Well, we. Found out where that spreadsheet cm. from-—should have guessed-—Jay Cost. Fine by me, as I don’t car who assembles the data. But this guy’s approach I a little different, where I tend to stress the gap between D and Rs, he is looking at total turnout % in requests from 2008 to now. But we get to the same point.
Of all the number-crunching analysts, I trust Jay Cost. I remember him from the 2000 (or 2004?) election prelude and he was just starting out. I followed his analysis a lot back then. He’s got quite big in the conservative blog world now. This is good because he seems dependable. He can get the word about the OH data coming in, because it blows away the assumptions of the polls.
Ha! Should have known. Jay Cost. Excellent numbers guy. I’ll take him over that 538 guy any day. He had great insight in 2004. We are the resistance!