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How Much Do We Owe?
Townhall.com ^ | September 29, 2012 | John C. Goodman

Posted on 09/29/2012 6:08:20 AM PDT by Kaslin

Have you ever wondered how much we as taxpayers actually owe because of commitments politicians have made on our behalf? Turns out, the answer is not as simple as you might think.

The place to start is with a report put out annually by the U.S. Treasury. There I learned that the federal government officially recognizes an outstanding debt of $17.5 trillion. This amount consists of $10.2 trillion in government debt held by the public, plus pension and retirement benefits owed to federal employees.

On the one hand, that amount exceeds our country’s entire gross domestic product and that’s pretty bad. On the other hand I was surprised that the number wasn’t even higher because… Hey wait a minute.

What about Social Security? It’s not on the list. What about Medicare? It’s not there either.

On further investigation, I found out why. “Social Security promises are part of current law and can be changed by Congress at any time,” I was told. Ditto for Medicare. And disability insurance. And survivors insurance. Etc. Etc. That’s a bureaucratic way of saying, “We can break those promises any time we want to.”

So let’s see if I’ve got this right. I’ve been paying Social Security taxes for some 45 years or so and the federal government doesn’t officially admit that it owes me a dime. The same is true for 45 years of Medicare taxes. But it does admit that it owes pension benefits and post-retirement medical benefits to federal workers. As a taxpayer, I’m liable for all the promises the government has made to its own employees. But federal workers are not liable (necessarily) for all the promises the government has made to me.

If you are a bond holder or a federal employee the federal government is saying, “We owe you the money.” But if you’re a senior on Medicare or Social Security, the government’s position is, “We can default on our promises to you anytime things get a bit tight.”

What’s wrong with this picture?

Still, the government isn’t likely to abolish Social Security and Medicare anytime soon. In fact, it’s unlikely to ever abolish them. So what happens to the “amount we owe” if we throw those promises into the picture along with everything else? The calculations have been made in a study for the National Center for Policy Analysis by former Social Security/Medicare Trustee Thomas R. Saving and economist Andrew J. Rettenmaier. Here’s what they found:

• If today’s seniors get everything that’s been promised to them, they can expect to receive $12.8 trillion in Social Security and Medicare benefits beyond the estimated taxes and premiums that will be collected to fund those programs.

• If these promises to the elderly are counted as official obligations, federal liabilities would climb to $30.3 trillion — about twice the size of our entire economy.

• If we also include promises being made to all the young people who are currently paying (FICA) payroll taxes, the total climbs to nearly $84 trillion.

Bottom line: we taxpayers owe a great deal. In fact, we owe about five-and-a-half times what the government officially admits.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: debt; governmentspending; timothygeithner; treasury

1 posted on 09/29/2012 6:08:24 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin
If today’s seniors get everything that’s been promised to them, they can expect to receive $12.8 trillion in Social Security and Medicare benefits beyond the estimated taxes and premiums that will be collected to fund those programs.

Right - and if we earned interest on the money paid into Social Security - we'd be owed a LOT MORE than we're being paid. The article is a lie - well dressed - but still a lie.

2 posted on 09/29/2012 6:14:02 AM PDT by GOPJ (You only establish a feel for the line by having crossed it. - - Freeper One Name)
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To: Kaslin
I have heard of a total of up to $130T from one individual. If an individual did such they would be in jail soon. We need to make it illegal to rob the tax payers and work out a reparations bill so the politicians can pay back their transgressions.
3 posted on 09/29/2012 6:14:57 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: Kaslin
We kid ourselves when we think that we have any option other than default. I don't like the idea of default. No one does. But I see it as inevitable, and necessary. Why wait? If I could, I would put this country into default tomorrow and then go through the pain so that we can start the healing.

Any other plan is just pollyanna nonsense.

4 posted on 09/29/2012 6:15:35 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (ua)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Incremental devaluation is the planned and present solution. The incremental compound devaluation and resultant incremental compounded inflation will be tolerated.

The debt will be devalued away


5 posted on 09/29/2012 6:20:56 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: bert

We will inflate the currency such that a $100T debt is no big deal? Over what time period?


6 posted on 09/29/2012 6:23:47 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (ua)
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To: ClearCase_guy

As long as necessary...... 7 or 8 years at least


7 posted on 09/29/2012 6:29:17 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: Kaslin

Obama voters seem to not care how much we owe.


8 posted on 09/29/2012 6:40:25 AM PDT by FreedBird
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To: Kaslin
THIS JUST IN: Obama's winning campaign slogan:

"The world owes you a living...no matter how lazy, dumb, slovenly, drunk, drug-addicted...no matter how many convictions for distribution/possesion, armed robbery, domestic violence, murder and mayhem, no matter how many screwups, jobs lost, kids abandoned."

"The world owes you a living and Obama's gonna make sure US taxpayers pay for it."


9 posted on 09/29/2012 6:46:08 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (We are the 53%, who pay taxes and keep this country going inspite of the 47% rat moochers!)
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To: Kaslin
Still, the government isn’t likely to abolish Social Security and Medicare anytime soon.

It could happen in the blink of an eye with a second term President's EO;

"Stroke of the pen, Law of the land, Kind of neat, Huh."

Two other things, Ponzi scheme and death panels.

10 posted on 09/29/2012 6:49:03 AM PDT by fella ("As it was before Noah, so shall it be again,)
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To: bert

I can’t wait till I can work 1 hour and pay my 5-10 year old Mortgage off with worthless dollars.

The 15000 dollar loaf of bread I can wait for.


11 posted on 09/29/2012 7:28:43 AM PDT by cableguymn (peace through strength. if they don't like you at least they will fear you.)
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To: cableguymn

——I can’t wait till I can work 1 hour and pay my 5-10 year old Mortgage——

It will not be like that. I visualize a future in 7- 10 years where your present mortgage payment of say $1,000 will worth be only $500 in today’s money to the banker. Not only that, but the resale value of your house will increase, even double.

The banker loses on the devaluation of the $$$ and you benefit by the inflation of the resale amount of your house.

The minimum wage of $7 today will be $14 or so then

Housing prices are currently rising at around 4%. An increase to near 7% is what I think will happen. the goal will be to maintain an increase rate of =<7%. A rate above that will not be tolerated

Although there is no absolutely stable standard of measure, the $ values of real estate and gold are good indicators.


12 posted on 09/29/2012 8:02:05 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: bert

I recall in the late seventies my parents bank used to call every month or so and ask if they wanted to pay off the $1500 left on their mortgage. They were paying something like $80 a month at a sub 5% rate. The new mortgages were going out at 3x that. The bank was getting killed.

My Dad would laugh at them. Then he would mutter something about making sure his last payment would be a day late.

He didn’t begrudge them their money, but he also pointed out that the bank bothered him just as much in ‘57 when he was a day late—and that they were not so pleasant.


13 posted on 09/29/2012 9:28:35 AM PDT by Vermont Lt (I am NOT from Vermont. I am from MA. And I don't support Romney. Please read before "assuming.")
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To: ClearCase_guy
We kid ourselves when we think that we have any option other than default. I don't like the idea of default. No one does. But I see it as inevitable, and necessary. Why wait? If I could, I would put this country into default tomorrow and then go through the pain so that we can start the healing.

Any other plan is just pollyanna nonsense.


Well, if you go by the $130 trillion figure of how much we owe, if you convert that into miles, that's enough to get you to Alpha Centauri and back twice and have a little left over to go out and buy dinner. When you get that high when you start to get into the astronomical figures and scientific notation, you're done.

I think we need a day of Jubilee forgiving all debts and just start over and reboot. It's like a test pilot in a new plane, the plane is so far gone and out of control, the only thing to do is punch out.
14 posted on 09/29/2012 10:05:12 AM PDT by Nowhere Man (June 28th, 2012, the Day America Jumped The Shark.)
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To: mountainlion
I have heard of a total of up to $130T from one individual.

Last I heard it was up to 160,000 per person. For a family of four that would be roughly 560,000 for all of BJ Obama's regime. (That is $40,000 per year per person.)

I like to illustrate it as him taking out a credit card IN MY NAME and charging me a 40% interest rate, and I don't even get the satisfaction of driving a new car for my debt effort.

In some sectors they call it identity theft.

15 posted on 09/29/2012 9:20:00 PM PDT by Slyfox
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To: bert; sickoflibs
The banker loses on the devaluation of the $$$ and you benefit by the inflation of the resale amount of your house.

use a couple slices of bread to pay the mortgage would be cool, *if* i can afford the bread ???

16 posted on 09/29/2012 9:48:53 PM PDT by Gilbo_3 (Gov is not reason; not eloquent; its force.Like fire,a dangerous servant & master. George Washington)
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To: Gilbo_3; bert
RE :”The banker loses on the devaluation of the $$$ and you benefit by the inflation of the resale amount of your house.
.....
use a couple slices of bread to pay the mortgage would be cool, *if* i can afford the bread ???

Didn't we try that under the last guy?

Dont forget the gubment taxes you for protecting your money from inflation.

17 posted on 09/29/2012 9:58:16 PM PDT by sickoflibs (Romney is still a liberal. Just watch him. (Obama-ney Care ))
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To: cableguymn
The 15000 dollar loaf of bread I can wait for.

How long??


18 posted on 09/30/2012 3:00:00 PM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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