Skip to comments.Update: OH Absentees (Three more counties added, and, yes, looking good)
Posted on 09/28/2012 2:20:21 PM PDT by LS
In addition to the numbers posted this morning, a few later additions: Cuyahoga (heavily Dem Cleveland) county is STILL underperforming, coming in at 6% under 2008 levels.
Hamilton (Cincinnati) is just under 2:1 Rs, a net gain of just under 7 points for the Republicans over 08.
Franklin (Columbus) which went for Obama by 21(!) shows a very small but steadily increasing R lead in total votes (+5893) for a significant swing (+9 over 08 absentees, +26 overall for Rs).
Summit: important county near Cleveland, 1/4m voters, went for Obama by almost 18 points: Rs only 1300 back in total votes, or 5% difference (in 08 they lost by almost three to one).
Hardin: GOP had a 1400-1100 lead in 08. It's already three to one Rs, and about one third of total GOP ballots are in. Dems down in total requests by 2500 (!)
Logan: no 2008 data (McCain won by 26.5) Rs up four to one.
Pickaway: Rs up almost two to one---lost by 1000 absentee votes in 08 but went overall for McCain by 21.5.
Washington: Rs up two to one, absentees in 08 were three to two (McCain won by 15.5).
I stumbled upon a site talking about early voting. Someone had posted some of the same numbers and the response was snappy, like “don’t talk about these early numbers” and “wait until Obama voters pull it out”.
Some people are getting a tad nervous out there. ;)
But But how can this be..the media who never lies and is ALWAYS honest has been saying that Romney lost Ohio/sarc
The more the media makes up these fake BS polls the more people will see right through their lies and go to the polls..the ONLY reason why the media is reporting these lies is because of what your seeing right here, the Dem enthusiasm is down the toilet
We’re assuming we’re getting the truth....I think there’s a plan....for a last minute run by Dems to the polling place. In other words, we’re getting set up. Kinda like Timmy and his marker & board....
Is there a comparable guy like you in VA and FL? Great stuff!
Either the polls, including Ras, are way off, or there are a lot of Republicans voting for Obama and telling pollsters they are voting for Obama. What was Ras’ last set of numbers for Ohio?
Which seems more likely?
Polls are off. Less than 10 percent of voters are answering them anyways. Go by ballots, registration, and where canidates are running ads. Look at their schedules.
Romneys in PA for a reason.
I’m working with Jet Jaguar on the ping list. If you asked to be on, but aren’t here yet, he’s on Alaska time and will get to you. Please be patient.
When you look back on the past 10 months a lot of this makes sense now. For the life of me I couldn’t understand why Obama has refused to tact to the center ala Clinton. He has known for a long time that his base is depressed and thus he had only one option. That option was to do everything possible to motivate the 47%. ie: amnesty, gay marriage, no to pipeline, tax the rich ect.
Only 9% answering poll questions in 2012, according to PEW
Problem with that theory is you can see the tally of the total requested ballots. They ain’t there for the Dems. No, there’s no conspiracy. There is a complete UNREPORTED major shift going on that the drive-bys absolutely do not want to touch, because their entire narrative falls apart.
And if-—big if-—these percentages in OH hold up, PA will be Republican, and probably MI too.
It is usually the Democrats that vote early, the Republicans wait until election day.
If you see early voting close, expect a blowout by the GOP.
We know that they’re nervous because there have been three stories already about early/absentee voting and “not to worry” and “Dems will come on in the end,” yadayada.
hope it doesnt let demos know how much more they need to cheat
Yes, Ras is off too. His baseline of about 2.5% to 4% Ds over Rs is incorrect, but less incorrect than the rest of them.