helps you sleep at night. We’re getting another 4 years of this guys, like it or not. The best we can hope for is that we keep the house to prevent any major policy changes.
Here’s to 2016!
FOX has been wandering in the
weeds desert on the Dark Side for a while now ......
OMG! It’s raining bullsh1t polls. And it’s getting deep.
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
Polling was conducted by telephone October 30-31, 2004 during the day and in the evenings. The total sample is 1,400 registered voters (RV), with a subsample of 1,200 likely voters (LV) nationwide. For registered and likely voters there is a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.
Past results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted.
CURRENT VOTE FOR PRESIDENT (OCT 30-31)
AMONG LIKELY VOTERS
Bush Kerry Nader (NS/Other)
Three-Way 46% 48 1 5
Two-Way 46% 48 na 6
Fox polls are just as bad if not worse than CBS ,ny Slimes , abc , NBC...
I recall them being the worst overall .
Please note that they never apologize for their push polls after being proven wrong .
ya haven’t mashed here yet have ya Pauli?
Every poll has Romney winning with indies, keeps that up and barry will need that house in Hawaii lol
I agree. If the election were held today Romney would lose handily in the EC. I think that the problem for Romney is that guys like me who should be his base either won’t vote for him on principle or even if they will pull the lever for him aren’t at all fired up and ready to help. For the record, I’ll never vote for him. I’d rather have Zero. Screw the RINOs.
I didn’t see anywhere where it shows D+4.
Actually it’s D+3 (gulp). But if you look at internals, nothing makes sense.
Obama is underwater in most every category - Stimulus, Middle East policy, Economy, Kept Promises, etc.
It’s one of two things. Voters are afraid of being called a racist (and will vote Romney once inside the booth). Or they feel bad for the first black prez and want to give him another shot. There is no other explanation. The internal numbers do not jive with someone who has 50% approval and amidst this economic train wreck.
This poll has Obama winning indies.
The poll says 73% want change, but Obama is ahead?
This poll refutes itself.
Exactly (see post above). The internals of the poll makes no sense. He gets low marks across this board.
Its almost like they feel okay disapproving of his policies but not him personally - for fear of race card.
I said the major stockholder (not the majority stockholder) of FOX News is a Saudi, and you think I’m delusional? Sorry, friend. But polls are agenda-driven propaganda. It was ever thus. I put little to no stock in them.
I have and a +4 D skewing is right on. Don’t tell me... Broken Glass Republicans? Or the Bradley effect? Or whatever...
Funny, I haven’t seen you post till now..
When the truth seems hard to find, take it to the streets. That’s where you’ll find the truth.
Ask the local GOP chairmen, in counties of swing states. Donate five or ten bucks. Strike up a conversation with them.
Ask them what’s been coming down the grapevine from the Romney campaign. Your fears will be alleviated.
One of few. Most have him up double digits with indies
In October of 2010, Obama was (supposedly) polling at 54%. two weeks later, Dems lost in the biggest landslide in history. Enough said.
That is because Democrats didn’t show up at the polls. Let’s hope they don’t in 2012 as well.
At least they did.
Oh boy. I HATE ROMNEY and still voting for his dumb ass. I just can’t see the next four years with Obama after the last month. He is dismal as heck. At least with Romney, we can clean up a little. Yes Romney sucks but Obama is worse. I hate the cheerleading for Romney the liberal creep but I am still voting for him God help me.
Some are doing better than others .... :-)
Double digit leads in indies is all gravy for Romney.
Now that the media is starting to ask barry people about the Libyan lies, Romneys indy lead might even grow
Yep they tried the same thing with Gov Walker. The internet is the fact checker on barrys msm buddies
Last night he was peddling a ABC interview was fact Romney is losing..
This poll seems reasonable to me.
Obama has taken the lead, but is still under 50% and has not yet closed the deal.
If ony Romney could break through and give people something to vote FOR and be excited about. He is trying, but he still hasn’t got there yet.
You really have got to try to step away from that mirage. It didn't exist in 2008; it sure as hell won't be in play now.
Fox polls are always terrible. Every cycle. Rasmussen has Obama at 46 percent. If you consider that winning, go ahead. This race is tied right now, although Obama has a slight edge electorally at this moment head to head.
Either Romney’s holding back to make his push in October for the win, or his campaign team is inept. He’s raised a ton of money and hasn’t even made a major push yet since the convention. If he comes out strong, he wins. If he sits back like he’s done...and not even trying to win. I have I think the campaign team is comfortable where they sit right now,,or they’d be holding major policy speeches, and making more aggressive moves.
So, I wouldn't dismiss it completely. In a very close election, it might matter.
The key for Romney is to make sure it is indeed very close heading into election day. So far, there are a whole lot of people who just really don't like him.
I lost any faith in a so called ‘Bradley effect’ in 2008. All we kept hearing about was the ‘bradley effect’ from people here and there and ‘pumas’ from hillbuzz etc... All that amounted to SQUAT.
There is little if any of that that will play into this election.
America wins if we stay as eager to vote as we did in 2010
Otherwise the idea of America is dead. And the treasoncrats and the media of this country are to blame and should be held accountable and treated as and for such.
Vote vote vote vote vote so we can avoid that.