Skip to comments.Rasmussen Swing State Daily Tracking: 51% Disapprove of Job Obama is Doing
Posted on 09/29/2012 5:10:16 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
In the 11 swing states, the president and Mitt Romney are tied with 46% support each. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
The candidates have been tied or in a near tie every day but one for the past three weeks.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
When you think of it, 3 of those states are fairly reliable blue states (for presidential elections), WI, MI, and PA.
So if you remove those states from the mix, and poll just the 8 true swing states (where Romney really needs to win - the others would be cherries on top), Rommey is probably up by 3-4 points.
Wish I had better news...here in Michigan lots of people WANT the welfare state...working is “hard”.
Romney is spending his cash on GOTV efforts and has already contacted as many voters as McCain with 5 weeks still left to go. Great turnout trumps all polls.
who are they polling to get that much approval for Obama?Muslims?
That’s why I say remove those states from the formula.
If you look at Rasmussen’s state polls, Romney is losing MI and PA by double digits. If you removed them from the mix (because Romney does not need them to win), the swing state poll would look much better. I bet Romney is up 3-4 points in the 8 true swing states.
Do that and Romney essentially has to run the table.
With Paul Ryan and after all the red stateness in WI the last few years, he ought to win that state.
This should push Obama’s agregate overall popularity up to somewhere near 80%. It should be getting close to that magic 100% in the swing states.
Go to “unskewedpolls.com”
Watch..after Mitt wins...despite all the other “polls” showing Obama ahead, Dems will claim vote fraud..
“who are they polling to get that much approval for Obama?Muslims?”
Funny you mention that, lately I have been following the comments left to pro-Obama posts on FB, there is a shockingly high level of Muslim/Arabic/Farsi and Urdu followers and trolls on his a great many of Obama’s posts.
I’ve never seen anything like it. .
I think unskewed polls is too optimistic using the Rasmussen +4.3% R party affiliation from August.
However Ras is using a +3% D it looks like.
This site was around before unskewed and changes the party affiliation more frequently and gives IMO a better view of the state of the race.
They have a +.44%D which IMO is accurate, that leaves Obama at 45.76, Romney at 48.65%, with 5.59 other & undecided. Romney should get 3% of that Obama 1% and the rest to the third parties. looking at the recent polls IOW it will be a big Romney win. ~52-47% Romney.
Doesn’t it strike you that 49 o/o of US assholes APPROVE?
It means on thing for me : He is toast in November.
Maybe Democrats have become the party of muslim cash. I think they launder money for politicians